Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Victoria
Issued at 10:00 PM EST on Sunday 28 April 2024
for the period until midnight EST Monday 29 April 2024
Wind Warnings for Monday 29 April
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Central Coast and Central Gippsland Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 5:10 am EST Monday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/vic/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Tarwin Lower (38.7014°S, 145.8693°E, 2m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW13° 14° clearing shower Chance of rain: 90% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:29am EST 6:57am EST 5:29pm EST 5:57pm EST NOW10.0° Feels Like: 9.3° Relative Humidity: 100% Dew: 10.0° Wind: N 4km/h Gust: 4km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm Pressure: 1018.8hPa -
Today Weather
Tarwin LowerNow9.6°cFeels Like:8.5°Wind:NE 6km/hGusts:6km/hHumidity:100%13°Min14°MaxToday in Tarwin LowerCloudy. High chance of showers in the W, medium chance elsewhere. Winds NW 15 to 20 km/h turning SW 15 to 25 km/h in the late morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 19.Tomorrow13°Min14°MaxCloudy. Medium chance of showers about the ranges. Snow possible above 1500 metres. Winds SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 16. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers in the W, medium chance elsewhere. Winds NW 15 to 20 km/h turning SW 15 to 25 km/h in the late morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 19.
Forecast for Tarwin Lower (38.7014°S, 145.8693°E, 2m AMSL) Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Summary Minimum 13° 9° 7° 8° 8° 9° 10° Maximum 14° 13° 15° 16° 15° 14° 14° Chance of rain 90% 10% 10% 10% 60% 70% 70% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 12
(km/h)16
(km/h)10
(km/h)12
(km/h)7
(km/h)12
(km/h)8
(km/h)11
(km/h)10
(km/h)14
(km/h)10
(km/h)14
(km/h)12
(km/h)15
(km/h)Wind direction W WSW SSW S ESE SE E SE E ESE SE SE SE SE Relative humidity 83% 61% 67% 60% 78% 62% 82% 65% 80% 68% 81% 74% 79% 71% Dew point 11°C 7°C 6°C 6°C 8°C 8°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 10°C 10°C 10°C 9°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Tarwin Lower Rain Forecast
Tarwin Lower 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420257565565104786105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Tarwin Lower Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Wednesday
Apr 2411.2 °C 16.0 °C 12.4 mmThursday
Apr 2510.8 °C 17.1 °C 11.6 mmFriday
Apr 2612.6 °C 15.6 °C 0.2 mmSaturday
Apr 278.8 °C 17.4 °C 0.2 mmSunday
Apr 284.8 °C 20.6 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Tarwin Lower minimum temp history (38.7014°S, 145.8693°E, 2m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 29.8° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 3.7° 20/04/2024 Hottest on record 26.7 11/04/2008 Coldest on record 1.9 20/04/2008 Hottest this year 37.8° 09/03/2024 Coldest this year -9.4° 22/02/2024 Long term average 20.4° Long term average 9.7° Average this month 18.9° Average this month 10.2° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 21.5° 2007 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 7.5° 2008 Tarwin Lower rainfall history (38.7014°S, 145.8693°E, 2m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 67.0mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 142.0mm
19.0 daysLong Term Average 67.2mm 16.4 days Wettest April on record 63.2mm 2008 Driest on record 25.2mm 2013 -
Year to Date
Tarwin Lower Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 197.7mm 45.5 day(s) Total For 2024 219.6mm 37.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 204.6mm 47.0 day(s) Wettest Day 67.0mm Apr 2 Lowest Temperature -9.4°C Feb22 Highest Temperature 37.8°C Mar 9 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Tarwin Lower Climatology
Tarwin Lower Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 25.2 25.0 23.8 20.4 16.9 14.5 14.0 14.6 16.7 18.7 20.7 22.7 19.4 Mean Min (°C) 13.2 12.9 12.1 9.7 8.0 6.1 6.0 6.6 7.5 8.5 10.4 11.5 9.4 Mean Rain (mm) 42.1 35.5 52.9 67.2 99.8 91.6 83.2 97.4 79.1 77.6 69.5 59.6 859.1 Mean Rain Days 9.3 8.6 11.2 16.4 18.9 18.9 19.7 22.0 18.4 15.9 13.8 11.6 184.9