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Forecast

Backwater (30.0754°S, 151.8805°E, 1198m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 11° 21°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:41am EDT 7:05am EDT 6:48pm EDT 7:12pm EDT
    NOW
    21.0° Feels Like: 17.2°
    Relative Humidity: 55%
    Dew: 11.6°
    Wind: NW 22km/h
    Gust: 26km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1018.1hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Backwater
    Now
    20.4°c
    Feels Like:
    17.5°
    Wind:
    WNW 20km/h
    Gusts:
    22km/h
    Humidity:
    64%
    Mostly sunny
     
    11°
    Min
    21°
    Max
    Today in Backwater
    Partly cloudy. Patchy morning fog in the east. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the south late this afternoon and evening. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures 22 to 27.
    Tomorrow
    Rain
    13°
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. High chance of rain in the south, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming NW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 18 with daytime temperatures reaching 20 to 28.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Backwater

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Patchy morning fog in the east. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the south late this afternoon and evening. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures 22 to 27.

    Forecast for Backwater (30.0754°S, 151.8805°E, 1198m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Mostly sunny Rain Possible thunderstorm Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 11° 13° 14°
    Maximum 21° 19° 18° 18° 19° 16° 16°
    Chance of rain 70% 80% 80% 5% 5% 10% 20%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Slight Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 8
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NE NNW NNW NW NW WNW WSW W SSW WSW E S ESE S
    Relative humidity 79% 53% 89% 81% 95% 84% 62% 46% 61% 48% 72% 58% 72% 60%
    Dew point 11°C 11°C 14°C 15°C 15°C 15°C 6°C 6°C 6°C 8°C 7°C 8°C 9°C 8°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Backwater Rain Forecast


    Backwater 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    May 1
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 2

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 23 April to 27 April, 27 April to 1 May, and 6 May to 10 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 21 April to 25 April, and 6 May to 10 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 19 April to 23 April, 23 April to 27 April, and 4 May to 8 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Backwater Rain Forecast


    Backwater 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    7
    6
    8
    6
    6
    6
    5
    10
    4
    6
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Backwater Rain Forecast


    Backwater 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    May 1
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 2

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 23 April to 27 April, 27 April to 1 May, and 6 May to 10 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 21 April to 25 April, and 6 May to 10 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 19 April to 23 April, 23 April to 27 April, and 4 May to 8 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Backwater Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Mar 29
    11.0 °C 20.5 °C
    1.8 mm
    Monday
    Mar 30
    9.7 °C 19.5 °C
    2.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Mar 31
    10.1 °C 21.5 °C
    5.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Apr 01
    8.7 °C 20.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Apr 02
    10.0 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Backwater minimum temp history (30.0754°S, 151.8805°E, 1198m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 20.0° 01/04/2020 Coldest this month 8.7° 01/04/2020
    Hottest on record 27.0 04/04/1986 Coldest on record -2.8 29/04/2008
    Hottest this year 33.6° 05/01/2020 Coldest this year 6.1° 28/03/2020
    Long term average 18.0° Long term average 7.0°
    Average this month 20.0° Average this month 9.4°
    Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 21.0° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 4.8° 2008
    Backwater rainfall history (30.0754°S, 151.8805°E, 1198m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/04/2020 Total This Month 0.0mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 52.0mm 9.0 days Wettest April on record 189.6mm 1990
    Driest on record 2.0mm 1991
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Backwater Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Apr 349.4mm 42.2 day(s)
    Total For 2020 382.0mm 48.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 157.4mm 21.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 34.6mm Feb14
    Lowest Temperature 6.1°C Mar28
    Highest Temperature 33.6°C Jan 5
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Backwater Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 24.0 23.2 21.3 18.0 14.5 11.1 10.4 12.1 15.4 18.5 20.7 22.6 17.6
    Mean Min (°C) 12.1 11.9 10.1 7.0 4.1 1.8 0.8 1.3 3.8 6.4 8.9 10.7 6.5
    Mean Rain (mm) 121.3 103.9 72.2 52.0 53.5 51.1 57.1 54.2 59.1 73.2 106.4 110.5 916.4
    Mean Rain Days 11.6 11.2 10.4 9.0 9.9 11.5 11.3 8.8 8.6 9.6 11.4 11.8 120.7