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Forecast

Billys Creek (30.1379°S, 152.5995°E, 737m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 20°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:39am EDT 6:04am EDT 7:04pm EDT 7:28pm EDT
    NOW
    18.5° Feels Like: 16.8°
    Relative Humidity: 64%
    Dew: 11.6°
    Wind: SE 11km/h
    Gust: 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1018.0hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Billys Creek
    Now
    19.0°c
    Feels Like:
     
    Wind:
    SE 7km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
     
    Mostly sunny
     
    Min
    20°
    Max
    Today in Billys Creek
    Partly cloudy. The chance of fog in the early morning. Slight chance of a shower inland in the afternoon and early evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm about higher ground in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming E/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching 20 to 26.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    Min
    20°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming E/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then tending N/NE in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching 20 to 27.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Billys Creek

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. The chance of fog in the early morning. Slight chance of a shower inland in the afternoon and early evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm about higher ground in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming E/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching 20 to 26.

    Forecast for Billys Creek (30.1379°S, 152.5995°E, 737m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Mostly sunny Possible thunderstorm Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 10° 11° 12° 13° 12° 11°
    Maximum 20° 21° 24° 23° 24° 21° 22°
    Chance of rain 70% 90% 50% 70% 90% 90% 90%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 5-10mm < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 10-20mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 4
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE E NNE NE N NNE N N NNW NNW WSW SSE SW SE
    Relative humidity 72% 62% 80% 75% 78% 55% 77% 65% 73% 65% 84% 79% 79% 75%
    Dew point 11°C 12°C 13°C 16°C 14°C 14°C 13°C 16°C 15°C 16°C 15°C 16°C 14°C 17°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Billys Creek Rain Forecast


    Billys Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    26
    HIGH
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    HIGH
    30
    HIGH
    31
    MEDIUM
    Nov 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 October to 30 October, 2 November to 6 November, and 17 November to 21 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 25 October to 29 October, 29 October to 2 November, and 8 November to 12 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 27 October to 31 October, 2 November to 6 November, and 18 November to 22 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Billys Creek Rain Forecast


    Billys Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    2020
    2021
    8
    8
    8
    7
    7
    8
    7
    7
    6
    8
    6
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Oct 8

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Negative SAM status: Positive La Niña thresholds have been met due to continued cooling in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific waters in the last month. The atmospheric and ocean conditions have both exceeded La Niña thresholds, with the current Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.68 and the Southern Oscillation Index is +9.5, now well over the La Niña threshold of +7. The majority of models predict that La Niña will peak in December, with all eight models predicting the event will last until January and 5 of 8 models to February. During this month’s model run, the strength of the La Niña event has increased since last month, however at this stage the event is not expected to be as strong as the 2010-2012 La Niña. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has shifted into a negative phase, which is likely to continue through October. Three of six international models indicate a negative IOD to be sustained for the duration of November, beforebecoming neutral in December. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. The combination of La Niña and negative IOD conditions increase the likelihood of above normal precipitation in spring and summer across much of Australia. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the remainder of spring looks wetter than normal for much of Australia. However, normal to below normal precipitation is forecast for parts of western WA and western TAS. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal including western WA during these months. Western TAS precipitation outlook continues to be normal through summer. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brings an early start to the northern wet season.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Billys Creek Rain Forecast


    Billys Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    26
    HIGH
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    HIGH
    30
    HIGH
    31
    MEDIUM
    Nov 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 October to 30 October, 2 November to 6 November, and 17 November to 21 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 25 October to 29 October, 29 October to 2 November, and 8 November to 12 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 27 October to 31 October, 2 November to 6 November, and 18 November to 22 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Billys Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Oct 16
    9.0 °C 26.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Oct 17
    10.5 °C 25.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Oct 18
    15.0 °C 23.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Oct 19
    12.0 °C 16.0 °C
    11.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Oct 20
    10.8 °C -
    11.6 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Billys Creek minimum temp history (30.1379°S, 152.5995°E, 737m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 26.0° 08/10/2020 Coldest this month 5.0° 03/10/2020
    Hottest on record 34.6 19/10/2002 Coldest on record -0.7 17/10/2010
    Hottest this year 35.2° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year -0.5° 06/08/2020
    Long term average 21.3° Long term average 9.8°
    Average this month 22.6° Average this month 9.6°
    Hottest October On Record Avg. max. temp. 23.5° 2013 Coldest October on record Avg. min. temp. 8.5° 2003
    Billys Creek rainfall history (30.1379°S, 152.5995°E, 737m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 12.0mm 13/10/2020 Total This Month 23.0mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 121.2mm 11.9 days Wettest October on record 485.9mm 2010
    Driest on record 22.8mm 2012
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Billys Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Oct 1652.9mm 123.3 day(s)
    Total For 2020 1572.2mm 108.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 805.5mm 109.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 145.8mm Feb14
    Lowest Temperature -0.5°C Aug 6
    Highest Temperature 35.2°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Billys Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 24.2 23.8 22.4 19.8 17.1 14.9 14.5 16.1 19.2 21.3 22.3 23.8 20.0
    Mean Min (°C) 15.0 15.1 13.6 10.7 7.4 5.4 4.5 4.8 7.6 9.8 12.2 13.9 10.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 298.5 286.9 313.5 138.8 112.8 133.9 57.6 109.6 80.1 121.2 187.7 172.9 2022.2
    Mean Rain Days 15.4 16.1 17.8 14.0 11.2 10.4 9.5 7.7 9.3 11.9 15.8 16.6 151.6