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Forecast

Balmoral Village (34.309°S, 150.5243°E, 446m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Late shower 10°
    late shower
    Chance of rain: 60%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:36am EST 7:04am EST 4:55pm EST 5:23pm EST
    NOW
    6.6° Feels Like: 0.3°
    Relative Humidity: 88%
    Dew: 4.8°
    Wind: WSW 26km/h
    Gust: 33km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm
    Pressure: 1010.2hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Balmoral Village
    Now
    6.6°c
    Feels Like:
    0.3°
    Wind:
    WSW 26km/h
    Gusts:
    33km/h
    Humidity:
    88%
    Late shower
     
    Min
    10°
    Max
    Today in Balmoral Village
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers near the coast, high chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Gusty winds along the coastal fringe in the morning and afternoon. Winds SW 30 to 45 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 15.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    Min
    10°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers near the coast, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm near the coast in the late morning and afternoon. Winds S 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 16.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers near the coast, high chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Gusty winds along the coastal fringe in the morning and afternoon. Winds SW 30 to 45 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 15.

    Forecast for Balmoral Village (34.309°S, 150.5243°E, 446m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Late shower Possible shower Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum
    Maximum 10° 10° 11° 12° 13° 13° 13°
    Chance of rain 60% 60% 60% 40% 60% 70% 70%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low - - -
    Frost risk Slight Slight Slight Moderate Slight Slight Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 29
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW SW SSW SSW SSW S WSW ESE N NNE N NE NW NNW
    Relative humidity 81% 87% 96% 89% 100% 89% 100% 77% 100% 78% 95% 85% 98% 73%
    Dew point 6°C 7°C 7°C 7°C 8°C 8°C 7°C 7°C 9°C 8°C 8°C 9°C 9°C 7°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Balmoral Village Rain Forecast


    Balmoral Village 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    HIGH
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    HIGH
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    LOW
    Jul 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 28 June to 2 July, 3 July to 7 July, and 18 July to 22 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 24 June to 28 June, and 21 July to 25 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 June to 27 June, 28 June to 2 July, and 3 July to 7 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Balmoral Village Rain Forecast


    Balmoral Village 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    2021
    2022
    6
    6
    8
    7
    7
    7
    6
    8
    7
    4
    6
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral. IOD status: Neutral, although during the past three weeks it has been negative. SAM status: Positive. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral, which is predicted to continue until at least October. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral. although the last 3 weekly values have been negative.The negative value would need to continue for another 5 weeks for a negative IOD to be declared. While a negative IOD has not been officially declared, the negative weekly value may enhance rainfall across central and southern Australia. A negative IOD is forecast during winter or early spring by 3 out of 5 climate models. However, the confidence in the IOD forecast at this time of the year is low, specifically because the models are showing a range of outcomes from mid winter onwards. During winter, much of the Australia is likely to be wetter than normal, apart from far southern WA and SA, southern VIC and much of TAS. The weekly negative IOD valuesmay be influencing this outlook, potentially feeding moisture into cold fronts sweeping across central and southern Australia. Therefore a normal to above normal snow season is forecast. Springs rainfall at this stage is forecast to be above normal for much of the Australia, apart from western TAS. Again, the negative IOD values may be playing a role in this outlook.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Balmoral Village Rain Forecast


    Balmoral Village 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    HIGH
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    HIGH
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    LOW
    Jul 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 28 June to 2 July, 3 July to 7 July, and 18 July to 22 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 24 June to 28 June, and 21 July to 25 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 June to 27 June, 28 June to 2 July, and 3 July to 7 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Balmoral Village Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Jun 13
    - -
    -
    Monday
    Jun 14
    - -
    -
    Tuesday
    Jun 15
    - -
    -
    Wednesday
    Jun 16
    - -
    -
    Thursday
    Jun 17
    - -
    -
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    We're sorry, but there is no almanac available for Balmoral Village

  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    We're sorry, but there is no almanac available for Balmoral Village

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Balmoral Village Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.4 24.2 21.9 19.2 15.5 12.5 12.0 13.3 16.8 19.6 22.3 24.4 18.9
    Mean Min (°C) 14.2 13.9 12.0 8.7 4.7 3.5 2.5 2.9 5.4 7.9 10.6 12.3 8.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 59.8 109.6 83.3 50.7 40.5 81.7 47.5 52.6 35.9 46.8 67.2 57.1 723.4
    Mean Rain Days 13.1 14.6 15.6 15.8 14.6 17.2 12.9 11.8 11.1 11.6 13.8 12.2 163.1