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Forecast

Yarralumla (35.3075°S, 149.0983°E, 575m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Cloudy 13°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:44am EST 7:12am EST 5:05pm EST 5:33pm EST
    NOW
    10.3° Feels Like: 7.8°
    Relative Humidity: 70%
    Dew: 5.1°
    Wind: WNW 7km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1028.7hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Yarralumla
    Now
    11.0°c
    Feels Like:
    8.6°
    Wind:
    WNW 6km/h
    Gusts:
    7km/h
    Humidity:
    65%
    Cloudy
     
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Today in Yarralumla
    Mostly cloudy. Light winds.
    Tomorrow
    Frost then sunny
    Min
    14°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Fog and patches of light frost in the morning. Light winds.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Yarralumla

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly cloudy. Light winds.

    Forecast for Yarralumla (35.3075°S, 149.0983°E, 575m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Cloudy Frost then sunny Possible shower Showers Possible shower Possible shower Frost then sunny
    Minimum
    Maximum 13° 14° 13° 13° 10° 13° 13°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 70% 60% 70% 90% 40%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 1-5mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low Low - -
    Frost risk Moderate High High Slight High High High
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 6
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSE N SE NNW SE NNW NW NW SSE ENE S S S S
    Relative humidity 99% 71% 95% 55% 90% 64% 100% 71% 94% 65% 94% 67% 85% 57%
    Dew point 3°C 5°C 5°C 4°C 4°C 6°C 7°C 7°C 4°C 3°C 5°C 6°C 3°C 4°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Yarralumla Rain Forecast


    Yarralumla 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    HIGH
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Aug 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 20 July to 24 July, 27 July to 31 July, and 31 July to 4 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 21 July to 25 July, and 10 August to 14 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 21 July to 25 July, 29 July to 2 August, and 2 August to 6 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Yarralumla Rain Forecast


    Yarralumla 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2020
    2021
    6
    7
    6
    7
    7
    8
    7
    10
    6
    4
    5
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific exhibited significant cooling over the past month, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.1in May. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 2.8 during the same month. The current outlook suggests cooler than average SSTs will take hold across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during winter, potentially reaching La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 45:40 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. However, out of season Tropical CycloneMangga brought some significant cooling to the sea surface temperatures to the northwest of Australia late in May. This disrupted the warming trend in the region that would have led to a negative IOD by mid-winter. Nonetheless, all but one of the six main international models (BoMs outlook), continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing later in winter/first half of spring. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current short-term outlook now favours below average rainfall for most of the country for the remainder of June and early July. This outlook is mainly driven by cooler SSTs across northwestern Australia, reducing the amount of available moisture in the atmosphere. As discussed earlier, tropical cyclone Mangga was a key player in the cooling of the SSTs off the northwest coast. Most models, however, are indicating a positive IOD is still on the cards later in winter and through spring, bringing a wetter outlook for most of the southern half of the country from mid-to-lateJuly. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania, the outlook continues to favour average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tas) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM).

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Yarralumla Rain Forecast


    Yarralumla 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    HIGH
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Aug 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 20 July to 24 July, 27 July to 31 July, and 31 July to 4 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 21 July to 25 July, and 10 August to 14 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 21 July to 25 July, 29 July to 2 August, and 2 August to 6 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Yarralumla Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jul 04
    1.7 °C 11.4 °C
    0.6 mm
    Sunday
    Jul 05
    -0.4 °C 13.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jul 06
    0.4 °C 9.5 °C
    0.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Jul 07
    -2.5 °C 13.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jul 08
    -2.3 °C 10.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Yarralumla minimum temp history (35.3075°S, 149.0983°E, 575m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 15.1° 01/07/2020 Coldest this month -2.5° 07/07/2020
    Hottest on record 19.7 29/07/1975 Coldest on record -10.0 11/07/1971
    Hottest this year 44.0° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year -4.9° 05/06/2020
    Long term average 11.4° Long term average -0.1°
    Average this month 11.8° Average this month 0.5°
    Hottest July On Record Avg. max. temp. 13.4° 2013 Coldest July on record Avg. min. temp. -3.2° 1971
    Yarralumla rainfall history (35.3075°S, 149.0983°E, 575m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 1.6mm 02/07/2020 Total This Month 2.4mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 40.9mm 11.5 days Wettest July on record 121.0mm 1993
    Driest on record 3.8mm 1982
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Yarralumla Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jul 338.4mm 59.7 day(s)
    Total For 2020 344.8mm 59.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 255.0mm 55.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 60.4mm Feb10
    Lowest Temperature -4.9°C Jun 5
    Highest Temperature 44.0°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Yarralumla Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.1 27.1 24.5 20.0 15.6 12.3 11.4 13.1 16.3 19.5 22.9 26.2 19.7
    Mean Min (°C) 13.2 13.1 10.7 6.6 3.0 1.0 -0.1 1.0 3.2 6.0 8.8 11.4 6.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 57.6 58.4 52.7 45.0 42.9 40.9 40.9 45.7 52.1 61.4 64.6 56.0 618.0
    Mean Rain Days 7.3 7.0 7.1 7.4 8.5 10.9 11.5 11.4 10.3 10.2 9.7 8.0 109.0