Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 11:01 AM EST on Wednesday 24 April 2024
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and southwesterly winds are expected during Wednesday. Areas likely to be affected include the West and South Gippsland forecast district and parts of the North Central, North East and Central forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
The next warning will be issued by 5:00 pm EST Wednesday.
Forecast
Seymour South (37.0253°S, 145.1341°E, 157m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY8° 17° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 20% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:26am EST 6:53am EST 5:41pm EST 6:08pm EST NOW14.8° Feels Like: 9.6° Relative Humidity: 50% Dew: 4.7° Wind: S 20km/h Gust: 24km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Seymour SouthNow14.8°cFeels Like:8.9°Wind:SW 24km/hGusts:30km/hHumidity:50%8°Min17°MaxToday in Seymour SouthPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the E, becoming less likely this afternoon. Slight chance of showers elsewhere in the morning. Winds SW 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 11 and 16.Tomorrow6°Min17°MaxCloudy. Medium chance of showers in the E, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Light winds becoming SW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to around 6 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 17. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the E, becoming less likely this afternoon. Slight chance of showers elsewhere in the morning. Winds SW 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 11 and 16.
Forecast for Seymour South (37.0253°S, 145.1341°E, 157m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 8° 6° 7° 6° 6° 7° 7° Maximum 17° 17° 17° 20° 21° 19° 17° Chance of rain 20% 10% 5% 5% 5% 40% 5% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 17
(km/h)24
(km/h)10
(km/h)22
(km/h)15
(km/h)18
(km/h)6
(km/h)10
(km/h)6
(km/h)13
(km/h)4
(km/h)16
(km/h)22
(km/h)24
(km/h)Wind direction SW SW WSW SW SSW SSW ESE N ENE N S SW S S Relative humidity 77% 48% 83% 51% 83% 55% 85% 44% 76% 39% 72% 51% 74% 51% Dew point 8°C 5°C 9°C 6°C 8°C 7°C 9°C 7°C 8°C 6°C 8°C 8°C 6°C 6°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Seymour South Rain Forecast
Seymour South 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420258575565106876105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Seymour South Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Saturday
Apr 208.5 °C 18.9 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Apr 217.3 °C 20.6 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 226.8 °C 22.7 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 237.9 °C 25.9 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Apr 246.5 °C 15.7 °C 2.8 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Seymour South minimum temp history (37.0253°S, 145.1341°E, 157m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 26.9° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 2.4° 22/04/2024 Hottest on record 35.5 04/04/1986 Coldest on record -1.1 27/04/1978 Hottest this year 38.3° 13/02/2024 Coldest this year 2.4° 22/04/2024 Long term average 21.5° Long term average 8.8° Average this month 21.1° Average this month 8.7° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 25.0° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 6.2° 1995 Seymour South rainfall history (37.0253°S, 145.1341°E, 157m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 35.0mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 50.8mm
9.0 daysLong Term Average 40.5mm 7.0 days Wettest April on record 164.6mm 1974 Driest on record 1.2mm 2019 -
Year to Date
Seymour South Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 152.8mm 23.0 day(s) Total For 2024 253.8mm 20.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 139.6mm 27.0 day(s) Wettest Day 83.0mm Jan 8 Lowest Temperature 2.4°C Apr22 Highest Temperature 38.3°C Feb13 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Seymour South Climatology
Seymour South Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 29.8 29.4 26.2 21.5 16.7 13.5 12.7 14.3 17.0 20.6 24.4 27.6 21.1 Mean Min (°C) 14.4 14.4 12.3 8.8 6.0 4.0 3.3 3.9 5.3 7.4 10.1 12.2 8.5 Mean Rain (mm) 44.2 33.4 34.7 40.5 52.3 54.8 55.9 60.3 54.1 49.5 48.6 40.6 565.9 Mean Rain Days 5.2 4.8 6.0 7.0 11.6 14.0 16.2 15.1 11.5 10.1 8.1 7.0 116.5