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Forecast

Downer (35.2432°S, 149.1431°E, 578m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Clearing shower 16° 24°
    clearing shower
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:41am EDT 7:07am EDT 7:14pm EDT 7:40pm EDT
    NOW
    27.5° Feels Like: 25.0°
    Relative Humidity: 36%
    Dew: 11.1°
    Wind: N 15km/h
    Gust: 19km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1013.6hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Downer
    Now
    27.5°c
    Feels Like:
    26.2°
    Wind:
    N 9km/h
    Gusts:
    13km/h
    Humidity:
    37%
    Clearing shower
     
    16°
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Today in Downer
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the early morning. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds W/NW 15 to 20 km/h shifting SE 15 to 25 km/h in the evening.
    Tomorrow
    Clearing shower
    16°
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Sunny. Winds SE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light early in the morning then becoming E 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Downer

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the early morning. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds W/NW 15 to 20 km/h shifting SE 15 to 25 km/h in the evening.

    Forecast for Downer (35.2432°S, 149.1431°E, 578m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Clearing shower Mostly sunny Fog then sunny Fog then sunny Fog then sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 16°
    Maximum 24° 20° 23° 23° 24° 24° 25°
    Chance of rain 10% 5% 5% 30% 5% 20% 40%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate High High High High High High
    Fire Danger Rating Moderate No Rating Moderate No Rating - - -
    Frost risk Nil Slight Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 15
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NW WNW SSE E SE N SSE NE NNW NW NNW NW NE N
    Relative humidity 87% 40% 64% 42% 79% 42% 80% 47% 83% 35% 70% 36% 74% 39%
    Dew point 18°C 9°C 3°C 6°C 9°C 8°C 11°C 10°C 11°C 7°C 9°C 7°C 9°C 9°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Downer Rain Forecast


    Downer 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Downer Rain Forecast


    Downer 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2024
    2025
    5
    7
    6
    7
    6
    6
    5
    3
    5
    8
    5
    9
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 5

    ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

  12. Long range rainfall forecast

    Downer Rain Forecast


    Downer 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  13. Past 5 Days

    Downer Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Mar 15
    12.8 °C 21.0 °C
    14.6 mm
    Saturday
    Mar 16
    7.8 °C 22.9 °C
    0.2 mm
    Sunday
    Mar 17
    12.7 °C 20.5 °C
    0.4 mm
    Monday
    Mar 18
    14.4 °C 24.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Mar 19
    14.3 °C 29.5 °C
    0.4 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Downer minimum temp history (35.2432°S, 149.1431°E, 578m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 34.5° 12/03/2024 Coldest this month 6.1° 05/03/2024
    Hottest on record 37.5 13/03/1998 Coldest on record -1.1 24/03/1967
    Hottest this year 34.5° 12/03/2024 Coldest this year 6.1° 05/03/2024
    Long term average 25.0° Long term average 11.2°
    Average this month 28.3° Average this month 12.1°
    Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.9° 1940 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 7.9° 1954
    Downer rainfall history (35.2432°S, 149.1431°E, 578m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 14.6mm 15/03/2024 Total This Month 15.6mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 64.8mm 9.1 days Wettest March on record 312.2mm 1950
    Driest on record 7.2mm 2018
  15. Year to Date

    Downer Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Mar 185.8mm 25.3 day(s)
    Total For 2024 183.2mm 29.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2023 155.8mm 20.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 30.6mm Feb 6
    Lowest Temperature 6.1°C Mar 5
    Highest Temperature 34.5°C Mar12
  16. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Downer Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.0 27.9 25.0 20.9 16.4 13.2 12.8 14.2 17.9 21.3 24.7 27.2 20.9
    Mean Min (°C) 14.2 13.3 11.2 6.9 2.4 1.2 0.0 1.0 3.1 6.2 9.7 11.9 6.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 55.9 65.1 64.8 40.5 33.4 48.3 31.0 49.5 53.6 55.9 77.8 75.8 648.1
    Mean Rain Days 8.1 8.1 9.1 7.5 7.3 11.6 11.5 10.9 8.3 9.4 9.4 9.4 110.6