Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers
for North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 05:02 PM EST on Wednesday 24 April 2024
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
The Warning to Sheep Graziers for the North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts has been cancelled.
No further warnings will be issued for this event.
Forecast
McMahons Creek (37.7019°S, 145.8308°E, 230m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY9° 15° Chance of rain: 70% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:25am EST 6:52am EST 5:35pm EST 6:03pm EST NOW10.1° Feels Like: 10.1° Relative Humidity: 99% Dew: 9.9° Wind: N 0km/h Gust: 0km/h Rainfall since 9am: 3.6mm Pressure: 1023.8hPa -
Today Weather
McMahons CreekNow9.9°cFeels Like:8.1°Wind:NW 9km/hGusts:17km/hHumidity:100%9°Min15°MaxToday in McMahons CreekCloudy. High chance of showers in the E, medium chance elsewhere. Winds W 15 to 20 km/h turning SW 20 to 30 km/h during the morning. Daytime maximum temperatures between 12 and 16.Tomorrow8°Min15°MaxCloudy. High chance of showers in the E, slight chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending S/SW in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 12 and 17. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers in the E, medium chance elsewhere. Winds W 15 to 20 km/h turning SW 20 to 30 km/h during the morning. Daytime maximum temperatures between 12 and 16.
Forecast for McMahons Creek (37.7019°S, 145.8308°E, 230m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary Minimum 9° 8° 5° 6° 9° 7° 8° Maximum 15° 15° 17° 19° 16° 13° 14° Chance of rain 70% 50% 5% 10% 70% 60% 40% Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate No Rating Moderate No Rating - - Frost risk Nil Nil Slight Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 10
(km/h)12
(km/h)4
(km/h)6
(km/h)2
(km/h)6
(km/h)5
(km/h)8
(km/h)9
(km/h)9
(km/h)6
(km/h)10
(km/h)6
(km/h)9
(km/h)Wind direction W WSW W WSW N WSW N NW NW WSW S S SSE S Relative humidity 94% 80% 90% 78% 84% 60% 76% 52% 67% 78% 84% 71% 82% 68% Dew point 11°C 11°C 10°C 11°C 8°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 8°C 11°C 7°C 8°C 9°C 8°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
McMahons Creek Rain Forecast
McMahons Creek 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420259565465106874105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
McMahons Creek Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Saturday
Apr 205.2 °C 18.1 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Apr 213.2 °C 18.3 °C 0.2 mmMonday
Apr 222.0 °C 23.1 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 233.6 °C 24.6 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Apr 249.2 °C 15.9 °C 7.2 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
McMahons Creek minimum temp history (37.7019°S, 145.8308°E, 230m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 30.1° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 2.0° 22/04/2024 Hottest on record 33.3 01/04/2014 Coldest on record -3.3 25/04/1999 Hottest this year 36.9° 09/03/2024 Coldest this year 2.0° 22/04/2024 Long term average 20.8° Long term average 7.1° Average this month 19.7° Average this month 7.8° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 23.2° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 3.8° 1999 McMahons Creek rainfall history (37.7019°S, 145.8308°E, 230m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 66.0mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 130.4mm
12.0 daysLong Term Average 60.4mm 12.3 days Wettest April on record 121.8mm 1996 Driest on record 5.4mm 2018 -
Year to Date
McMahons Creek Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 214.4mm 37.1 day(s) Total For 2024 336.6mm 32.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 236.8mm 29.0 day(s) Wettest Day 76.2mm Jan 8 Lowest Temperature 2.0°C Apr22 Highest Temperature 36.9°C Mar 9 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
McMahons Creek Climatology
McMahons Creek Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 28.1 27.7 25.3 20.8 16.7 14.1 13.5 14.8 17.4 19.8 22.7 25.3 20.5 Mean Min (°C) 12.1 11.9 9.9 7.1 5.6 4.0 4.0 4.4 5.6 6.9 9.0 10.0 7.5 Mean Rain (mm) 54.3 48.7 49.4 60.4 69.8 68.2 59.7 72.8 68.2 78.5 73.4 60.8 760.9 Mean Rain Days 8.8 6.8 9.0 12.3 16.4 18.0 18.2 18.8 15.0 14.6 12.4 10.7 161.1