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Forecast

Bara (32.5714°S, 149.8432°E, 639m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Thunderstorms 19° 32°
    Chance of rain: 60%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:46am EDT 6:13am EDT 8:11pm EDT 8:39pm EDT
    NOW
    19.6° Feels Like: 20.8°
    Relative Humidity: 98%
    Dew: 19.3°
    Wind: S 11km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 2.4mm
    Pressure: 1006.6hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Bara
    Now
    16.0°c
    Feels Like:
    16.8°
    Wind:
    WSW 6km/h
    Gusts:
    6km/h
    Humidity:
    100%
    Thunderstorms
     
    19°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Today in Bara
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers. A thunderstorm likely, possibly severe and with gusty winds. Areas of raised dust in the west in the afternoon and evening. Winds NE/SE 15 to 20 km/h tending N/NW 25 to 40 km/h in the morning then tending W/NW 25 to 35 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 27 to 33.
    Tomorrow
    Thunderstorms
    19°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Areas of raised dust in the west in the afternoon and early evening. Light winds becoming W 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 31.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers. A thunderstorm likely, possibly severe and with gusty winds. Areas of raised dust in the west in the afternoon and evening. Winds NE/SE 15 to 20 km/h tending N/NW 25 to 40 km/h in the morning then tending W/NW 25 to 35 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 27 to 33.

    Forecast for Bara (32.5714°S, 149.8432°E, 639m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Thunderstorms Sunny Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 19° 17° 16° 22° 22° 18° 19°
    Maximum 32° 30° 36° 38° 34° 33° 36°
    Chance of rain 60% 5% 5% 30% 50% 40% 50%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 11
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NE NNW WNW W ENE NNW N NW W WNW E NW NNW WNW
    Relative humidity 72% 30% 51% 29% 53% 17% 47% 19% 50% 31% 60% 31% 54% 20%
    Dew point 18°C 12°C 11°C 10°C 13°C 7°C 15°C 11°C 14°C 14°C 14°C 13°C 14°C 9°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Bara Rain Forecast


    Bara 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    HIGH
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 January to 28 January, 15 February to 19 February, and 22 February to 26 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 February to 15 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 16 February to 20 February, and 22 February to 26 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Bara Rain Forecast


    Bara 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    5
    6
    5
    7
    6
    8
    7
    4
    5
    3
    5
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Bara Rain Forecast


    Bara 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    HIGH
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 January to 28 January, 15 February to 19 February, and 22 February to 26 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 February to 15 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 16 February to 20 February, and 22 February to 26 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Bara Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Jan 15
    18.5 °C 33.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 16
    18.8 °C 24.1 °C
    7.0 mm
    Friday
    Jan 17
    17.9 °C 25.8 °C
    5.4 mm
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    19.3 °C 25.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 19
    18.6 °C 26 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Bara minimum temp history (32.5714°S, 149.8432°E, 639m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 42.2° 04/01/2020 Coldest this month 17.3° 14/01/2020
    Hottest on record 42.5 03/01/2014 Coldest on record 0.0 14/01/1991
    Hottest this year 42.2° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 17.3° 14/01/2020
    Long term average 30.6° Long term average 15.8°
    Average this month 34.0° Average this month 19.8°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 33.7° 2017 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 12.8° 1991
    Bara rainfall history (32.5714°S, 149.8432°E, 639m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 9.6mm 08/01/2020 Total This Month 28.0mm
    7.0 days
    Long Term Average 70.7mm 7.1 days Wettest January on record 195.6mm 2017
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Bara Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 70.7mm 7.1 day(s)
    Total For 2020 28.0mm 7.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 39.8mm 7.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 9.6mm Jan 8
    Lowest Temperature 17.3°C Jan14
    Highest Temperature 42.2°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Bara Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.6 29.4 26.7 22.9 18.5 14.9 14.3 16.0 19.4 23.0 26.4 28.8 22.6
    Mean Min (°C) 15.8 15.5 12.6 7.7 4.1 2.6 1.4 1.6 4.3 7.5 11.1 13.7 8.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 70.7 70.0 59.2 37.7 39.9 47.2 49.0 37.4 60.7 53.7 78.7 84.9 689.5
    Mean Rain Days 7.1 7.2 6.9 5.0 6.5 10.3 10.3 7.7 7.7 8.1 9.3 8.9 90.4