Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers
for North East forecast district
Issued at 10:56 AM EST on Saturday 27 April 2024
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
North East forecast district
The Warning to Sheep Graziers for the North East forecast district has been cancelled.
No further warnings will be issued for this event.
Forecast
Howes Creek (37.1403°S, 146.0238°E, 372m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW9° 16° mostly cloudy Chance of rain: 10% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:28am EST 6:55am EST 5:32pm EST 5:59pm EST NOW14.9° Feels Like: 11.4° Relative Humidity: 61% Dew: 7.5° Wind: N 15km/h Gust: 20km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Howes CreekNow9.4°cFeels Like:7.3°Wind:E 7km/hGusts:9km/hHumidity:86%9°Min16°MaxToday in Howes CreekCloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the S, most likely in the late afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the morning then becoming SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 23.Tomorrow9°Min16°MaxMostly sunny. Winds S/SE 15 to 20 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 3 and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 21. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the S, most likely in the late afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the morning then becoming SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 23.
Forecast for Howes Creek (37.1403°S, 146.0238°E, 372m AMSL) Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Summary Minimum 9° 5° 4° 5° 6° 6° 8° Maximum 16° 14° 17° 17° 16° 15° 15° Chance of rain 10% 5% 5% 10% 20% 40% 10% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Slight Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 6
(km/h)15
(km/h)16
(km/h)18
(km/h)8
(km/h)10
(km/h)7
(km/h)9
(km/h)6
(km/h)8
(km/h)8
(km/h)12
(km/h)11
(km/h)16
(km/h)Wind direction N WSW S S SE SW ESE WSW ESE WSW SSE S S SSE Relative humidity 73% 71% 69% 51% 74% 52% 79% 51% 81% 55% 82% 58% 85% 62% Dew point 7°C 8°C 3°C 3°C 4°C 6°C 6°C 6°C 6°C 6°C 7°C 6°C 8°C 7°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Howes Creek Rain Forecast
Howes Creek 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420255675556105787105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Howes Creek Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Wednesday
Apr 249.3 °C 14.7 °C 6.0 mmThursday
Apr 254.6 °C 15.4 °C 0.8 mmFriday
Apr 265.0 °C 15.1 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Apr 272.2 °C 19.7 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Apr 283.9 °C - -Legend -
Almanac
Almanac
Howes Creek minimum temp history (37.1403°S, 146.0238°E, 372m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 26.9° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 2.2° 27/04/2024 Hottest on record 34.1 04/04/1986 Coldest on record 0.0 23/04/1991 Hottest this year 36.2° 04/02/2024 Coldest this year 2.2° 27/04/2024 Long term average 20.9° Long term average 7.9° Average this month 20.1° Average this month 6.5° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 24.2° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 5.5° 1999 Howes Creek rainfall history (37.1403°S, 146.0238°E, 372m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 41.8mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 56.2mm
9.0 daysLong Term Average 60.3mm 8.9 days Wettest April on record 205.9mm 1939 Driest on record 0.0mm 1923 -
Year to Date
Howes Creek Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 203.3mm 26.3 day(s) Total For 2024 299.2mm 25.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 205.8mm 29.0 day(s) Wettest Day 84.0mm Jan 8 Lowest Temperature 2.2°C Apr27 Highest Temperature 36.2°C Feb 4 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Howes Creek Climatology
Howes Creek Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 29.2 29.1 25.8 20.9 16.1 12.6 12.1 13.7 16.7 20.1 23.6 26.6 20.4 Mean Min (°C) 12.9 12.8 10.7 7.9 6.0 4.1 3.7 4.3 5.6 7.4 9.4 11.1 7.9 Mean Rain (mm) 49.1 42.0 51.9 60.3 78.2 92.6 92.6 99.0 81.4 79.2 67.1 58.9 847.1 Mean Rain Days 5.8 5.1 6.5 8.9 14.0 16.7 17.8 17.2 13.6 11.9 9.2 7.6 134.2