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Forecast

Black Hollow (31.1078°S, 148.8627°E, 354m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Showers easing 13° 18°
    showers easing
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: 10-20mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:56am EST 6:20am EST 5:50pm EST 6:14pm EST
    NOW
    17.5° Feels Like: 15.3°
    Relative Humidity: 82%
    Dew: 14.4°
    Wind: E 18km/h
    Gust: 24km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1023.4hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Black Hollow
    Now
    14.7°c
    Feels Like:
    12.9°
    Wind:
    E 13km/h
    Gusts:
    17km/h
    Humidity:
    86%
    Showers easing
     
    13°
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Today in Black Hollow
    Cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely from late this morning. The chance of a thunderstorm on the plains. Winds E 20 to 30 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 19 and 23.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    14°
    Min
    17°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Heavy falls possible. Winds E/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending N/NE 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 22.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely from late this morning. The chance of a thunderstorm on the plains. Winds E 20 to 30 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 19 and 23.

    Forecast for Black Hollow (31.1078°S, 148.8627°E, 354m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Showers easing Possible shower Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 13° 14° 11° 11°
    Maximum 18° 17° 20° 18° 20° 22° 23°
    Chance of rain 70% 90% 10% 5% 5% 5% 5%
    Likely amount 10-20mm 10-20mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index - - - - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 17
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ESE E NE NNW WNW W SSW SW E NW E W E N
    Relative humidity 77% 62% 90% 87% 80% 47% 58% 44% 64% 46% 67% 44% 63% 46%
    Dew point 10°C 11°C 13°C 15°C 11°C 9°C 4°C 5°C 7°C 8°C 10°C 9°C 11°C 11°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Black Hollow Rain Forecast


    Black Hollow 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    HIGH
    10
    HIGH
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    May 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    HIGH
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 15 April to 19 April, 26 April to 30 April, and 30 April to 4 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 April to 10 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 April to 19 April, 29 April to 3 May, and 8 May to 12 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Black Hollow Rain Forecast


    Black Hollow 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    6
    6
    7
    7
    6
    6
    5
    10
    6
    5
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Black Hollow Rain Forecast


    Black Hollow 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    HIGH
    10
    HIGH
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    May 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    HIGH
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 15 April to 19 April, 26 April to 30 April, and 30 April to 4 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 April to 10 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 April to 19 April, 29 April to 3 May, and 8 May to 12 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Black Hollow Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Apr 04
    17.0 °C 20.8 °C
    32.0 mm
    Sunday
    Apr 05
    6.7 °C 20.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Apr 06
    6.5 °C 21.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Apr 07
    7.6 °C 22.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Apr 08
    9.0 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Black Hollow minimum temp history (31.1078°S, 148.8627°E, 354m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 27.5° 01/04/2020 Coldest this month 6.5° 06/04/2020
    Hottest on record 35.0 04/04/1986 Coldest on record -3.6 29/04/1978
    Hottest this year 42.4° 05/01/2020 Coldest this year 6.5° 06/04/2020
    Long term average 24.1° Long term average 7.5°
    Average this month 21.9° Average this month 10.8°
    Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.6° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 3.9° 1997
    Black Hollow rainfall history (31.1078°S, 148.8627°E, 354m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 32.0mm 04/04/2020 Total This Month 42.7mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 52.0mm 5.1 days Wettest April on record 342.6mm 1950
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1897
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Black Hollow Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Apr 286.2mm 24.4 day(s)
    Total For 2020 443.1mm 37.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 172.4mm 21.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 62.5mm Feb19
    Lowest Temperature 6.5°C Apr 6
    Highest Temperature 42.4°C Jan 5
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Black Hollow Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 31.4 30.7 28.1 24.1 19.5 16.0 15.1 17.0 20.4 24.2 27.5 30.2 23.7
    Mean Min (°C) 15.6 15.2 12.1 7.5 3.8 1.6 0.4 1.1 3.9 7.5 10.9 13.6 7.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 89.7 81.0 63.5 52.0 53.5 57.5 55.2 52.5 51.3 59.4 64.4 70.4 750.1
    Mean Rain Days 7.2 6.3 5.8 5.1 6.2 7.9 7.7 7.3 6.7 7.2 7.2 7.3 80.9