Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 04:50 AM EST on Wednesday 24 April 2024
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and southwesterly winds are expected during Wednesday. Areas likely to be affected include the West and South Gippsland forecast district and parts of the North Central, North East and Central forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
South West forecast district
The Warning to Sheep Graziers for the South West forecast district has been cancelled.
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 am EST Wednesday.
Forecast
Tanjil East (37.9382°S, 146.376°E, 388m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY9° 14° Chance of rain: 80% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:24am EST 6:51am EST 5:37pm EST 6:04pm EST NOW10.9° Feels Like: 3.0° Relative Humidity: 84% Dew: 8.3° Wind: W 39km/h Gust: 48km/h Rainfall since 9am: 10.0mm Pressure: 1015.5hPa -
Today Weather
Tanjil EastNow9.9°cFeels Like:6.7°Wind:W 17km/hGusts:20km/hHumidity:100%9°Min14°MaxToday in Tanjil EastCloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the early morning. Snow falling above 1500 metres. Winds W 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 16.Tomorrow9°Min15°MaxCloudy. High chance of showers in the W, medium chance elsewhere. Winds W/NW 15 to 25 km/h tending W/SW 25 to 35 km/h during the morning then decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 17. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the early morning. Snow falling above 1500 metres. Winds W 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 16.
Forecast for Tanjil East (37.9382°S, 146.376°E, 388m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 9° 9° 9° 6° 7° 9° 7° Maximum 14° 15° 15° 17° 19° 15° 15° Chance of rain 80% 90% 60% 5% 10% 80% 60% Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate No Rating No Rating No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 10
(km/h)13
(km/h)10
(km/h)12
(km/h)4
(km/h)6
(km/h)2
(km/h)5
(km/h)5
(km/h)8
(km/h)10
(km/h)10
(km/h)8
(km/h)10
(km/h)Wind direction WSW WSW WNW WSW WSW SW N WSW N NW NW WSW S S Relative humidity 90% 74% 94% 84% 93% 80% 86% 65% 74% 51% 64% 80% 79% 66% Dew point 10°C 9°C 11°C 12°C 11°C 12°C 9°C 10°C 9°C 8°C 7°C 10°C 8°C 9°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Tanjil East Rain Forecast
Tanjil East 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420257565565104786105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Tanjil East Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Apr 199.7 °C 17.6 °C 2.2 mmSaturday
Apr 203.9 °C 19.4 °C 0.2 mmSunday
Apr 216.7 °C 17.9 °C 0.2 mmMonday
Apr 223.7 °C 21.7 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 231.9 °C 25.0 °C 0.2 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Tanjil East minimum temp history (37.9382°S, 146.376°E, 388m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 26.5° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 1.9° 23/04/2024 Hottest on record 35.0 14/04/2004 Coldest on record -0.5 23/04/1992 Hottest this year 39.3° 10/03/2024 Coldest this year 1.9° 23/04/2024 Long term average 20.6° Long term average 8.8° Average this month 19.9° Average this month 8.6° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 23.8° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 6.1° 1995 Tanjil East rainfall history (37.9382°S, 146.376°E, 388m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 38.4mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 85.8mm
14.0 daysLong Term Average 56.7mm 14.3 days Wettest April on record 132.6mm 2001 Driest on record 10.2mm 1993 -
Year to Date
Tanjil East Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 197.7mm 44.0 day(s) Total For 2024 174.6mm 32.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 161.4mm 39.0 day(s) Wettest Day 38.4mm Apr 2 Lowest Temperature 1.9°C Apr23 Highest Temperature 39.3°C Mar10 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Tanjil East Climatology
Tanjil East Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 26.8 26.6 24.5 20.6 16.9 14.2 13.8 14.9 17.1 19.6 22.1 24.4 20.1 Mean Min (°C) 13.0 12.9 11.4 8.8 6.4 4.4 3.8 4.4 5.9 7.5 9.6 11.3 8.3 Mean Rain (mm) 50.5 42.3 48.2 56.7 55.0 63.9 60.8 67.5 73.6 74.6 74.7 65.8 733.2 Mean Rain Days 9.4 8.8 11.5 14.3 17.9 20.2 21.1 19.9 17.5 15.5 13.4 12.1 181.6