Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, North East, South West and Central forecast districts
Issued at 10:39 PM EST on Monday 29 April 2024
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, North East, South West and Central forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and southerly winds are expected during Tuesday. Areas likely to be affected include the Wimmera forecast district and parts of the Mallee, Northern Country, North Central, North East, South West and Central forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
The next warning will be issued by 5:00 am EST Tuesday.
Forecast
Jarvis Creek (36.1835°S, 147.2241°E, 487m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW9° 18° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 10% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:23am EST 6:49am EST 5:28pm EST 5:55pm EST NOW10.1° Feels Like: 9.0° Relative Humidity: 70% Dew: 4.9° Wind: N 0km/h Gust: 0km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1023.8hPa -
Today Weather
Jarvis CreekNow11.3°cFeels Like:9.8°Wind:N 0km/hGusts:0km/hHumidity:56%9°Min18°MaxToday in Jarvis CreekMostly sunny. The chance of morning frost near the New South Wales border. Winds S/SE 15 to 25 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 3 and 6 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 21.Tomorrow9°Min18°MaxMostly sunny. Patches of morning frost in the E. Winds SE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming SE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 1 and 4 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 21. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Mostly sunny. The chance of morning frost near the New South Wales border. Winds S/SE 15 to 25 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 3 and 6 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 21.
Forecast for Jarvis Creek (36.1835°S, 147.2241°E, 487m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary Minimum 9° 7° 6° 7° 8° 9° 9° Maximum 18° 18° 18° 18° 18° 18° 18° Chance of rain 10% 5% 10% 20% 20% 10% 20% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 13
(km/h)14
(km/h)8
(km/h)5
(km/h)6
(km/h)3
(km/h)6
(km/h)5
(km/h)8
(km/h)6
(km/h)7
(km/h)8
(km/h)9
(km/h)6
(km/h)Wind direction SSE SSE SE S SE WSW SSE SSW SSE SSE SSE S SSE SSE Relative humidity 64% 44% 62% 37% 70% 39% 70% 43% 72% 51% 73% 46% 68% 42% Dew point 6°C 6°C 4°C 4°C 6°C 4°C 6°C 5°C 7°C 8°C 9°C 7°C 7°C 5°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Jarvis Creek Rain Forecast
Jarvis Creek 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420255675556105787105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Jarvis Creek Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Thursday
Apr 253.1 °C 19.3 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Apr 264.0 °C 20.7 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Apr 274.4 °C 22.0 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Apr 288.9 °C 21.6 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 2910.6 °C - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Jarvis Creek minimum temp history (36.1835°S, 147.2241°E, 487m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 32.6° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 3.1° 25/04/2024 Hottest on record 34.8 04/04/1986 Coldest on record 1.1 27/04/1978 Hottest this year 38.7° 04/02/2024 Coldest this year 3.1° 25/04/2024 Long term average 22.1° Long term average 10.4° Average this month 22.7° Average this month 8.9° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 25.5° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 6.8° 1977 Jarvis Creek rainfall history (36.1835°S, 147.2241°E, 487m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 12.6mm 06/04/2024 Total This Month 29.8mm
3.0 daysLong Term Average 52.0mm 7.3 days Wettest April on record 185.8mm 1939 Driest on record 0.0mm 1923 -
Year to Date
Jarvis Creek Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 192.0mm 24.2 day(s) Total For 2024 128.4mm 19.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 360.2mm 35.0 day(s) Wettest Day 26.0mm Jan 9 Lowest Temperature 3.1°C Apr25 Highest Temperature 38.7°C Feb 4 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Jarvis Creek Climatology
Jarvis Creek Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 31.2 30.7 27.3 22.1 16.9 13.3 12.5 14.3 17.4 21.2 25.2 28.6 21.7 Mean Min (°C) 17.2 17.2 14.3 10.4 7.4 5.2 4.4 5.2 6.9 9.4 12.2 14.7 10.3 Mean Rain (mm) 50.6 41.8 47.6 52.0 58.5 67.6 75.7 75.6 61.2 67.6 55.4 49.4 703.4 Mean Rain Days 5.7 5.3 5.9 7.3 11.3 14.7 16.8 15.0 11.4 10.2 8.2 6.7 118.3