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Forecast

Black Mountain (30.308°S, 151.6503°E, 1277m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Frost then sunny 12°
    frost then sunny
    Chance of rain: 60%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:23am EST 6:50am EST 5:08pm EST 5:34pm EST
    NOW
    6.6° Feels Like: 2.1°
    Relative Humidity: 99%
    Dew: 6.5°
    Wind: ENE 19km/h
    Gust: 22km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1028.7hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Black Mountain
    Now
    7.5°c
    Feels Like:
    2.8°
    Wind:
    E 20km/h
    Gusts:
    26km/h
    Humidity:
    93%
    Frost then sunny
     
    Min
    12°
    Max
    Today in Black Mountain
    Partly cloudy. Patchy morning fog. Medium chance of showers, mainly in the east. Winds E 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day then becoming E/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 2 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 12 and 18.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    Min
    11°
    Max
    Cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the south. Winds E/NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 3 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 18.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Black Mountain

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Patchy morning fog. Medium chance of showers, mainly in the east. Winds E 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day then becoming E/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 2 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 12 and 18.

    Forecast for Black Mountain (30.308°S, 151.6503°E, 1277m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Frost then sunny Possible shower Possible shower Showers Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum
    Maximum 12° 11° 11° 11° 10°
    Chance of rain 60% 80% 60% 80% 90% 90% 60%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 10-20mm 5-10mm 5-10mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Moderate Slight Slight Nil Moderate High Moderate
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 13
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ENE ENE ENE NE NNW NNW NNW NW WNW WSW SW SW S SSW
    Relative humidity 88% 67% 85% 83% 94% 90% 94% 82% 90% 80% 89% 87% 85% 79%
    Dew point 5°C 6°C 7°C 7°C 8°C 9°C 7°C 8°C 5°C 5°C 4°C 6°C 4°C 7°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Black Mountain Rain Forecast


    Black Mountain 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Aug 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 20 July to 24 July, 27 July to 31 July, and 31 July to 4 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 21 July to 25 July, and 10 August to 14 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 21 July to 25 July, 29 July to 2 August, and 2 August to 6 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Black Mountain Rain Forecast


    Black Mountain 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2020
    2021
    7
    7
    7
    8
    5
    7
    6
    7
    6
    7
    6
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific exhibited significant cooling over the past month, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.1in May. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 2.8 during the same month. The current outlook suggests cooler than average SSTs will take hold across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during winter, potentially reaching La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 45:40 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. However, out of season Tropical CycloneMangga brought some significant cooling to the sea surface temperatures to the northwest of Australia late in May. This disrupted the warming trend in the region that would have led to a negative IOD by mid-winter. Nonetheless, all but one of the six main international models (BoMs outlook), continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing later in winter/first half of spring. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current short-term outlook now favours below average rainfall for most of the country for the remainder of June and early July. This outlook is mainly driven by cooler SSTs across northwestern Australia, reducing the amount of available moisture in the atmosphere. As discussed earlier, tropical cyclone Mangga was a key player in the cooling of the SSTs off the northwest coast. Most models, however, are indicating a positive IOD is still on the cards later in winter and through spring, bringing a wetter outlook for most of the southern half of the country from mid-to-lateJuly. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania, the outlook continues to favour average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tas) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM).

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Black Mountain Rain Forecast


    Black Mountain 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Aug 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 20 July to 24 July, 27 July to 31 July, and 31 July to 4 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 21 July to 25 July, and 10 August to 14 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 21 July to 25 July, 29 July to 2 August, and 2 August to 6 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Black Mountain Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jul 04
    -0.6 °C 5.6 °C
    5.4 mm
    Sunday
    Jul 05
    -3.6 °C 11.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jul 06
    -4.1 °C 13.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jul 07
    -0.2 °C 13.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jul 08
    -0.7 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Black Mountain minimum temp history (30.308°S, 151.6503°E, 1277m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 13.4° 06/07/2020 Coldest this month -4.1° 06/07/2020
    Hottest on record 18.7 19/07/2016 Coldest on record -7.1 16/07/2007
    Hottest this year 33.6° 05/01/2020 Coldest this year -4.1° 06/07/2020
    Long term average 10.4° Long term average 0.8°
    Average this month 11.2° Average this month -0.1°
    Hottest July On Record Avg. max. temp. 13.2° 1993 Coldest July on record Avg. min. temp. -2.2° 1982
    Black Mountain rainfall history (30.308°S, 151.6503°E, 1277m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 5.4mm 04/07/2020 Total This Month 5.4mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 57.1mm 11.3 days Wettest July on record 149.2mm 1986
    Driest on record 3.8mm 2002
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Black Mountain Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jul 511.1mm 74.9 day(s)
    Total For 2020 538.0mm 68.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 188.8mm 40.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 34.6mm Feb13
    Lowest Temperature -4.1°C Jul 6
    Highest Temperature 33.6°C Jan 5
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Black Mountain Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 24.0 23.2 21.3 18.0 14.5 11.1 10.4 12.1 15.4 18.5 20.7 22.6 17.6
    Mean Min (°C) 12.1 11.9 10.1 7.0 4.1 1.8 0.8 1.3 3.8 6.4 8.9 10.7 6.5
    Mean Rain (mm) 121.3 103.9 72.2 52.0 53.5 51.1 57.1 54.2 59.1 73.2 106.4 110.5 916.4
    Mean Rain Days 11.6 11.2 10.4 9.0 9.9 11.5 11.3 8.8 8.6 9.6 11.4 11.8 120.7