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Forecast

Ben Bullen (33.2196°S, 150.0217°E, 898m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Hazy 12° 27°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:14am EDT 5:42am EDT 7:58pm EDT 8:27pm EDT
    NOW
    18.5° Feels Like: 15.1°
    Relative Humidity: 33%
    Dew: 1.9°
    Wind: WNW 9km/h
    Gust: 19km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Ben Bullen
    Now
    17.3°c
    Feels Like:
    14.5°
    Wind:
    N 6km/h
    Gusts:
    7km/h
    Humidity:
    36%
    Hazy
     
    12°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Today in Ben Bullen
    Sunny. Areas of smoke haze on and east of the ranges. Winds W 20 to 30 km/h tending SW 15 to 20 km/h in the evening then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 26 to 33.
    Tomorrow
    Hazy
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower about the Blue Mountains at night. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Areas of smoke haze in the east. Light winds becoming SW 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching 27 to 33.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Areas of smoke haze on and east of the ranges. Winds W 20 to 30 km/h tending SW 15 to 20 km/h in the evening then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 26 to 33.

    Forecast for Ben Bullen (33.2196°S, 150.0217°E, 898m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Hazy Hazy Hazy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 12° 10° 13° 13°
    Maximum 27° 27° 28° 32° 35° 28° 20°
    Chance of rain 5% 30% 10% 5% 40% 60% 40%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Very High Very High Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 15
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W W WSW WSW ENE ESE ENE NNW NW W E ENE NW W
    Relative humidity 30% 11% 30% 10% 51% 20% 55% 17% 28% 9% 51% 28% 58% 17%
    Dew point 4°C -6°C 1°C -7°C 8°C 3°C 11°C 4°C 7°C -2°C 11°C 8°C 8°C -5°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Ben Bullen Rain Forecast


    Ben Bullen 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Jan 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 15 December to 19 December, 22 December to 26 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 12 December to 16 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 22 December to 26 December, and 4 January to 8 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Ben Bullen Rain Forecast


    Ben Bullen 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    2019
    2020
    2
    3
    6
    6
    6
    4
    7
    5
    4
    5
    1
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Ben Bullen Rain Forecast


    Ben Bullen 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Jan 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 15 December to 19 December, 22 December to 26 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 12 December to 16 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 22 December to 26 December, and 4 January to 8 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    We're sorry, but there are no daily observations available for Ben Bullen

  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Ben Bullen minimum temp history (33.2196°S, 150.0217°E, 898m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 22.4° 01/12/2019 Coldest this month 5.8° 01/12/2019
    Hottest on record 34.0 17/12/2009 Coldest on record 1.0 07/12/2013
    Hottest this year 36.1° 17/01/2019 Coldest this year -6.7° 14/08/2019
    Long term average 24.1° Long term average 11.3°
    Average this month 18.4° Average this month 7.5°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.4° 2016 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 9.9° 2011
    Ben Bullen rainfall history (33.2196°S, 150.0217°E, 898m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.7mm 02/12/2019 Total This Month 1.1mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 77.0mm 9.3 days Wettest December on record 257.8mm 2016
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Ben Bullen Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 789.2mm 125.5 day(s)
    Total For 2019 466.2mm 149.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 570.4mm 131.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 27.6mm Mar30
    Lowest Temperature -6.7°C Aug14
    Highest Temperature 36.1°C Jan17
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Ben Bullen Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.2 24.4 22.2 18.2 14.9 11.1 10.6 12.6 16.2 19.7 22.8 24.1 18.6
    Mean Min (°C) 13.4 13.1 10.9 7.2 3.3 2.4 1.1 1.5 3.8 6.2 9.7 11.3 7.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 82.4 80.9 72.3 57.2 49.6 72.8 62.1 55.9 55.1 61.4 62.5 77.0 791.4
    Mean Rain Days 9.4 9.9 10.8 10.3 11.1 13.0 12.1 11.8 9.6 9.5 8.7 9.3 117.4