Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers
for North East forecast district
Issued at 10:56 AM EST on Saturday 27 April 2024
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
North East forecast district
The Warning to Sheep Graziers for the North East forecast district has been cancelled.
No further warnings will be issued for this event.
Forecast
Mountain Bay (37.1747°S, 146.0794°E, 360m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW8° 19° mostly cloudy Chance of rain: 10% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:27am EST 6:54am EST 5:33pm EST 6:00pm EST NOW10.8° Feels Like: 8.9° Relative Humidity: 65% Dew: 4.5° Wind: W 4km/h Gust: 4km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Mountain BayNow4.3°cFeels Like:1.7°Wind:S 6km/hGusts:7km/hHumidity:90%8°Min19°MaxToday in Mountain BayPartly cloudy. Winds NE/SE 15 to 20 km/h tending NW/NE in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 24.Tomorrow8°Min19°MaxPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the S from the late morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light early in the morning then becoming SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 22. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Winds NE/SE 15 to 20 km/h tending NW/NE in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 24.
Forecast for Mountain Bay (37.1747°S, 146.0794°E, 360m AMSL) Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Summary Minimum 8° 8° 5° 4° 5° 6° 7° Maximum 19° 15° 14° 16° 16° 15° 14° Chance of rain 10% 20% 5% 5% 10% 20% 50% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Slight Slight Slight Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 9
(km/h)17
(km/h)6
(km/h)13
(km/h)16
(km/h)18
(km/h)9
(km/h)11
(km/h)8
(km/h)11
(km/h)7
(km/h)10
(km/h)9
(km/h)14
(km/h)Wind direction E NNE ESE WSW S S SSE SSW SSE SW SSE SSW SSE S Relative humidity 74% 55% 74% 69% 70% 52% 75% 50% 81% 52% 80% 54% 81% 65% Dew point 7°C 9°C 7°C 8°C 3°C 3°C 4°C 5°C 6°C 6°C 6°C 5°C 7°C 6°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Mountain Bay Rain Forecast
Mountain Bay 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420255675556105787105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Mountain Bay Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Tuesday
Apr 235.9 °C 23.8 °C 0.2 mmWednesday
Apr 249.3 °C 14.7 °C 6.0 mmThursday
Apr 254.6 °C 15.4 °C 0.8 mmFriday
Apr 265.0 °C 15.1 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Apr 272.2 °C - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Mountain Bay minimum temp history (37.1747°S, 146.0794°E, 360m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 26.9° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 2.2° 27/04/2024 Hottest on record 34.1 04/04/1986 Coldest on record 0.0 23/04/1991 Hottest this year 36.2° 04/02/2024 Coldest this year 2.2° 27/04/2024 Long term average 20.9° Long term average 7.9° Average this month 20.1° Average this month 6.6° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 24.2° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 5.5° 1999 Mountain Bay rainfall history (37.1747°S, 146.0794°E, 360m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 41.8mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 56.2mm
9.0 daysLong Term Average 60.3mm 8.9 days Wettest April on record 205.9mm 1939 Driest on record 0.0mm 1923 -
Year to Date
Mountain Bay Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 203.3mm 26.3 day(s) Total For 2024 299.2mm 25.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 203.2mm 28.0 day(s) Wettest Day 84.0mm Jan 8 Lowest Temperature 2.2°C Apr27 Highest Temperature 36.2°C Feb 4 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Mountain Bay Climatology
Mountain Bay Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 29.2 29.1 25.8 20.9 16.1 12.6 12.1 13.7 16.7 20.1 23.6 26.6 20.4 Mean Min (°C) 12.9 12.8 10.7 7.9 6.0 4.1 3.7 4.3 5.6 7.4 9.4 11.1 7.9 Mean Rain (mm) 49.1 42.0 51.9 60.3 78.2 92.6 92.6 99.0 81.4 79.2 67.1 58.9 847.1 Mean Rain Days 5.8 5.1 6.5 8.9 14.0 16.7 17.8 17.2 13.6 11.9 9.2 7.6 134.2