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Forecast

Jervis Bay (35.1274°S, 150.7071°E, 7m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Showers 15° 21°
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:52am EST 6:18am EST 5:40pm EST 6:05pm EST
    NOW
    16.0° Feels Like: 15.7°
    Relative Humidity: 98%
    Dew: 15.7°
    Wind: NNE 11km/h
    Gust: 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 2.2mm
    Pressure: 1019.8hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Jervis Bay
    Now
    16.8°c
    Feels Like:
    16.6°
    Wind:
    N 11km/h
    Gusts:
    13km/h
    Humidity:
    94%
    Showers
     
    15°
    Min
    21°
    Max
    Today in Jervis Bay
    Cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds N 15 to 20 km/h turning W/NW in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 22.
    Tomorrow
    Windy
    15°
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower along the coastal fringe in the afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm near the coast in the afternoon and evening. Winds W/NW 25 to 35 km/h increasing to 50 km/h before tending W/SW 25 to 30 km/h during the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 24.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds N 15 to 20 km/h turning W/NW in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 22.

    Forecast for Jervis Bay (35.1274°S, 150.7071°E, 7m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Showers Windy Sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 15° 15° 10° 10° 12° 12° 16°
    Maximum 21° 23° 21° 22° 24° 28° 28°
    Chance of rain 80% 20% 5% 5% 5% 5% 20%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High High High Moderate High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 12
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    37
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE NNE NW W WSW S WNW E NW ENE NW NE NW NW
    Relative humidity 87% 81% 52% 41% 48% 41% 61% 52% 65% 50% 57% 46% 55% 43%
    Dew point 16°C 16°C 10°C 7°C 5°C 6°C 9°C 10°C 12°C 12°C 12°C 14°C 13°C 13°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Jervis Bay Rain Forecast


    Jervis Bay 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    29
    30
    May 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    HIGH
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 9

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 20 April to 24 April, 30 April to 4 May, and 8 May to 12 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 20 April to 24 April, 24 April to 28 April, and 1 May to 5 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 20 April to 24 April, 24 April to 28 April, and 9 May to 13 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Jervis Bay Rain Forecast


    Jervis Bay 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    6
    6
    7
    7
    8
    7
    4
    9
    3
    4
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Jervis Bay Rain Forecast


    Jervis Bay 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    29
    30
    May 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    HIGH
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 9

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 20 April to 24 April, 30 April to 4 May, and 8 May to 12 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 20 April to 24 April, 24 April to 28 April, and 1 May to 5 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 20 April to 24 April, 24 April to 28 April, and 9 May to 13 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Jervis Bay Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Apr 05
    11 °C 21 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Apr 06
    15 °C 20 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Apr 07
    14 °C 20 °C
    5.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Apr 08
    15 °C 17 °C
    0.6 mm
    Thursday
    Apr 09
    14 °C 21 °C
    40.8 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Jervis Bay minimum temp history (35.1274°S, 150.7071°E, 7m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 24.6° 03/04/2020 Coldest this month 13.8° 05/04/2020
    Hottest on record 30.7 06/04/2016 Coldest on record 9.1 30/04/2008
    Hottest this year 40.5° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 12.5° 15/03/2020
    Long term average 21.2° Long term average 15.3°
    Average this month 21.6° Average this month 16.8°
    Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 23.1° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 13.8° 2008
    Jervis Bay rainfall history (35.1274°S, 150.7071°E, 7m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 1.0mm 07/04/2020 Total This Month 3.8mm
    7.0 days
    Long Term Average 140.0mm 13.9 days Wettest April on record 342.8mm 2013
    Driest on record 18.0mm 2006
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Jervis Bay Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Apr 506.0mm 51.5 day(s)
    Total For 2020 385.2mm 49.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 286.2mm 43.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 113.0mm Feb10
    Lowest Temperature 12.5°C Mar15
    Highest Temperature 40.5°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Jervis Bay Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 24.9 24.4 23.4 21.2 18.8 16.6 15.9 17.0 19.2 21.1 22.3 23.5 20.7
    Mean Min (°C) 18.4 18.6 17.6 15.3 12.8 11.0 9.8 10.2 12.0 13.5 15.4 16.8 14.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 94.0 139.7 132.3 140.0 117.2 177.9 115.9 73.7 61.0 79.0 80.6 81.1 1289.6
    Mean Rain Days 11.1 12.8 13.7 13.9 9.9 12.0 10.8 9.1 10.0 11.3 12.3 12.6 131.9