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Forecast

Arcadia Vale (33.0603°S, 151.5758°E, 20m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Showers 13° 18°
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 10-20mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:28am EST 6:56am EST 4:53pm EST 5:21pm EST
    NOW
    12.8° Feels Like: 11.4°
    Relative Humidity: 78%
    Dew: 9.0°
    Wind: WSW 6km/h
    Gust: WSW 6km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Arcadia Vale
    Now
    12.4°c
    Feels Like:
    9.7°
    Wind:
    WSW 15km/h
    Gusts:
    19km/h
    Humidity:
    90%
    Showers
     
    13°
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Today in Arcadia Vale
    Cloudy. The chance of fog about the Upper Hunter early this morning. Very high chance of showers near the coast, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm near the coast this morning. Winds W/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending S/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures between 13 and 18.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    14°
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers along the coastal fringe, near zero chance elsewhere. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching between 16 and 21.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. The chance of fog about the Upper Hunter early this morning. Very high chance of showers near the coast, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm near the coast this morning. Winds W/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending S/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures between 13 and 18.

    Forecast for Arcadia Vale (33.0603°S, 151.5758°E, 20m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Showers Possible shower Mostly sunny Possible shower Showers Showers Showers
    Minimum 13° 14° 12° 13° 12° 11° 12°
    Maximum 18° 18° 16° 16° 15° 15° 15°
    Chance of rain 90% 40% 60% 70% 90% 90% 90%
    Likely amount 10-20mm < 1mm 1-5mm 10-20mm 20-40mm 20-40mm 10-20mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 13
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW S WSW WSW SW SW SW SSW WSW SW SW SW SSW S
    Relative humidity 85% 78% 85% 70% 73% 65% 75% 72% 81% 74% 79% 73% 84% 75%
    Dew point 13°C 14°C 13°C 12°C 10°C 9°C 10°C 11°C 10°C 10°C 9°C 10°C 11°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Arcadia Vale Rain Forecast


    Arcadia Vale 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    LOW
    Jul 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun16

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 July to 6 July, 6 July to 10 July, and 16 July to 20 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 June to 26 June, 26 June to 30 June, and 5 July to 9 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 28 June to 2 July, 2 July to 6 July, and 10 July to 14 July.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Arcadia Vale Rain Forecast


    Arcadia Vale 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    2019
    2020
    6
    6
    5
    5
    4
    6
    6
    9
    7
    6
    7
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral (El Nino Watch) Sea surface temperatures (SST's) showed a slight warming during May, and remain significantly warmer than average across the equatorial Pacific. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.8 and 0.9 through the month of May. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -0.9 in May, dropping back again into El Nino territory. Current consensus suggests an El Nino pattern across the Pacific Ocean will continue through winter and spring, with all eight international models maintaining a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the remainder of 2019, with a 50-60% chance of an El Nino developing again later this year. The climate outlook for winter and early spring favours an overall below average rainfall outlook across southern Qld, NSW (mainly west of the Great Dividing Range), Vic, northeastern Tas and the southern SA and WA. A Positive IOD is now well established over the Indian Ocean, with five out of six international models exhibiting a moderate-to-strong event lasting until spring. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall amounts towards the second half of winter and first half of spring. SST's along the eastern seaboard remain warmer than average, increasing the risk of extreme weather events such as East Coast Lows (ECLs), which activity reaches its peak in early winter. These can bring intense periods of rainfall east of the Great Dividing Range, leading to flash flooding.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Arcadia Vale Rain Forecast


    Arcadia Vale 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    LOW
    Jul 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun16

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 July to 6 July, 6 July to 10 July, and 16 July to 20 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 June to 26 June, 26 June to 30 June, and 5 July to 9 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 28 June to 2 July, 2 July to 6 July, and 10 July to 14 July.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Arcadia Vale Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Jun 12
    5.1 °C 23.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jun 13
    10.2 °C 25 °C
    0.2 mm
    Friday
    Jun 14
    4.5 °C 18 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Jun 15
    1 °C 19 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jun 16
    3 °C 17 °C
    0.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Arcadia Vale minimum temp history (33.0603°S, 151.5758°E, 20m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 25.7° 13/06/2019 Coldest this month 4.5° 15/06/2019
    Hottest on record 24.4 28/06/2003 Coldest on record 2.1 16/06/2006
    Hottest this year 40.6° 05/01/2019 Coldest this year 4.5° 15/06/2019
    Long term average 18.4° Long term average 8.7°
    Average this month 19.0° Average this month 8.9°
    Hottest June On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.6° 2003 Coldest June on record Avg. min. temp. 6.9° 2004
    Arcadia Vale rainfall history (33.0603°S, 151.5758°E, 20m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 65.2mm 02/06/2019 Total This Month 97.4mm
    6.0 days
    Long Term Average 123.7mm 12.6 days Wettest June on record 529.6mm 2003
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Arcadia Vale Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jun 699.3mm 69.7 day(s)
    Total For 2019 326.3mm 34.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 435.9mm 43.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 65.2mm Jun 2
    Lowest Temperature 4.5°C Jun15
    Highest Temperature 40.6°C Jan 5
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Arcadia Vale Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.2 28.3 26.7 23.9 21.1 18.4 17.8 19.7 22.6 24.8 26.0 27.8 23.9
    Mean Min (°C) 19.4 19.4 17.4 13.9 10.5 8.7 7.5 8.0 10.8 13.3 15.9 17.8 13.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 89.6 137.0 123.2 135.5 90.3 123.7 60.1 59.2 69.1 58.4 113.5 68.6 1128.7
    Mean Rain Days 10.6 12.2 11.8 11.3 11.2 12.6 11.2 9.2 8.3 8.8 11.8 10.4 117.7