Forecast
Ballina (28.87°S, 153.5592°E, 1m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW19° 29° clearing shower Chance of rain: 60% Likely amount: 5-10mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:26am EDT 6:49am EDT 6:57pm EDT 7:20pm EDT NOW24.6° Feels Like: 26.7° Relative Humidity: 81% Dew: 21.1° Wind: E 11km/h Gust: 13km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1016.3hPa -
Today Weather
BallinaNow24.8°cFeels Like:25.9°Wind:E 15km/hGusts:17km/hHumidity:77%19°Min29°MaxToday in BallinaPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely at night. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 18 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.Tomorrow19°Min29°MaxCloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Winds S 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 18 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Ballina
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely at night. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 18 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
Forecast for Ballina (28.87°S, 153.5592°E, 1m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 19° 20° 19° 18° 19° 18° 19° Maximum 29° 24° 25° 26° 25° 27° 28° Chance of rain 60% 80% 60% 50% 90% 80% 80% Likely amount 5-10mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index Very High Very High Very High High High High High Fire Danger Rating No Rating Moderate No Rating Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 6
(km/h)16
(km/h)31
(km/h)34
(km/h)21
(km/h)21
(km/h)12
(km/h)17
(km/h)13
(km/h)16
(km/h)10
(km/h)15
(km/h)9
(km/h)15
(km/h)Wind direction W E S S S SSE SW S SW S SSW SE WSW SE Relative humidity 88% 66% 93% 81% 81% 74% 88% 76% 90% 79% 88% 69% 84% 67% Dew point 21°C 21°C 21°C 19°C 18°C 19°C 20°C 20°C 21°C 20°C 21°C 20°C 21°C 21°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Ballina Rain Forecast
Ballina 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Ballina Rain Forecast
Ballina 12-month Rainfall ForecastMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFeb20242025678787676887105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Mar 5
ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
Ballina Rain Forecast
Ballina 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Past 5 Days
Ballina Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Mar 1517.9 °C - 0.0 mmSaturday
Mar 1620.2 °C 26.6 °C -Sunday
Mar 1718.7 °C 25.6 °C 12.4 mmMonday
Mar 1820.8 °C 29.0 °C 0.4 mmTuesday
Mar 1919.2 °C 27.2 °C 5.2 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Ballina minimum temp history (28.87°S, 153.5592°E, 1m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 31.4° 02/03/2024 Coldest this month 17.1° 14/03/2024 Hottest on record 36.3 05/03/2015 Coldest on record 11.0 28/03/2005 Hottest this year 34.2° 22/01/2024 Coldest this year 17.1° 14/03/2024 Long term average 27.1° Long term average 18.5° Average this month 28.1° Average this month 20.0° Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.2° 1998 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 15.9° 2005 Ballina rainfall history (28.87°S, 153.5592°E, 1m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 20.8mm 05/03/2024 Total This Month 54.2mm
11.0 daysLong Term Average 236.8mm 18.3 days Wettest March on record 583.8mm 1994 Driest on record 28.4mm 1998 -
Year to Date
Ballina Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Mar 623.3mm 48.1 day(s) Total For 2024 534.4mm 47.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 352.8mm 31.0 day(s) Wettest Day 152.4mm Jan16 Lowest Temperature 17.1°C Mar14 Highest Temperature 34.2°C Jan22 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Ballina Climatology
Ballina Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 28.3 28.0 27.1 25.0 22.5 20.3 20.1 21.4 23.6 24.9 26.2 27.6 24.6 Mean Min (°C) 19.8 19.7 18.5 15.4 12.2 10.1 8.8 8.9 11.6 14.2 16.5 18.4 14.5 Mean Rain (mm) 166.7 219.8 236.8 185.7 159.0 187.4 109.9 85.7 68.1 107.1 121.0 148.3 1776.8 Mean Rain Days 14.2 15.6 18.3 15.6 14.8 13.4 11.5 9.1 9.1 11.8 12.1 13.4 156.9