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Forecast

Belfrayden (35.1168°S, 147.0532°E, 172m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Hazy 16° 35°
    Chance of rain: 30%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:50am EDT 6:18am EDT 8:25pm EDT 8:53pm EDT
    NOW
    36.6° Feels Like: 31.0°
    Relative Humidity: 12%
    Dew: 2.6°
    Wind: NW 20km/h
    Gust: 30km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Belfrayden
    Now
    34.8°c
    Feels Like:
    28.3°
    Wind:
    NNW 24km/h
    Gusts:
    39km/h
    Humidity:
    12%
    Hazy
     
    16°
    Min
    35°
    Max
    Today in Belfrayden
    Hot. Sunny morning. Areas of raised dust this afternoon and evening. Slight chance of a shower late this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and evening with gusty winds. Winds N/NE 20 to 30 km/h tending N/NW 35 to 50 km/h in the late morning and early afternoon then decreasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 30s.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    22°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Areas of raised dust in the morning, mainly in the north. Medium chance of showers in the southeast, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds S/SW 20 to 30 km/h tending NW/SW 25 to 35 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 22 with daytime temperatures reaching 26 to 31.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Hot. Sunny morning. Areas of raised dust this afternoon and evening. Slight chance of a shower late this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and evening with gusty winds. Winds N/NE 20 to 30 km/h tending N/NW 35 to 50 km/h in the late morning and early afternoon then decreasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 30s.

    Forecast for Belfrayden (35.1168°S, 147.0532°E, 172m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Hazy Possible shower Sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 16° 22° 16° 13° 15° 17° 19°
    Maximum 35° 29° 27° 32° 35° 38° 37°
    Chance of rain 30% 50% 5% 5% 10% 40% 30%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 15
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NE N W WNW SW WSW SSE WSW SE WSW NE WNW NW W
    Relative humidity 50% 17% 56% 40% 42% 22% 49% 20% 50% 17% 52% 18% 52% 22%
    Dew point 12°C 6°C 13°C 14°C 6°C 3°C 9°C 6°C 11°C 6°C 15°C 10°C 15°C 12°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Belfrayden Rain Forecast


    Belfrayden 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Belfrayden Rain Forecast


    Belfrayden 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    6
    7
    6
    7
    6
    8
    8
    7
    5
    1
    8
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Belfrayden Rain Forecast


    Belfrayden 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    We're sorry, but there are no daily observations available for Belfrayden

  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Belfrayden minimum temp history (35.1168°S, 147.0532°E, 172m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 46.1° 04/01/2020 Coldest this month 9.8° 01/01/2020
    Hottest on record 44.8 23/01/2001 Coldest on record 3.4 13/01/1975
    Hottest this year 46.1° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 9.8° 01/01/2020
    Long term average 31.7° Long term average 16.3°
    Average this month 33.6° Average this month 17.8°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 35.8° 1979 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 12.2° 1987
    Belfrayden rainfall history (35.1168°S, 147.0532°E, 172m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 8.0mm 21/01/2020 Total This Month 11.6mm
    7.0 days
    Long Term Average 40.8mm 5.3 days Wettest January on record 174.4mm 1979
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Belfrayden Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 40.8mm 5.3 day(s)
    Total For 2020 11.6mm 7.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 32.4mm 5.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 8.0mm Jan21
    Lowest Temperature 9.8°C Jan 1
    Highest Temperature 46.1°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Belfrayden Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 31.7 30.9 27.7 22.5 17.4 13.8 12.7 14.5 17.7 21.6 25.9 29.5 22.1
    Mean Min (°C) 16.3 16.4 13.4 9.2 5.9 3.7 2.8 3.5 5.1 7.8 10.9 13.8 9.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 40.8 41.0 45.1 40.2 50.9 51.2 55.0 51.4 50.0 56.8 46.4 45.6 574.2
    Mean Rain Days 5.3 5.3 5.6 6.8 9.7 12.4 14.7 13.4 10.7 9.5 7.4 6.2 105.2