Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, North East, South West and Central forecast districts
Issued at 04:51 PM EST on Monday 29 April 2024
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, North East, South West and Central forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and southerly winds are expected during Tuesday. Areas likely to be affected include the Wimmera forecast district and parts of the Mallee, Northern Country, North Central, North East, South West and Central forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 pm EST Monday.
Forecast
Scotsmans Lead (37.65°S, 143.8841°E, 428m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW5° 12° mostly cloudy Chance of rain: 20% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:38am EST 7:05am EST 5:39pm EST 6:06pm EST NOW10.9° Feels Like: 5.3° Relative Humidity: 64% Dew: 4.4° Wind: S 22km/h Gust: 26km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1026.2hPa -
Today Weather
Scotsmans LeadNow12.3°cFeels Like:9.7°Wind:SE 7km/hGusts:9km/hHumidity:61%5°Min12°MaxToday in Scotsmans LeadCloudy. Medium chance of showers in the W, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds S 15 to 25 km/h turning SE 25 to 35 km/h during the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 16.Tomorrow5°Min12°MaxMostly sunny. Medium chance of showers near the Otways, near zero chance elsewhere. The chance of morning frost near the Yarra Valley. Winds SE 15 to 25 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 18. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the W, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds S 15 to 25 km/h turning SE 25 to 35 km/h during the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 16.
Forecast for Scotsmans Lead (37.65°S, 143.8841°E, 428m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary Minimum 5° 5° 5° 5° 6° 6° 6° Maximum 12° 16° 16° 17° 16° 16° 16° Chance of rain 20% 5% 5% 10% 10% 20% 10% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Slight Slight Slight Slight Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 26
(km/h)28
(km/h)19
(km/h)21
(km/h)15
(km/h)12
(km/h)12
(km/h)15
(km/h)17
(km/h)18
(km/h)16
(km/h)17
(km/h)14
(km/h)12
(km/h)Wind direction S S SSE SSE SE SSE ESE SSE SE SSE SE SSE ESE S Relative humidity 74% 62% 81% 54% 85% 52% 82% 53% 84% 57% 86% 60% 82% 53% Dew point 4°C 4°C 6°C 6°C 7°C 5°C 7°C 7°C 8°C 6°C 8°C 7°C 7°C 5°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Scotsmans Lead Rain Forecast
Scotsmans Lead 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420259565465106874105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Scotsmans Lead Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Thursday
Apr 256.5 °C 13.4 °C 0.6 mmFriday
Apr 267.5 °C 10.8 °C 0.4 mmSaturday
Apr 276.0 °C 15.7 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Apr 283.9 °C 18.7 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 298.1 °C 14.9 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Scotsmans Lead minimum temp history (37.65°S, 143.8841°E, 428m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 24.7° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 2.7° 22/04/2024 Hottest on record 31.5 10/04/2005 Coldest on record -4.1 21/04/1987 Hottest this year 36.9° 09/03/2024 Coldest this year 2.5° 21/03/2024 Long term average 18.2° Long term average 7.5° Average this month 16.8° Average this month 7.9° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 21.8° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 4.5° 1995 Scotsmans Lead rainfall history (37.65°S, 143.8841°E, 428m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 46.8mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 77.0mm
16.0 daysLong Term Average 51.2mm 12.6 days Wettest April on record 154.1mm 1939 Driest on record 0.0mm 1923 -
Year to Date
Scotsmans Lead Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 175.1mm 36.9 day(s) Total For 2024 134.2mm 37.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 154.6mm 42.0 day(s) Wettest Day 46.8mm Apr 2 Lowest Temperature 2.5°C Mar21 Highest Temperature 36.9°C Mar 9 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Scotsmans Lead Climatology
Scotsmans Lead Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 25.6 25.4 22.6 18.2 13.9 11.1 10.3 11.6 13.9 16.9 19.9 22.9 17.7 Mean Min (°C) 11.4 11.6 10.1 7.5 5.6 3.9 3.1 3.5 4.6 6.2 8.0 9.6 7.1 Mean Rain (mm) 40.2 42.2 41.5 51.2 64.2 62.9 66.0 73.3 70.6 66.9 56.0 50.1 685.0 Mean Rain Days 7.7 7.1 9.5 12.6 16.8 18.4 20.3 19.8 16.8 15.5 12.7 10.9 168.0