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Forecast

Balala (30.6121°S, 151.3358°E, 890m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Clearing shower 14°
    clearing shower
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:09am EST 6:34am EST 5:24pm EST 5:49pm EST
    NOW
    7.1° Feels Like: 6.0°
    Relative Humidity: 99%
    Dew: 7.0°
    Wind: NW 2km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 9.2mm
    Pressure: 1014.6hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Balala
    Now
    9.4°c
    Feels Like:
    7.5°
    Wind:
    SW 9km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    100%
    Clearing shower
     
    Min
    14°
    Max
    Today in Balala
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Winds N/NE 20 to 30 km/h turning W/NW 25 to 35 km/h during the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 3 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 21.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    Min
    Max
    Cloudy. Medium chance of showers on and west of the ranges, slight chance elsewhere. Snow possible above 1100 metres. Winds W 20 to 30 km/h increasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between zero and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 7 and 15.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Balala

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Winds N/NE 20 to 30 km/h turning W/NW 25 to 35 km/h during the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 3 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 21.

    Forecast for Balala (30.6121°S, 151.3358°E, 890m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Clearing shower Possible shower Possible shower Frost then sunny Cloudy Sunny Possible shower
    Minimum -1°
    Maximum 14° 10° 14° 16° 18° 18°
    Chance of rain 50% 80% 90% 5% 20% 5% 70%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Moderate High Severe High Moderate Slight High
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 20
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NW WNW W W WSW SSW ESE E N NNW NW WNW NNW NW
    Relative humidity 100% 72% 95% 82% 100% 84% 95% 62% 88% 65% 88% 61% 81% 63%
    Dew point 9°C 8°C 3°C 4°C 3°C 7°C 6°C 6°C 8°C 9°C 9°C 10°C 8°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Balala Rain Forecast


    Balala 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Sep 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 7

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 August to 20 August, 26 August to 30 August, and 7 September to 11 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 15 August to 19 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 16 August to 20 August, 24 August to 28 August, and 7 September to 11 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Balala Rain Forecast


    Balala 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2020
    2021
    7
    7
    8
    5
    7
    6
    7
    6
    7
    6
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 5

    ENSO status: La Nina Watch IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific show a slight decrease in the intensity of cooling compared to June, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.0 in July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 4.2 in the same month, a swing into positive values compared to June. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific through the end of winter and potentially reach La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring, with four of these indicating La Nina by Spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 54:41 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral. Two of the six international models indicate a negative IOD becoming established during the Austral spring, with the remaining four indicating a neutral phase. Of the four neutral models, including the BOM, three are trending slightly negative within the neutral zone by early spring, with only the Canadian model trending positive. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short-term outlook favours above average rainfall across most of Australia over the next fortnight, with the exception of western TAS, far southern VIC, and northern QLD and the NT. These expected wetter than average conditions will likely be due to the passage of moisture troughs inland and fronts, in part driven by the positive SAM. Models are then indicating a continued trend to above average rainfall for inland SA, all but the far north of the NT, western, central and southern QLD, northern and western NSW and parts of southern WA. Parts of WA’s Pilbara and Kimberley however are showing signs of below average rainfall into early spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Balala Rain Forecast


    Balala 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Sep 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 7

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 August to 20 August, 26 August to 30 August, and 7 September to 11 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 15 August to 19 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 16 August to 20 August, 24 August to 28 August, and 7 September to 11 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Balala Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Aug 03
    -0.2 °C 14.1 °C
    0.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Aug 04
    0.9 °C 15.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Aug 05
    1.8 °C 13.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Aug 06
    -4.6 °C 14.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Aug 07
    2.5 °C 7.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Balala minimum temp history (30.6121°S, 151.3358°E, 890m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 15.8° 02/08/2020 Coldest this month -4.6° 06/08/2020
    Hottest on record 26.8 24/08/2009 Coldest on record -6.6 11/08/1994
    Hottest this year 35.6° 05/01/2020 Coldest this year -4.8° 21/07/2020
    Long term average 13.8° Long term average 1.8°
    Average this month 13.4° Average this month -0.0°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 17.1° 2009 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 0.1° 2008
    Balala rainfall history (30.6121°S, 151.3358°E, 890m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.2mm 03/08/2020 Total This Month 0.2mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 50.3mm 10.1 days Wettest August on record 139.6mm 2016
    Driest on record 12.6mm 2013
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Balala Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 508.2mm 96.9 day(s)
    Total For 2020 599.2mm 109.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 203.0mm 75.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 32.6mm Jan10
    Lowest Temperature -4.8°C Jul21
    Highest Temperature 35.6°C Jan 5
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Balala Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.0 25.2 23.1 19.7 15.8 12.7 12.1 13.8 17.5 20.5 22.9 24.7 19.5
    Mean Min (°C) 13.4 13.2 11.4 7.8 4.3 2.4 1.3 1.8 4.8 7.2 10.2 12.1 7.5
    Mean Rain (mm) 94.9 98.6 78.3 40.7 44.6 53.5 47.3 50.3 54.8 75.1 111.1 107.2 858.9
    Mean Rain Days 12.0 12.5 11.9 11.1 11.9 14.8 12.6 10.1 10.2 10.5 12.8 13.3 134.0