Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers
for North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 05:02 PM EST on Wednesday 24 April 2024
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
The Warning to Sheep Graziers for the North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts has been cancelled.
No further warnings will be issued for this event.
Forecast
Toora (38.6621°S, 146.3267°E, 34m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW11° 14° possible shower Chance of rain: 60% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:26am EST 6:53am EST 5:34pm EST 6:01pm EST NOW11.4° Feels Like: 8.4° Relative Humidity: 95% Dew: 10.6° Wind: W 17km/h Gust: 19km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
TooraNow10.7°cFeels Like:6.4°Wind:NW 22km/hGusts:24km/hHumidity:94%11°Min14°MaxToday in TooraCloudy. Very high chance of showers in the W, medium chance elsewhere. Winds W/NW 15 to 25 km/h tending W/SW 25 to 35 km/h during the morning then becoming W 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 17.Tomorrow11°Min14°MaxCloudy. Medium chance of showers in the W, slight chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 12 and 17. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers in the W, medium chance elsewhere. Winds W/NW 15 to 25 km/h tending W/SW 25 to 35 km/h during the morning then becoming W 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 17.
Forecast for Toora (38.6621°S, 146.3267°E, 34m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary Minimum 11° 11° 9° 8° 10° 9° 10° Maximum 14° 14° 16° 17° 14° 13° 14° Chance of rain 60% 70% 20% 50% 80% 30% 40% Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 17
(km/h)20
(km/h)9
(km/h)13
(km/h)6
(km/h)9
(km/h)6
(km/h)10
(km/h)13
(km/h)14
(km/h)9
(km/h)14
(km/h)10
(km/h)12
(km/h)Wind direction WSW WSW WSW WSW NNW WSW N WNW NW WSW WSW SSW S S Relative humidity 77% 70% 81% 69% 84% 67% 82% 57% 77% 72% 72% 66% 71% 64% Dew point 9°C 8°C 10°C 9°C 10°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 7°C 7°C 7°C 7°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Toora Rain Forecast
Toora 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420257565565104786105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Toora Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Saturday
Apr 204.9 °C 16.9 °C 0.4 mmSunday
Apr 2112.3 °C 16.4 °C 0.2 mmMonday
Apr 2211.5 °C 21.0 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 236.5 °C 25.0 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Apr 2411.2 °C 15.6 °C 10.4 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Toora minimum temp history (38.6621°S, 146.3267°E, 34m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 25.0° 23/04/2024 Coldest this month 4.9° 20/04/2024 Hottest on record Coldest on record Hottest this year 37.2° 10/03/2024 Coldest this year 3.5° 22/03/2024 Long term average 19.8° Long term average 10.6° Average this month 18.8° Average this month 11.3° Hottest - On Record Avg. max. temp. - - Coldest - on record Avg. min. temp. - - Toora rainfall history (38.6621°S, 146.3267°E, 34m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 55.6mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 125.4mm
19.0 daysLong Term Average 48.2mm 14.7 days Wettest - on record - - Driest on record 0.0mm 2021 -
Year to Date
Toora Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 169.8mm 43.0 day(s) Total For 2024 208.0mm 45.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 155.6mm 39.0 day(s) Wettest Day 55.6mm Apr 2 Lowest Temperature 3.5°C Mar22 Highest Temperature 37.2°C Mar10 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Toora Climatology
Toora Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 23.9 23.6 22.9 19.8 16.7 14.3 13.9 14.4 16.4 18.1 19.6 22.0 18.7 Mean Min (°C) 14.7 14.2 13.5 10.6 8.5 6.8 6.6 6.7 7.8 9.3 11.0 12.6 10.1 Mean Rain (mm) 50.7 32.0 38.9 48.2 93.6 84.9 78.0 89.6 79.1 79.7 62.9 61.6 789.8 Mean Rain Days 9.5 8.3 10.5 14.7 18.1 19.5 20.1 21.7 17.8 17.2 13.2 11.7 179.7