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Forecast

Bergalia (35.9813°S, 150.1052°E, 17m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Showers 16° 27°
    Chance of rain: 60%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:46am EDT 7:11am EDT 6:56pm EDT 7:22pm EDT
    NOW
    17.8° Feels Like: 18.7°
    Relative Humidity: 94%
    Dew: 16.8°
    Wind: NW 7km/h
    Gust: 9km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 2.4mm
    Pressure: 1013.2hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Bergalia
    Now
    19.0°c
    Feels Like:
    17.8°
    Wind:
    N 19km/h
    Gusts:
    20km/h
    Humidity:
    90%
    Showers
     
    16°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Today in Bergalia
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning. Areas of fog in the early morning. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 24 to 29.
    Tomorrow
    Clearing shower
    15°
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Areas of fog in the early morning. Medium chance of showers or drizzle in the north, slight chance elsewhere. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning. Areas of fog in the early morning. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 24 to 29.

    Forecast for Bergalia (35.9813°S, 150.1052°E, 17m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Showers Clearing shower Showers easing Possible shower Late shower Late shower Mostly sunny
    Minimum 16° 15° 15° 16° 15° 14° 10°
    Maximum 27° 23° 24° 24° 25° 25° 23°
    Chance of rain 60% 70% 50% 60% 60% 50% 5%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High High High High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 12
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N E SSW SE N ENE NNE NE N NNE NNW NNW WNW WNW
    Relative humidity 87% 60% 87% 70% 89% 74% 88% 80% 83% 65% 74% 45% 41% 32%
    Dew point 17°C 17°C 17°C 16°C 17°C 18°C 18°C 19°C 16°C 17°C 14°C 12°C 4°C 4°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Bergalia Rain Forecast


    Bergalia 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Apr 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    HIGH
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 April to 15 April, 15 April to 19 April, and 23 April to 27 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 March to 31 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 April to 13 April, 15 April to 19 April, and 23 April to 27 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Bergalia Rain Forecast


    Bergalia 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    8
    7
    6
    7
    8
    7
    5
    5
    9
    3
    5
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Bergalia Rain Forecast


    Bergalia 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Apr 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    HIGH
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 April to 15 April, 15 April to 19 April, and 23 April to 27 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 March to 31 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 April to 13 April, 15 April to 19 April, and 23 April to 27 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Bergalia Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Mar 25
    15.4 °C 21.0 °C
    2.2 mm
    Thursday
    Mar 26
    11.9 °C 21.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Mar 27
    14.9 °C 21.0 °C
    5.2 mm
    Saturday
    Mar 28
    12.7 °C 21.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Mar 29
    14.5 °C 23 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Bergalia minimum temp history (35.9813°S, 150.1052°E, 17m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 30.5° 20/03/2020 Coldest this month 9.9° 15/03/2020
    Hottest on record 40.6 13/03/1998 Coldest on record 6.1 24/03/1967
    Hottest this year 38.6° 23/01/2020 Coldest this year 9.9° 15/03/2020
    Long term average 23.1° Long term average 15.3°
    Average this month 22.3° Average this month 14.9°
    Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 25.6° 1998 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 13.2° 1965
    Bergalia rainfall history (35.9813°S, 150.1052°E, 17m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 49.8mm 05/03/2020 Total This Month 99.0mm
    13.0 days
    Long Term Average 106.9mm 10.8 days Wettest March on record 570.7mm 1975
    Driest on record 3.1mm 1922
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Bergalia Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Mar 296.1mm 32.0 day(s)
    Total For 2020 325.2mm 42.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 237.4mm 39.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 101.8mm Feb10
    Lowest Temperature 9.9°C Mar15
    Highest Temperature 38.6°C Jan23
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Bergalia Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 23.7 23.8 23.1 21.4 19.0 16.8 16.3 17.1 18.7 20.1 21.1 22.5 20.3
    Mean Min (°C) 16.4 16.6 15.3 12.5 9.7 7.5 6.2 6.8 8.7 11.0 13.1 14.9 11.5
    Mean Rain (mm) 94.7 94.5 106.9 85.5 82.4 89.3 55.1 55.5 59.5 77.7 77.3 74.1 952.4
    Mean Rain Days 11.0 10.2 10.8 9.3 8.6 8.6 7.5 7.5 9.2 10.3 10.9 11.0 113.9