Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for North Central, South West, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 04:43 PM EST on Tuesday 23 April 2024
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
North Central, South West, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and southwesterly winds are expected during Tuesday and Wednesday. Areas likely to be affected include the West and South Gippsland forecast district and parts of the North Central, South West and Central forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
North East forecast district
The Warning to Sheep Graziers for the North East forecast district has been cancelled.
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 pm EST Tuesday.
Forecast
Mudgegonga (36.4983°S, 146.8584°E, 380m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY6° 24° cloud increasing Chance of rain: 40% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:19am EST 6:45am EST 5:37pm EST 6:04pm EST NOW23.9° Feels Like: 21.1° Relative Humidity: 34% Dew: 7.1° Wind: N 11km/h Gust: 13km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1017.3hPa -
Today Weather
MudgegongaNow23.7°cFeels Like:20.7°Wind:N 11km/hGusts:13km/hHumidity:33%6°Min24°MaxToday in MudgegongaPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the S later tonight. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds N 15 to 25 km/h.Tomorrow7°Min18°MaxPartly cloudy. High chance of showers in the S, slight chance elsewhere. Snow falling above 1600 metres. Winds N/NW 15 to 25 km/h shifting SW 20 to 30 km/h early in the morning then becoming S/SW and light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 20. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the S later tonight. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds N 15 to 25 km/h.
Forecast for Mudgegonga (36.4983°S, 146.8584°E, 380m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary Minimum 6° 7° 3° 2° 3° 5° 5° Maximum 24° 18° 18° 19° 21° 22° 21° Chance of rain 40% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 40% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - Frost risk Nil Nil Moderate Moderate Moderate Slight Slight 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 8
(km/h)10
(km/h)14
(km/h)17
(km/h)8
(km/h)15
(km/h)4
(km/h)7
(km/h)7
(km/h)8
(km/h)6
(km/h)8
(km/h)3
(km/h)8
(km/h)Wind direction ENE NNW SW SW SW SW SE W ENE N ENE NNW N W Relative humidity 56% 41% 68% 41% 69% 49% 68% 48% 65% 44% 62% 43% 56% 41% Dew point 6°C 10°C 5°C 4°C 5°C 7°C 5°C 8°C 5°C 9°C 6°C 9°C 5°C 8°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Mudgegonga Rain Forecast
Mudgegonga 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420255675556105787105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Mudgegonga Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Apr 199.3 °C 21.5 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Apr 2013.0 °C 23.3 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Apr 216.0 °C 24.1 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 226.8 °C 23.4 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 237.1 °C - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Mudgegonga minimum temp history (36.4983°S, 146.8584°E, 380m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 32.6° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 5.7° 18/04/2024 Hottest on record 34.8 04/04/1986 Coldest on record 1.1 27/04/1978 Hottest this year 38.7° 04/02/2024 Coldest this year 5.7° 18/04/2024 Long term average 22.1° Long term average 10.4° Average this month 23.0° Average this month 9.3° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 25.5° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 6.8° 1977 Mudgegonga rainfall history (36.4983°S, 146.8584°E, 380m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 12.6mm 06/04/2024 Total This Month 29.8mm
3.0 daysLong Term Average 52.0mm 7.3 days Wettest April on record 185.8mm 1939 Driest on record 0.0mm 1923 -
Year to Date
Mudgegonga Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 192.2mm 24.3 day(s) Total For 2024 128.4mm 19.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 356.0mm 31.0 day(s) Wettest Day 26.0mm Jan 9 Lowest Temperature 5.7°C Apr18 Highest Temperature 38.7°C Feb 4 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Mudgegonga Climatology
Mudgegonga Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 31.2 30.7 27.3 22.1 16.9 13.3 12.5 14.3 17.4 21.2 25.2 28.6 21.7 Mean Min (°C) 17.2 17.2 14.3 10.4 7.4 5.2 4.4 5.2 6.9 9.4 12.2 14.7 10.3 Mean Rain (mm) 50.6 41.8 47.8 52.0 58.5 67.6 75.7 75.6 61.2 67.6 55.4 49.4 703.4 Mean Rain Days 5.7 5.3 6.0 7.3 11.3 14.7 16.8 15.0 11.4 10.2 8.2 6.7 118.3