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Forecast

Bearbong (31.6008°S, 149.009°E, 509m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Showers increasing 21° 33°
    showers increasing
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:59am EDT 6:25am EDT 8:06pm EDT 8:33pm EDT
    NOW
    30.6° Feels Like: 33.1°
    Relative Humidity: 45%
    Dew: 17.3°
    Wind: CAL 0km/h
    Gust: 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm
    Pressure: 1013.0hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Bearbong
    Now
    37.4°c
    Feels Like:
    37.1°
    Wind:
    WSW 6km/h
    Gusts:
    7km/h
    Humidity:
    23%
    Showers increasing
     
    21°
    Min
    33°
    Max
    Today in Bearbong
    Hot and mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the north, most likely in the afternoon and early evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Winds NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending NW/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then tending S/SW in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to 21 to 26 with daytime temperatures reaching around 40.
    Tomorrow
    Showers increasing
    21°
    Min
    33°
    Max
    Hot and sunny. Light winds becoming S/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 26 with daytime temperatures reaching around 40.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Bearbong

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Hot and mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the north, most likely in the afternoon and early evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Winds NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending NW/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then tending S/SW in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to 21 to 26 with daytime temperatures reaching around 40.

    Forecast for Bearbong (31.6008°S, 149.009°E, 509m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Showers increasing Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Late shower Rain
    Minimum 21° 22° 21° 22° 23° 23° 21°
    Maximum 33° 35° 36° 36° 36° 37° 29°
    Chance of rain 50% 20% 5% 5% 10% 80% 80%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 19
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N WNW NE WSW ENE ENE N NNE N N N NNW NW W
    Relative humidity 68% 43% 65% 33% 62% 32% 56% 29% 54% 29% 47% 23% 59% 41%
    Dew point 19°C 19°C 19°C 17°C 17°C 16°C 16°C 15°C 16°C 15°C 15°C 12°C 15°C 15°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Bearbong Rain Forecast


    Bearbong 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    HIGH
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    23
    24
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan27

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 February to 15 February, 20 February to 24 February, and 25 February to 29 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 4 February to 8 February, and 17 February to 21 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 11 February to 15 February, 18 February to 22 February, and 25 February to 29 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Bearbong Rain Forecast


    Bearbong 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    5
    7
    5
    7
    6
    8
    7
    4
    7
    5
    5
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Bearbong Rain Forecast


    Bearbong 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    HIGH
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    23
    24
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan27

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 February to 15 February, 20 February to 24 February, and 25 February to 29 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 4 February to 8 February, and 17 February to 21 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 11 February to 15 February, 18 February to 22 February, and 25 February to 29 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Bearbong Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Jan 23
    18.5 °C 38.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jan 24
    22.0 °C 34.0 °C
    10.5 mm
    Saturday
    Jan 25
    20.9 °C 33.3 °C
    0.1 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 26
    20.4 °C 32.6 °C
    6.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 27
    19.9 °C -
    9.8 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Bearbong minimum temp history (31.6008°S, 149.009°E, 509m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 42.4° 05/01/2020 Coldest this month 12.3° 22/01/2020
    Hottest on record 44.0 03/01/2014 Coldest on record 3.6 04/01/2002
    Hottest this year 42.4° 05/01/2020 Coldest this year 12.3° 22/01/2020
    Long term average 31.4° Long term average 15.6°
    Average this month 34.9° Average this month 19.7°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 34.9° 1985 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 12.1° 2000
    Bearbong rainfall history (31.6008°S, 149.009°E, 509m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 10.5mm 24/01/2020 Total This Month 42.1mm
    11.0 days
    Long Term Average 89.7mm 7.2 days Wettest January on record 365.0mm 1985
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Bearbong Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 89.7mm 7.2 day(s)
    Total For 2020 42.1mm 11.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 56.9mm 9.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 10.5mm Jan24
    Lowest Temperature 12.3°C Jan22
    Highest Temperature 42.4°C Jan 5
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Bearbong Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 31.4 30.7 28.1 24.1 19.5 16.0 15.1 17.0 20.4 24.2 27.5 30.2 23.7
    Mean Min (°C) 15.6 15.2 12.1 7.5 3.8 1.6 0.4 1.1 3.9 7.5 10.9 13.6 7.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 89.7 81.0 63.5 52.0 53.5 57.5 55.2 52.5 51.3 59.4 64.4 70.4 750.1
    Mean Rain Days 7.2 6.3 5.8 5.1 6.2 7.9 7.7 7.3 6.7 7.2 7.2 7.3 80.9