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Forecast

Belrose West (33.7393°S, 151.2114°E, 93m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Showers 15° 20°
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:48am EST 6:13am EST 5:39pm EST 6:05pm EST
    NOW
    14.9° Feels Like: 14.7°
    Relative Humidity: 100%
    Dew: 14.9°
    Wind: W 9km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 8.4mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Belrose West
    Now
    16.8°c
    Feels Like:
    14.6°
    Wind:
    W 17km/h
    Gusts:
    20km/h
    Humidity:
    81%
    Showers
     
    15°
    Min
    20°
    Max
    Today in Belrose West
    Mostly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. Light winds.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    15°
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Areas of fog in the early morning, mostly in the west. High chance of showers, most likely from the late morning. Light winds.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Belrose West

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. Light winds.

    Forecast for Belrose West (33.7393°S, 151.2114°E, 93m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Showers Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny
    Minimum 15° 15° 14° 11° 11° 11° 12°
    Maximum 20° 22° 24° 19° 20° 23° 23°
    Chance of rain 70% 70% 50% 5% 10% 20% 5%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High High High High Moderate - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 8
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSW ESE NNE NNE NW W WSW SSW WSW E W E NW ENE
    Relative humidity 91% 82% 93% 90% 72% 55% 62% 58% 75% 64% 77% 65% 79% 66%
    Dew point 15°C 16°C 17°C 19°C 14°C 12°C 8°C 9°C 12°C 12°C 13°C 15°C 14°C 15°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Belrose West Rain Forecast


    Belrose West 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    HIGH
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    May 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 15 April to 19 April, 26 April to 30 April, and 30 April to 4 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 April to 10 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 April to 19 April, 29 April to 3 May, and 8 May to 12 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Belrose West Rain Forecast


    Belrose West 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    7
    6
    6
    7
    8
    7
    5
    9
    4
    4
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Belrose West Rain Forecast


    Belrose West 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    HIGH
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    May 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 15 April to 19 April, 26 April to 30 April, and 30 April to 4 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 April to 10 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 April to 19 April, 29 April to 3 May, and 8 May to 12 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Belrose West Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Apr 04
    18.4 °C 25.1 °C
    15.0 mm
    Sunday
    Apr 05
    - 23.3 °C
    0.2 mm
    Monday
    Apr 06
    12.1 °C 22.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Apr 07
    14.1 °C 19.3 °C
    1.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Apr 08
    13.3 °C 18 °C
    0.8 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Belrose West minimum temp history (33.7393°S, 151.2114°E, 93m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 24.7° 02/04/2020 Coldest this month 12.1° 06/04/2020
    Hottest on record 32.2 06/04/2016 Coldest on record 5.5 29/04/2008
    Hottest this year 44.5° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 11.7° 15/03/2020
    Long term average 22.0° Long term average 13.8°
    Average this month 22.8° Average this month 15.9°
    Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 23.9° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 12.3° 2008
    Belrose West rainfall history (33.7393°S, 151.2114°E, 93m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 15.0mm 04/04/2020 Total This Month 20.6mm
    6.0 days
    Long Term Average 124.1mm 13.1 days Wettest April on record 360.2mm 2015
    Driest on record 6.4mm 2006
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Belrose West Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Apr 499.4mm 55.0 day(s)
    Total For 2020 468.6mm 53.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 427.4mm 46.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 61.6mm Mar 6
    Lowest Temperature 11.7°C Mar15
    Highest Temperature 44.5°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Belrose West Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.7 26.0 24.7 22.0 19.5 16.5 16.0 17.8 20.6 22.8 24.1 25.3 21.9
    Mean Min (°C) 18.4 18.2 16.9 13.8 10.7 8.9 7.6 8.4 11.1 13.1 15.4 16.6 13.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 100.4 138.5 136.4 124.1 60.4 154.9 67.7 58.6 67.2 71.3 106.2 85.7 1170.4
    Mean Rain Days 13.8 14.0 14.1 13.1 8.5 13.8 10.9 9.1 9.5 10.8 12.9 11.8 129.7