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Forecast

Blackmans Flat (33.3641°S, 150.0594°E, 905m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 11° 22°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:45am EDT 7:09am EDT 6:58pm EDT 7:23pm EDT
    NOW
    13.3° Feels Like: 13.5°
    Relative Humidity: 92%
    Dew: 12.0°
    Wind: N 2km/h
    Gust: 2km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Blackmans Flat
    Now
    12.5°c
    Feels Like:
    11.1°
    Wind:
    NE 11km/h
    Gusts:
    15km/h
    Humidity:
    99%
    Mostly sunny
     
    11°
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Today in Blackmans Flat
    Partly cloudy. Fog in the early morning. Slight chance of a shower in the afternoon. Winds E/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending N/NE in the morning then becoming light in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Possible thunderstorm
    13°
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm, possibly severe. Heavy falls possible in the west. Winds N/NW 15 to 20 km/h tending W/NW early in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching between 18 and 23.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Blackmans Flat

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Fog in the early morning. Slight chance of a shower in the afternoon. Winds E/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending N/NE in the morning then becoming light in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.

    Forecast for Blackmans Flat (33.3641°S, 150.0594°E, 905m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Mostly sunny Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 11° 13° 11° 13° 13° 11° 13°
    Maximum 22° 19° 22° 21° 19° 22° 21°
    Chance of rain 90% 90% 90% 60% 60% 80% 70%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 1-5mm
    UV index High High Very High High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 2
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    1
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    2
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NE N WNW WNW WSW W ENE NE NE NNE NW NW NW WNW
    Relative humidity 90% 60% 92% 80% 89% 50% 91% 60% 92% 80% 89% 65% 87% 62%
    Dew point 13°C 13°C 14°C 14°C 13°C 10°C 14°C 12°C 14°C 14°C 14°C 14°C 14°C 12°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Blackmans Flat Rain Forecast


    Blackmans Flat 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    HIGH
    31
    LOW
    Apr 1
    LOW
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    HIGH
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    27
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 April to 6 April, 16 April to 20 April, and 21 April to 25 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 April to 10 April, 11 April to 15 April, and 17 April to 21 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 April to 6 April, 8 April to 12 April, and 27 April to 1 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Blackmans Flat Rain Forecast


    Blackmans Flat 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    9
    6
    6
    7
    7
    6
    5
    3
    9
    5
    5
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Blackmans Flat Rain Forecast


    Blackmans Flat 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    HIGH
    31
    LOW
    Apr 1
    LOW
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    HIGH
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    27
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 April to 6 April, 16 April to 20 April, and 21 April to 25 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 April to 10 April, 11 April to 15 April, and 17 April to 21 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 April to 6 April, 8 April to 12 April, and 27 April to 1 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    We're sorry, but there are no daily observations available for Blackmans Flat

  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Blackmans Flat minimum temp history (33.3641°S, 150.0594°E, 905m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 30.0° 02/03/2020 Coldest this month 4.4° 13/03/2020
    Hottest on record 32.7 20/03/2015 Coldest on record 1.2 30/03/2008
    Hottest this year 38.9° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 4.4° 13/03/2020
    Long term average 22.2° Long term average 10.9°
    Average this month 19.8° Average this month 10.6°
    Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 24.8° 2016 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 8.3° 2008
    Blackmans Flat rainfall history (33.3641°S, 150.0594°E, 905m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 30.0mm 26/03/2020 Total This Month 95.2mm
    18.0 days
    Long Term Average 72.3mm 10.8 days Wettest March on record 411.4mm 1890
    Driest on record 0.8mm 1940
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Blackmans Flat Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Mar 235.6mm 30.1 day(s)
    Total For 2020 354.6mm 51.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 210.3mm 43.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 51.0mm Feb10
    Lowest Temperature 4.4°C Mar13
    Highest Temperature 38.9°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Blackmans Flat Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.2 24.4 22.2 18.2 14.9 11.1 10.6 12.6 16.2 19.7 22.8 24.1 18.6
    Mean Min (°C) 13.4 13.1 10.9 7.2 3.3 2.4 1.1 1.5 3.8 6.2 9.7 11.3 7.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 82.4 80.9 72.3 57.2 49.6 72.8 62.1 55.9 55.1 61.4 62.5 77.0 791.4
    Mean Rain Days 9.4 9.9 10.8 10.3 11.1 13.0 12.1 11.8 9.6 9.5 8.7 9.3 117.4