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Forecast

Belfrayden (35.1168°S, 147.0532°E, 172m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Late shower 11° 28°
    late shower
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 10-20mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:58am EDT 7:23am EDT 7:04pm EDT 7:30pm EDT
    NOW
    12.2° Feels Like: 12.3°
    Relative Humidity: 88%
    Dew: 10.3°
    Wind: CAL 0km/h
    Gust: 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Belfrayden
    Now
    14.6°c
    Feels Like:
    12.8°
    Wind:
    E 7km/h
    Gusts:
    7km/h
    Humidity:
    66%
    Late shower
     
    11°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Today in Belfrayden
    Becoming cloudy. High chance of rain in the late afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming E/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching the high 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Possible thunderstorm
    17°
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high chance of rain in the east, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Locally heavy falls possible in the east. Winds N/NE 15 to 20 km/h turning W/NW 20 to 30 km/h during the morning and early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 16 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Belfrayden

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Becoming cloudy. High chance of rain in the late afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming E/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching the high 20s.

    Forecast for Belfrayden (35.1168°S, 147.0532°E, 172m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Late shower Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 11° 17° 16° 15°
    Maximum 28° 23° 21° 20° 16° 19° 21°
    Chance of rain 90% 80% 90% 30% 20% 5% 5%
    Likely amount 10-20mm 10-20mm 10-20mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High High High High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 12
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    Wind direction E NNE NE NNW NE NNE W W W W SSW SW SSE S
    Relative humidity 72% 31% 89% 75% 88% 78% 77% 53% 63% 49% 69% 46% 65% 42%
    Dew point 11°C 9°C 17°C 17°C 16°C 16°C 13°C 9°C 5°C 4°C 8°C 6°C 7°C 7°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Belfrayden Rain Forecast


    Belfrayden 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    Apr 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar31

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 April to 26 April, 28 April to 2 May, and 3 May to 7 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 19 April to 23 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 April to 26 April, 29 April to 3 May, and 3 May to 7 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Belfrayden Rain Forecast


    Belfrayden 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    4
    6
    7
    7
    6
    7
    6
    10
    7
    6
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Belfrayden Rain Forecast


    Belfrayden 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    Apr 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar31

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 April to 26 April, 28 April to 2 May, and 3 May to 7 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 19 April to 23 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 April to 26 April, 29 April to 3 May, and 3 May to 7 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    We're sorry, but there are no daily observations available for Belfrayden

  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Belfrayden minimum temp history (35.1168°S, 147.0532°E, 172m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 33.7° 01/03/2020 Coldest this month 8.7° 23/03/2020
    Hottest on record 35.4 04/04/1986 Coldest on record -2.1 22/04/2006
    Hottest this year 46.1° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 8.7° 27/02/2020
    Long term average 27.7° Long term average 13.4°
    Average this month 26.8° Average this month 14.2°
    Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.3° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 5.4° 1977
    Belfrayden rainfall history (35.1168°S, 147.0532°E, 172m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 40.4mm 05/03/2020 Total This Month 77.4mm
    5.0 days
    Long Term Average 45.1mm 5.6 days Wettest April on record 216.9mm 1974
    Driest on record 0.5mm 1967
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Belfrayden Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Mar 126.9mm 16.2 day(s)
    Total For 2020 108.6mm 18.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 121.6mm 24.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 40.4mm Mar 5
    Lowest Temperature 8.7°C Feb27
    Highest Temperature 46.1°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Belfrayden Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 31.7 30.9 27.7 22.5 17.4 13.8 12.7 14.5 17.7 21.6 25.9 29.5 22.1
    Mean Min (°C) 16.3 16.4 13.4 9.2 5.9 3.7 2.8 3.5 5.1 7.8 10.9 13.8 9.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 40.8 41.0 45.1 40.2 50.9 51.2 55.0 51.4 50.0 56.8 46.4 45.6 574.2
    Mean Rain Days 5.3 5.3 5.6 6.8 9.7 12.4 14.7 13.4 10.7 9.5 7.4 6.2 105.2