Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for North Central, South West, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 04:43 PM EST on Tuesday 23 April 2024
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
North Central, South West, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and southwesterly winds are expected during Tuesday and Wednesday. Areas likely to be affected include the West and South Gippsland forecast district and parts of the North Central, South West and Central forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
North East forecast district
The Warning to Sheep Graziers for the North East forecast district has been cancelled.
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 pm EST Tuesday.
Forecast
Meadow Creek (36.6264°S, 146.4747°E, 260m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW9° 15° clearing shower Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:21am EST 6:47am EST 5:36pm EST 6:03pm EST NOW17.1° Feels Like: 14.3° Relative Humidity: 52% Dew: 7.2° Wind: N 11km/h Gust: 13km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1015.9hPa -
Today Weather
Meadow CreekNow16.8°cFeels Like:14.2°Wind:NE 9km/hGusts:9km/hHumidity:51%9°Min15°MaxToday in Meadow CreekPartly cloudy. High chance of showers in the S, slight chance elsewhere. Snow falling above 1600 metres. Winds N/NW 15 to 25 km/h shifting SW 20 to 30 km/h early in the morning then becoming S/SW and light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 20.Tomorrow9°Min15°MaxPartly cloudy. Patches of frost and the chance of fog in the N in the morning. Medium chance of showers in the S, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Snow possible above 1700 metres. Light winds becoming SW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 1 and 4 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 19. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers in the S, slight chance elsewhere. Snow falling above 1600 metres. Winds N/NW 15 to 25 km/h shifting SW 20 to 30 km/h early in the morning then becoming S/SW and light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 20.
Forecast for Meadow Creek (36.6264°S, 146.4747°E, 260m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 9° 4° 4° 6° 8° 7° 7° Maximum 15° 15° 16° 18° 19° 18° 17° Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 20% 30% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Slight Slight Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 11
(km/h)17
(km/h)3
(km/h)15
(km/h)4
(km/h)6
(km/h)4
(km/h)7
(km/h)4
(km/h)9
(km/h)2
(km/h)8
(km/h)8
(km/h)6
(km/h)Wind direction SW SW W SW SSE NW ESE N ESE NNW E WNW SSE S Relative humidity 68% 42% 72% 49% 70% 45% 68% 45% 65% 44% 64% 45% 64% 46% Dew point 6°C 2°C 5°C 5°C 5°C 5°C 6°C 6°C 7°C 7°C 6°C 6°C 6°C 6°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Meadow Creek Rain Forecast
Meadow Creek 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420255675556105787105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Meadow Creek Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Apr 196.3 °C 21.9 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Apr 202.6 °C 23.0 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Apr 211.9 °C 23.0 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 221.6 °C 24.0 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 231.9 °C 25.4 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Meadow Creek minimum temp history (36.6264°S, 146.4747°E, 260m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 32.7° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 1.6° 22/04/2024 Hottest on record 33.9 08/04/1998 Coldest on record -2.7 24/04/1999 Hottest this year 37.7° 04/02/2024 Coldest this year 1.6° 22/04/2024 Long term average 22.5° Long term average 7.0° Average this month 23.0° Average this month 5.9° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 25.8° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 3.9° 1999 Meadow Creek rainfall history (36.6264°S, 146.4747°E, 260m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 12.6mm 06/04/2024 Total This Month 25.8mm
6.0 daysLong Term Average 39.6mm 7.1 days Wettest April on record 135.0mm 1989 Driest on record 3.6mm 1993 -
Year to Date
Meadow Creek Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 170.0mm 24.3 day(s) Total For 2024 218.6mm 17.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 198.6mm 30.0 day(s) Wettest Day 54.4mm Jan 3 Lowest Temperature 1.6°C Apr22 Highest Temperature 37.7°C Feb 4 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Meadow Creek Climatology
Meadow Creek Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 32.1 30.9 27.6 22.5 17.4 13.9 13.0 14.5 17.7 21.5 25.8 29.3 22.2 Mean Min (°C) 14.4 13.7 10.9 7.0 4.3 2.9 2.5 3.0 4.6 6.5 9.5 11.8 7.6 Mean Rain (mm) 47.1 41.1 42.2 39.6 56.1 65.8 62.6 57.4 53.1 52.1 51.8 45.1 611.5 Mean Rain Days 5.8 5.4 6.0 7.1 11.2 15.1 17.3 14.8 11.5 9.5 8.2 7.1 118.8