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Forecast

Blackville (31.6433°S, 150.2364°E, 401m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 20° 34°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:44am EDT 6:12am EDT 8:05pm EDT 8:32pm EDT
    NOW
    20.0° Feels Like: 21.8°
    Relative Humidity: 93%
    Dew: 18.8°
    Wind: E 7km/h
    Gust: 9km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 7.4mm
    Pressure: 1006.4hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Blackville
    Now
    19.8°c
    Feels Like:
    19.4°
    Wind:
    ESE 17km/h
    Gusts:
    19km/h
    Humidity:
    91%
    Possible shower
     
    20°
    Min
    34°
    Max
    Today in Blackville
    Hot. Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Areas of raised dust on the southern plains in the afternoon and evening. Winds N/NE 20 to 30 km/h tending N/NW 25 to 35 km/h in the middle of the day then tending NW/SW in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 19 and 25 with daytime temperatures reaching 31 to 39.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    19°
    Min
    34°
    Max
    Hot and mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower on the northern slopes, near zero chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm near the Queensland border in the afternoon. Winds NW/SW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming W 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 17 and 22 with daytime temperatures reaching 32 to 38.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Blackville

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Hot. Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Areas of raised dust on the southern plains in the afternoon and evening. Winds N/NE 20 to 30 km/h tending N/NW 25 to 35 km/h in the middle of the day then tending NW/SW in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 19 and 25 with daytime temperatures reaching 31 to 39.

    Forecast for Blackville (31.6433°S, 150.2364°E, 401m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Possible shower Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 20° 19° 17° 23° 25° 21° 22°
    Maximum 34° 34° 38° 40° 38° 35° 33°
    Chance of rain 50% 5% 5% 10% 60% 50% 80%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 10-20mm 1-5mm 5-10mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 12
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE N NNW WNW NE NW N NNW N NW SE SSW N NNW
    Relative humidity 73% 50% 53% 27% 47% 21% 61% 29% 60% 42% 67% 51% 71% 52%
    Dew point 22°C 22°C 15°C 13°C 15°C 12°C 23°C 19°C 23°C 23°C 21°C 23°C 22°C 22°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Blackville Rain Forecast


    Blackville 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    17
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 January to 28 January, 15 February to 19 February, and 22 February to 26 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 February to 15 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 16 February to 20 February, and 22 February to 26 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Blackville Rain Forecast


    Blackville 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    5
    6
    5
    7
    7
    8
    7
    4
    6
    5
    5
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Blackville Rain Forecast


    Blackville 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    17
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 January to 28 January, 15 February to 19 February, and 22 February to 26 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 February to 15 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 16 February to 20 February, and 22 February to 26 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Blackville Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Jan 15
    18.8 °C 35.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 16
    21.4 °C 28.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jan 17
    18.2 °C 28.4 °C
    24.2 mm
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    19.0 °C 25.0 °C
    0.2 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 19
    18.4 °C -
    4.6 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Blackville minimum temp history (31.6433°S, 150.2364°E, 401m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 43.2° 04/01/2020 Coldest this month 15.8° 13/01/2020
    Hottest on record 45.1 03/01/2014 Coldest on record 5.0 18/01/1966
    Hottest this year 43.2° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 15.8° 13/01/2020
    Long term average 32.3° Long term average 17.0°
    Average this month 36.8° Average this month 20.8°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 36.0° 2017 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 14.4° 2000
    Blackville rainfall history (31.6433°S, 150.2364°E, 401m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 24.2mm 17/01/2020 Total This Month 31.8mm
    5.0 days
    Long Term Average 78.8mm 6.9 days Wettest January on record 277.8mm 2017
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Blackville Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 78.8mm 6.9 day(s)
    Total For 2020 31.8mm 5.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 14.6mm 4.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 24.2mm Jan17
    Lowest Temperature 15.8°C Jan13
    Highest Temperature 43.2°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Blackville Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 32.3 31.4 29.2 25.3 20.7 16.9 16.1 18.2 21.5 25.3 28.3 30.9 24.7
    Mean Min (°C) 17.0 16.6 13.9 9.4 5.6 3.3 2.0 2.8 5.5 9.2 12.6 15.2 9.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 78.8 63.4 51.9 40.1 42.3 51.2 47.9 44.1 46.3 57.3 65.3 80.1 668.9
    Mean Rain Days 6.9 5.6 5.0 4.8 5.4 7.3 7.1 6.7 6.2 7.0 7.2 7.2 74.9