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Forecast

Bagotville (28.9746°S, 153.4069°E, 4m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Sunny 16° 26°
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:35am EST 5:59am EST 5:39pm EST 6:02pm EST
    NOW
    19.3° Feels Like: 22.3°
    Relative Humidity: 95%
    Dew: 18.5°
    Wind: CAL 0km/h
    Gust: 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 4.6mm
    Pressure: 1010.6hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Bagotville
    Now
    18.9°c
    Feels Like:
    19.8°
    Wind:
    NNE 9km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    93%
    Sunny
     
    16°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Today in Bagotville
    Sunny. Light winds becoming E/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    16°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Bagotville

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Light winds becoming E/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.

    Forecast for Bagotville (28.9746°S, 153.4069°E, 4m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower Showers Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 16° 13° 16° 16° 16° 16° 15°
    Maximum 26° 26° 24° 24° 24° 25° 27°
    Chance of rain 10% 50% 60% 70% 90% 70% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 13
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW SSE WSW SSE SW S SSW S S SSE SSW SE W SSE
    Relative humidity 63% 58% 69% 60% 76% 68% 81% 71% 82% 74% 74% 66% 65% 56%
    Dew point 14°C 16°C 15°C 17°C 17°C 17°C 16°C 18°C 17°C 20°C 16°C 18°C 16°C 18°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Bagotville Rain Forecast


    Bagotville 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    HIGH
    9
    HIGH
    10
    HIGH
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    HIGH
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    30
    May 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 4

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 10 April to 14 April, 16 April to 20 April, and 5 May to 9 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 16 April to 20 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 11 April to 15 April, 17 April to 21 April, and 5 May to 9 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Bagotville Rain Forecast


    Bagotville 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    7
    7
    7
    7
    6
    6
    7
    8
    4
    7
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Bagotville Rain Forecast


    Bagotville 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    HIGH
    9
    HIGH
    10
    HIGH
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    HIGH
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    30
    May 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 4

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 10 April to 14 April, 16 April to 20 April, and 5 May to 9 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 16 April to 20 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 11 April to 15 April, 17 April to 21 April, and 5 May to 9 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Bagotville Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Mar 31
    19.1 °C 27.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Apr 01
    18.7 °C 27.5 °C
    0.4 mm
    Thursday
    Apr 02
    18.9 °C 27.3 °C
    0.4 mm
    Friday
    Apr 03
    18.9 °C 28.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Apr 04
    23.7 °C 29 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Bagotville minimum temp history (28.9746°S, 153.4069°E, 4m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 29.0° 03/04/2020 Coldest this month 18.7° 01/04/2020
    Hottest on record 31.9 12/04/2014 Coldest on record 5.9 13/04/1996
    Hottest this year 34.5° 19/02/2020 Coldest this year 12.7° 19/03/2020
    Long term average 24.9° Long term average 15.3°
    Average this month 27.9° Average this month 20.1°
    Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.5° 2016 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 13.2° 1996
    Bagotville rainfall history (28.9746°S, 153.4069°E, 4m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.4mm 01/04/2020 Total This Month 0.8mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 193.5mm 15.3 days Wettest April on record 456.0mm 2003
    Driest on record 5.8mm 1996
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Bagotville Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Apr 785.5mm 62.6 day(s)
    Total For 2020 924.0mm 54.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 254.4mm 44.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 179.4mm Feb 7
    Lowest Temperature 12.7°C Mar19
    Highest Temperature 34.5°C Feb19
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Bagotville Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.3 28.1 27.1 24.9 22.5 20.3 19.9 21.3 23.6 24.9 26.3 27.5 24.6
    Mean Min (°C) 19.7 19.6 18.3 15.3 12.1 10.0 8.7 8.8 11.5 13.9 16.6 18.3 14.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 174.8 188.9 228.3 193.5 163.4 204.1 118.9 99.9 61.7 94.4 128.6 142.2 1804.7
    Mean Rain Days 14.4 14.9 18.0 15.3 14.3 13.0 11.5 9.3 9.1 11.1 12.0 12.6 147.6