Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
New South Wales
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for the Southern Tablelands and South West Slopes forecast districts.
Issued at 10:58 pm EST on Tuesday 20 August 2019.
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and strong westerly
winds are expected tonight and Wednesday. Areas likely to be affected include
parts of the Southern Tablelands and South West Slopes forecast districts.
There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
The next warning will be issued by 5:00 am EST Wednesday.
Forecast
Bald Blair (30.1814°S, 151.7957°E, 1334m AMSL) set as my default location ›
-
My MLA
-
Current condition
TODAY
-1° 12° Chance of rain: 30% Likely amount: < 1mm First
light
Last light Sunrise Sunset 5:57am EST 6:22am EST 5:32pm EST 5:56pm EST NOW1.7° Feels Like: -4.7° Relative Humidity: 84% Dew: -0.7° Wind: W 22km/h Gust: W 22km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1021.1hPa -
Today Weather
Bald BlairNow3.0°cFeels Like:-3.2°Wind:SW 19km/hGusts:20km/hHumidity:62%
-1°Min12°MaxToday in Bald BlairSunny. Areas of frost in the morning, mainly in the west. Winds W/SW 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between minus 3 and 7 above zero with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 23.Tomorrow
2°Min10°MaxMostly sunny. Areas of morning frost on and west of the ranges. Winds W/SW 30 to 45 km/h tending S/SW 15 to 20 km/h during the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between zero and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 21. -
Radar
-
Popup Radar
-
Warnings
-
Next 48 Hours
Next 48 Hours
-
7 day forecast
Today: Sunny. Areas of frost in the morning, mainly in the west. Winds W/SW 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between minus 3 and 7 above zero with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 23.
Forecast for Bald Blair (30.1814°S, 151.7957°E, 1334m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary 
Minimum -1° 2° -1° 1° 3° 3° 2° Maximum 12° 10° 15° 16° 17° 18° 17° Chance of rain 30% 20% 5% 5% 5% 5% 50% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate High High - - - Frost risk Severe Moderate Severe High Moderate Moderate Moderate 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 21
(km/h)27
(km/h)28
(km/h)29
(km/h)11
(km/h)7
(km/h)16
(km/h)17
(km/h)13
(km/h)14
(km/h)10
(km/h)11
(km/h)8
(km/h)8
(km/h)Wind direction WSW WSW WSW WSW SSE SSE NW WNW WNW W WNW W NW W Relative humidity 70% 53% 83% 67% 55% 35% 54% 41% 52% 40% 52% 43% 48% 44% Dew point 1°C 3°C 3°C 4°C -2°C -0°C 1°C 3°C 3°C 3°C 3°C 5°C 1°C 5°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Bald Blair Rain Forecast
Bald Blair 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT21
LOW22
23
24
25
LOW26
LOW27
MEDIUM28
LOW29
LOW30
LOW31
HIGHSep 1
LOW2
3
4
5
LOW6
LOW7
LOW8
9
LOW10
11
12
LOW13
MEDIUM14
LOW15
LOW16
LOW17
LOW18
MEDIUMCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Aug20Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are three main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, and New Zealand.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 25 August to 29 August, 6 September to 10 September, and 18 September to 22 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 25 August to 29 August, 29 August to 2 September, and 11 September to 15 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 25 August to 29 August, 31 August to 4 September, and 18 September to 22 September.
-
12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Bald Blair Rain Forecast
Bald Blair 12-month Rainfall ForecastAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJul20192020345566767685105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Aug 8
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SST's) continued a cooling trend over the central Pacific during July. The Nino3.4 index lingered at about 0.5 through the month of July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 in July, which is now in neutral territory. Current consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will remain across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Although, six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the remainder of 2019, none of these are reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. Moreover, the IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 50% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months. On the other hand, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive. Six out of six international models maintain a positive event until mid-spring. The climate outlook for the four weeks left in winter and spring, favours average-to-below average rainfall across the southern half of Australia, in particular over the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during the end of winter and the first half of spring due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. SST's along the eastern seaboard remain significantly warmer than average (especially off NSW) maintaining a high risk of extreme weather events such as East Coast Lows (ECLs). These can bring intense periods of rainfall east of the Great Dividing Range, leading to flash flooding.
-
Long range rainfall forecast
Bald Blair Rain Forecast
Bald Blair 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT21
LOW22
23
24
25
LOW26
LOW27
MEDIUM28
LOW29
LOW30
LOW31
HIGHSep 1
LOW2
3
4
5
LOW6
LOW7
LOW8
9
LOW10
11
12
LOW13
MEDIUM14
LOW15
LOW16
LOW17
LOW18
MEDIUMCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Aug20Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are three main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, and New Zealand.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 25 August to 29 August, 6 September to 10 September, and 18 September to 22 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 25 August to 29 August, 29 August to 2 September, and 11 September to 15 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 25 August to 29 August, 31 August to 4 September, and 18 September to 22 September.
-
Popup - Daily historical
-
Past 5 Days
Bald Blair Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Aug 162.1 °C 15.3 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Aug 174.0 °C 16.8 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Aug 182.8 °C 18.8 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Aug 195.4 °C 11.1 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Aug 20-3.7 °C - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Bald Blair minimum temp history (30.1814°S, 151.7957°E, 1334m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 18.8° 18/08/2019 Coldest this month -4.0° 20/08/2019 Hottest on record 25.2 24/08/2009 Coldest on record -7.0 01/08/1985 Hottest this year 33.8° 19/01/2019 Coldest this year -6.0° 31/05/2019 Long term average 12.1° Long term average 1.3° Average this month 13.2° Average this month 0.9° Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 16.2° 2009 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. -0.6° 2008 Bald Blair rainfall history (30.1814°S, 151.7957°E, 1334m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 4.2mm 08/08/2019 Total This Month 10.6mm
4.0 daysLong Term Average 54.2mm 8.8 days Wettest August on record 138.0mm 2009 -
Popup - Radar
-
Year to Date
Bald Blair Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Aug 565.3mm 83.7 day(s) Total For 2019 205.4mm 45.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 286.6mm 50.0 day(s) Wettest Day 32.4mm Mar31 Lowest Temperature -6.0°C May31 Highest Temperature 33.8°C Jan19 -
Popup - Monthly historical
-
Climatology
Bald Blair Climatology
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 24.0 23.2 21.3 18.0 14.5 11.1 10.4 12.1 15.4 18.5 20.7 22.6 17.6 Mean Min (°C) 12.1 11.9 10.1 7.0 4.1 1.8 0.8 1.3 3.8 6.4 8.9 10.7 6.5 Mean Rain (mm) 121.3 103.9 72.2 52.0 53.5 51.1 57.1 54.2 59.1 73.2 106.4 110.5 916.4 Mean Rain Days 11.6 11.2 10.4 9.0 9.9 11.5 11.3 8.8 8.6 9.6 11.4 11.8 120.7
