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Forecast

Chifley (35.3535°S, 149.0795°E, 623m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Increasing sunshine 31°
    increasing sunshine
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:18am EDT 5:46am EDT 7:52pm EDT 8:21pm EDT
    NOW
    10.9° Feels Like: 9.7°
    Relative Humidity: 66%
    Dew: 4.8°
    Wind: N 0km/h
    Gust: 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1016.3hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Chifley
    Now
    10.9°c
    Feels Like:
    7.9°
    Wind:
    ESE 9km/h
    Gusts:
    9km/h
    Humidity:
    65%
    Increasing sunshine
     
    Min
    31°
    Max
    Today in Chifley
    Cloud clearing. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening then tending E in the late evening.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    11°
    Min
    38°
    Max
    Hot and sunny. Light winds becoming N/NW 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Chifley

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloud clearing. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening then tending E in the late evening.

    Forecast for Chifley (35.3535°S, 149.0795°E, 623m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Increasing sunshine Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 11° 17° 14° 11° 12° 15°
    Maximum 31° 38° 33° 31° 29° 31° 32°
    Chance of rain 5% 20% 50% 20% 30% 20% 70%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 6
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ENE NNE N NNW NE NNW N WNW E NNE N NW NW WNW
    Relative humidity 61% 20% 37% 9% 39% 22% 47% 10% 52% 25% 58% 16% 39% 25%
    Dew point 8°C 5°C 8°C 0°C 9°C 9°C 11°C -4°C 8°C 7°C 11°C 3°C 9°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Chifley Rain Forecast


    Chifley 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    Dec 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    9
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 November to 28 November, 2 December to 6 December, and 6 December to 10 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 November to 30 November, 30 November to 4 December, and 4 December to 8 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 7 December to 11 December, 11 December to 15 December, and 17 December to 21 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Chifley Rain Forecast


    Chifley 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2019
    2020
    3
    4
    7
    5
    5
    7
    7
    8
    6
    4
    4
    3
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Chifley Rain Forecast


    Chifley 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    Dec 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    9
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 November to 28 November, 2 December to 6 December, and 6 December to 10 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 November to 30 November, 30 November to 4 December, and 4 December to 8 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 7 December to 11 December, 11 December to 15 December, and 17 December to 21 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Chifley Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Nov 15
    12.0 °C 24.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Nov 16
    7.2 °C 25.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Nov 17
    9.7 °C 24.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Nov 18
    10.4 °C 27.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Nov 19
    10.1 °C 31 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Chifley minimum temp history (35.3535°S, 149.0795°E, 623m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 31.6° 01/11/2019 Coldest this month 0.6° 09/11/2019
    Hottest on record 38.7 26/11/1997 Coldest on record -0.8 11/11/1996
    Hottest this year 40.8° 17/01/2019 Coldest this year -5.9° 24/08/2019
    Long term average 24.3° Long term average 9.8°
    Average this month 23.4° Average this month 8.9°
    Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 28.8° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 6.4° 1999
    Chifley rainfall history (35.3535°S, 149.0795°E, 623m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 22.6mm 04/11/2019 Total This Month 22.8mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 74.6mm 9.5 days Wettest November on record 190.2mm 2009
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Chifley Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Nov 597.2mm 91.1 day(s)
    Total For 2019 349.2mm 76.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 263.8mm 66.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 43.6mm Mar30
    Lowest Temperature -5.9°C Aug24
    Highest Temperature 40.8°C Jan17
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Chifley Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.5 28.1 25.3 20.9 16.6 13.0 12.2 14.1 17.6 20.8 24.3 27.1 20.8
    Mean Min (°C) 14.3 14.2 11.4 6.8 2.7 1.4 0.1 0.9 3.8 6.3 9.8 12.2 7.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 56.0 81.2 54.9 35.4 25.4 59.9 43.4 48.8 64.3 53.3 74.6 68.7 666.0
    Mean Rain Days 7.3 7.4 7.0 6.1 6.0 10.4 11.1 9.2 8.7 8.4 9.5 8.1 95.0