Forecast
Big Jacks Creek (31.7731°S, 150.6156°E, 447m AMSL) set as my default location ›
-
My MLA
-
Current condition
TODAY15° 27° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 20% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:35am EDT 6:59am EDT 7:09pm EDT 7:33pm EDT NOW25.5° Feels Like: 24.5° Relative Humidity: 55% Dew: 15.8° Wind: NW 15km/h Gust: 20km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1018.3hPa -
Today Weather
Big Jacks CreekNow28.8°cFeels Like:29.0°Wind:S 15km/hGusts:20km/hHumidity:54%15°Min27°MaxToday in Big Jacks CreekMostly sunny. Medium chance of showers on the slopes, becoming less likely late this afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds E/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending N/NE 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then tending E/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 28 to 35.Tomorrow18°Min24°MaxPartly cloudy. High chance of showers in the S, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds N/NE 20 to 30 km/h shifting S/SW in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching 28 to 35. -
Radar
-
Popup Radar
-
Warnings
There are no current warnings for Big Jacks Creek
-
7 day forecast
Today: Mostly sunny. Medium chance of showers on the slopes, becoming less likely late this afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds E/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending N/NE 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then tending E/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 28 to 35.
Forecast for Big Jacks Creek (31.7731°S, 150.6156°E, 447m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary Minimum 15° 18° 12° 11° 12° 14° 14° Maximum 27° 24° 21° 23° 22° 23° 26° Chance of rain 20% 70% 10% 10% 40% 30% 60% Likely amount < 1mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm UV index High Moderate High High High High High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate High Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 7
(km/h)14
(km/h)28
(km/h)17
(km/h)35
(km/h)27
(km/h)21
(km/h)16
(km/h)19
(km/h)18
(km/h)21
(km/h)16
(km/h)18
(km/h)15
(km/h)Wind direction NNE WNW NNW WNW SSE SSE SE SSE SSE S SSE SSW ENE WSW Relative humidity 84% 51% 79% 80% 83% 56% 85% 52% 88% 57% 92% 62% 83% 51% Dew point 17°C 15°C 16°C 18°C 11°C 10°C 12°C 12°C 14°C 12°C 15°C 15°C 14°C 13°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Big Jacks Creek Rain Forecast
Big Jacks Creek 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
-
12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Big Jacks Creek Rain Forecast
Big Jacks Creek 12-month Rainfall ForecastMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFeb20242025577778557858105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Mar 5
ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.
-
Popup - Daily historical
-
Long range rainfall forecast
Big Jacks Creek Rain Forecast
Big Jacks Creek 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
-
Past 5 Days
Big Jacks Creek Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Thursday
Mar 1411.7 °C 34.2 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Mar 1517.8 °C 21.8 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Mar 1615.4 °C 24.6 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Mar 1715.9 °C 26.2 °C 2.4 mmMonday
Mar 1816.6 °C - 19.6 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Big Jacks Creek minimum temp history (31.7731°S, 150.6156°E, 447m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 33.5° 01/03/2024 Coldest this month 11.8° 05/03/2024 Hottest on record 34.7 20/03/2015 Coldest on record 6.7 02/03/2008 Hottest this year 34.6° 29/01/2024 Coldest this year 11.8° 05/03/2024 Long term average 24.4° Long term average 14.2° Average this month 27.0° Average this month 15.6° Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.0° 2016 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 12.4° 2008 Big Jacks Creek rainfall history (31.7731°S, 150.6156°E, 447m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 21.2mm 01/03/2024 Total This Month 43.8mm
5.0 daysLong Term Average 79.1mm 10.2 days Wettest March on record 155.0mm 2017 Driest on record 12.6mm 2008 -
Year to Date
Big Jacks Creek Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Mar 217.6mm 27.5 day(s) Total For 2024 245.2mm 31.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 116.2mm 24.0 day(s) Wettest Day 76.2mm Jan30 Lowest Temperature 11.8°C Mar 5 Highest Temperature 34.6°C Jan29 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
- Adelaide
- Adelaide Airport
- Adelaide Sellicks
- Albany
- Alice Springs
- Bairnsdale
- Bowen
- Brewarrina
- Brisbane
- Brisbane Airport
- Brisbane Marburg
- Broadmeadows
- Broome
- Cairns
- Cairns Airport
- Canberra
- Carnarvon
- Ceduna
- Coffs Harbour
- Dampier
- Darwin
- Darwin Airport
- Emerald
- Esperance
- Eucla
- Geraldton
- Giles
- Gladstone
-
Popup - Monthly historical
-
Climatology
Climate History
Big Jacks Creek Climatology
Big Jacks Creek Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 28.5 27.2 24.4 20.8 16.7 13.0 12.6 14.7 18.4 21.7 24.3 26.6 20.7 Mean Min (°C) 16.6 15.7 14.2 11.2 8.1 5.9 5.0 5.8 8.5 11.0 13.0 14.8 10.8 Mean Rain (mm) 69.6 68.9 79.1 32.4 34.7 66.3 47.5 42.3 46.2 55.7 86.8 83.6 718.2 Mean Rain Days 8.8 8.5 10.2 8.8 9.0 13.4 11.2 8.5 7.1 9.0 10.0 10.2 114.6