Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for North Central, South West, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 10:46 PM EST on Tuesday 23 April 2024
Warnings for Wednesday 24 April
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
North Central, South West, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and southwesterly winds are expected during Wednesday. Areas likely to be affected include the West and South Gippsland forecast district and parts of the North Central, South West and Central forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
The next warning will be issued by 5:00 am EST Wednesday.
Forecast
Taylor Bay (37.1948°S, 145.8771°E, 343m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY8° 11° clearing shower Chance of rain: 40% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:24am EST 6:51am EST 5:38pm EST 6:05pm EST NOW7.5° Feels Like: 0.7° Relative Humidity: 98% Dew: 7.2° Wind: W 32km/h Gust: 44km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.6mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Taylor BayNow10.5°cFeels Like:7.8°Wind:SW 13km/hGusts:17km/hHumidity:90%8°Min11°MaxToday in Taylor BayPartly cloudy. High chance of showers in the E, most likely in the early morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds SW 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 16.Tomorrow6°Min12°MaxCloudy. Medium chance of showers in the E, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Light winds becoming SW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to around 6 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 17. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers in the E, most likely in the early morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds SW 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 16.
Forecast for Taylor Bay (37.1948°S, 145.8771°E, 343m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 8° 6° 6° 6° 7° 7° 6° Maximum 11° 12° 15° 17° 18° 17° 15° Chance of rain 40% 70% 5% 5% 5% 20% 30% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 18
(km/h)19
(km/h)7
(km/h)18
(km/h)7
(km/h)12
(km/h)5
(km/h)10
(km/h)5
(km/h)14
(km/h)5
(km/h)15
(km/h)14
(km/h)18
(km/h)Wind direction SW SW WSW SW SW SW E N ENE NNW NNE WSW S S Relative humidity 85% 65% 88% 70% 82% 61% 81% 54% 75% 49% 71% 60% 69% 52% Dew point 6°C 4°C 6°C 6°C 7°C 7°C 7°C 7°C 7°C 6°C 6°C 8°C 5°C 4°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Taylor Bay Rain Forecast
Taylor Bay 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420258575565106876105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Taylor Bay Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Apr 198.1 °C 18.8 °C 2.8 mmSaturday
Apr 204.5 °C 21.0 °C 0.2 mmSunday
Apr 214.6 °C 21.0 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 223.2 °C 22.3 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 235.9 °C - 0.2 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Taylor Bay minimum temp history (37.1948°S, 145.8771°E, 343m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 26.9° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 3.2° 22/04/2024 Hottest on record 34.1 04/04/1986 Coldest on record 0.0 23/04/1991 Hottest this year 36.2° 04/02/2024 Coldest this year 3.2° 22/04/2024 Long term average 20.9° Long term average 7.9° Average this month 20.6° Average this month 6.9° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 24.2° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 5.5° 1999 Taylor Bay rainfall history (37.1948°S, 145.8771°E, 343m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 41.8mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 49.4mm
7.0 daysLong Term Average 60.3mm 8.9 days Wettest April on record 205.9mm 1939 Driest on record 0.0mm 1923 -
Year to Date
Taylor Bay Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 203.6mm 26.3 day(s) Total For 2024 292.4mm 23.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 203.0mm 27.0 day(s) Wettest Day 84.0mm Jan 8 Lowest Temperature 3.2°C Apr22 Highest Temperature 36.2°C Feb 4 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Taylor Bay Climatology
Taylor Bay Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 29.2 29.1 25.8 20.9 16.1 12.6 12.1 13.7 16.7 20.1 23.6 26.6 20.4 Mean Min (°C) 12.9 12.8 10.7 7.9 6.0 4.1 3.7 4.3 5.6 7.4 9.4 11.1 7.9 Mean Rain (mm) 49.1 42.0 52.2 60.3 78.2 92.6 92.6 99.0 81.4 79.2 67.1 58.9 847.1 Mean Rain Days 5.8 5.1 6.5 8.9 14.0 16.7 17.8 17.2 13.6 11.9 9.2 7.6 134.2