Forecast
Bald Blair (30.1814°S, 151.7957°E, 1334m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY14° 27° possible shower Chance of rain: 70% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:50am EDT 6:17am EDT 7:55pm EDT 8:21pm EDT NOW21.1° Feels Like: 21.4° Relative Humidity: 74% Dew: 16.3° Wind: W 9km/h Gust: 9km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1014.8hPa -
Today Weather
Bald BlairNow19.2°cFeels Like:20.5°Wind:E 7km/hGusts:9km/hHumidity:92%14°Min27°MaxToday in Bald BlairMostly sunny morning. Medium chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm, most likely during this afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming E 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 27 to 33.Tomorrow14°Min23°MaxPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers on and E of the ranges, slight chance elsewhere. Winds E 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching 23 to 29. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Bald Blair
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7 day forecast
Today: Mostly sunny morning. Medium chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm, most likely during this afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming E 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 27 to 33.
Forecast for Bald Blair (30.1814°S, 151.7957°E, 1334m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 14° 14° 12° 11° 12° 11° 11° Maximum 27° 23° 22° 24° 25° 24° 25° Chance of rain 70% 40% 40% 60% 50% 50% 80% Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm 5-10mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 8
(km/h)14
(km/h)20
(km/h)22
(km/h)19
(km/h)18
(km/h)14
(km/h)8
(km/h)6
(km/h)14
(km/h)14
(km/h)13
(km/h)8
(km/h)9
(km/h)Wind direction W SSE ESE ESE E E ENE E ESE SE E E NE SSW Relative humidity 60% 46% 81% 61% 79% 62% 80% 59% 75% 55% 78% 53% 65% 53% Dew point 14°C 14°C 15°C 15°C 13°C 14°C 13°C 15°C 14°C 15°C 12°C 14°C 13°C 15°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Bald Blair Rain Forecast
Bald Blair 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT27
MEDIUM28
LOW29
LOW30
LOW31
MEDIUMFeb 1
LOW2
MEDIUM3
4
5
6
7
HIGH8
MEDIUM9
LOW10
LOW11
LOW12
LOW13
LOW14
15
LOW16
LOW17
LOW18
LOW19
LOW20
MEDIUM21
22
23
LOW24
MEDIUMCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan26Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 18 February to 22 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 February to 15 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 22 February to 26 February, and 26 February to 2 March.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Bald Blair Rain Forecast
Bald Blair 12-month Rainfall ForecastJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2021986887756555105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jan 7
ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Bald Blair Rain Forecast
Bald Blair 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT27
MEDIUM28
LOW29
LOW30
LOW31
MEDIUMFeb 1
LOW2
MEDIUM3
4
5
6
7
HIGH8
MEDIUM9
LOW10
LOW11
LOW12
LOW13
LOW14
15
LOW16
LOW17
LOW18
LOW19
LOW20
MEDIUM21
22
23
LOW24
MEDIUMCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan26Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 18 February to 22 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 February to 15 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 22 February to 26 February, and 26 February to 2 March.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Bald Blair Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Jan 2212.0 °C 22.0 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Jan 2310.7 °C 26.0 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Jan 248.0 °C 26.8 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Jan 259.2 °C 26.5 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Jan 2612.6 °C - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Bald Blair minimum temp history (30.1814°S, 151.7957°E, 1334m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 26.8° 24/01/2021 Coldest this month 6.3° 17/01/2021 Hottest on record 34.4 03/01/2014 Coldest on record 1.4 02/01/1996 Hottest this year 26.8° 24/01/2021 Coldest this year 6.3° 17/01/2021 Long term average 24.3° Long term average 12.3° Average this month 22.2° Average this month 10.7° Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.4° 2001 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 9.7° 1997 Bald Blair rainfall history (30.1814°S, 151.7957°E, 1334m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 18.0mm 07/01/2021 Total This Month 41.2mm
9.0 daysLong Term Average 120.0mm 11.6 days Wettest January on record 286.1mm 1996 Driest on record 8.9mm 2014 -
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Year to Date
Bald Blair Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Jan 120.0mm 11.6 day(s) Total For 2021 41.2mm 9.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 142.4mm 14.0 day(s) Wettest Day 18.0mm Jan 7 Lowest Temperature 6.3°C Jan17 Highest Temperature 26.8°C Jan24 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Bald Blair Climatology
Bald Blair Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 24.3 23.3 21.4 18.1 14.5 11.2 10.5 12.2 15.6 18.7 20.9 23.0 17.8 Mean Min (°C) 12.3 11.9 10.2 7.1 4.1 1.9 0.8 1.2 3.9 6.5 8.9 10.9 6.6 Mean Rain (mm) 120.0 102.0 70.5 50.0 51.1 50.8 55.2 51.7 56.4 74.7 101.3 110.2 893.2 Mean Rain Days 11.6 11.1 10.3 8.7 9.5 11.4 10.7 8.5 8.4 9.8 11.0 11.7 122.6