Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 04:50 AM EST on Wednesday 24 April 2024
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and southwesterly winds are expected during Wednesday. Areas likely to be affected include the West and South Gippsland forecast district and parts of the North Central, North East and Central forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
South West forecast district
The Warning to Sheep Graziers for the South West forecast district has been cancelled.
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 am EST Wednesday.
Forecast
Pastoria (37.2169°S, 144.5367°E, 461m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY6° 13° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 20% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:30am EST 6:57am EST 5:44pm EST 6:10pm EST NOW7.8° Feels Like: 5.4° Relative Humidity: 86% Dew: 5.7° Wind: S 7km/h Gust: 13km/h Rainfall since 9am: 1.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
PastoriaNow8.8°cFeels Like:5.5°Wind:SW 11km/hGusts:15km/hHumidity:76%6°Min13°MaxToday in PastoriaPartly cloudy. High chance of showers in the E, medium chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 16.Tomorrow4°Min14°MaxCloudy. High chance of showers in the E, medium chance elsewhere. Winds W 15 to 25 km/h turning SW 20 to 30 km/h during the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 12 and 16. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers in the E, medium chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 16.
Forecast for Pastoria (37.2169°S, 144.5367°E, 461m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 6° 4° 4° 4° 4° 6° 5° Maximum 13° 14° 14° 16° 17° 16° 13° Chance of rain 20% 40% 20% 5% 5% 40% 10% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate No Rating No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Slight Slight Slight Slight Nil Slight 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 20
(km/h)17
(km/h)17
(km/h)17
(km/h)15
(km/h)13
(km/h)5
(km/h)8
(km/h)8
(km/h)13
(km/h)9
(km/h)11
(km/h)25
(km/h)24
(km/h)Wind direction SW SW SW SW SSW S ESE NNW NNE NNW W SW S S Relative humidity 72% 55% 80% 61% 80% 63% 82% 56% 70% 49% 65% 66% 72% 61% Dew point 4°C 4°C 7°C 7°C 6°C 7°C 6°C 7°C 5°C 6°C 6°C 9°C 5°C 6°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Pastoria Rain Forecast
Pastoria 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420259565465106874105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Pastoria Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Apr 196.8 °C 18.1 °C 0.2 mmSaturday
Apr 204.5 °C 20.4 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Apr 213.6 °C 21.9 °C 0.4 mmMonday
Apr 222.7 °C - 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 233.4 °C 24.9 °C -Legend -
Almanac
Almanac
Pastoria minimum temp history (37.2169°S, 144.5367°E, 461m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 25.2° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 2.7° 22/04/2024 Hottest on record 33.7 10/04/2005 Coldest on record -1.1 17/04/2006 Hottest this year 38.4° 13/02/2024 Coldest this year 2.2° 21/03/2024 Long term average 20.8° Long term average 7.4° Average this month 21.3° Average this month 7.4° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 24.2° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 5.2° 1999 Pastoria rainfall history (37.2169°S, 144.5367°E, 461m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 51.6mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 62.8mm
11.0 daysLong Term Average 41.9mm 6.5 days Wettest April on record 242.4mm 1939 Driest on record 0.0mm 1927 -
Year to Date
Pastoria Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 147.4mm 19.5 day(s) Total For 2024 254.8mm 21.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 123.0mm 27.0 day(s) Wettest Day 117.2mm Jan 8 Lowest Temperature 2.2°C Mar21 Highest Temperature 38.4°C Feb13 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Pastoria Climatology
Pastoria Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 29.9 29.1 25.6 20.8 16.1 13.0 12.2 13.7 16.6 19.9 24.0 27.1 20.7 Mean Min (°C) 13.3 13.1 10.8 7.4 5.1 3.8 3.0 3.1 4.2 5.7 8.7 10.3 7.3 Mean Rain (mm) 35.5 35.6 34.4 41.9 55.1 68.1 65.5 60.8 53.8 53.4 41.9 37.6 579.1 Mean Rain Days 4.3 3.8 4.9 6.5 10.4 12.5 14.6 13.4 10.7 9.3 6.9 5.7 103.6