Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 11:01 AM EST on Wednesday 24 April 2024
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and southwesterly winds are expected during Wednesday. Areas likely to be affected include the West and South Gippsland forecast district and parts of the North Central, North East and Central forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
The next warning will be issued by 5:00 pm EST Wednesday.
Forecast
Herne Hill (38.1336°S, 144.3312°E, 48m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY10° 16° clearing shower Chance of rain: 40% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:31am EST 6:58am EST 5:43pm EST 6:10pm EST NOW15.4° Feels Like: 11.0° Relative Humidity: 50% Dew: 5.0° Wind: SW 17km/h Gust: 20km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Herne HillNow14.5°cFeels Like:7.8°Wind:W 28km/hGusts:32km/hHumidity:49%10°Min16°MaxToday in Herne HillPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the SE, most likely later tonight. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds SW 20 to 30 km/h turning W 15 to 25 km/h in the evening.Tomorrow9°Min17°MaxCloudy. High chance of showers in the E, medium chance elsewhere. Winds W 15 to 25 km/h turning SW 20 to 30 km/h during the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 12 and 16. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the SE, most likely later tonight. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds SW 20 to 30 km/h turning W 15 to 25 km/h in the evening.
Forecast for Herne Hill (38.1336°S, 144.3312°E, 48m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 10° 9° 9° 9° 9° 10° 9° Maximum 16° 17° 17° 17° 20° 17° 17° Chance of rain 40% 30% 30% 5% 40% 70% 40% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm UV index Low Low Low Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate No Rating Moderate - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 11
(km/h)24
(km/h)9
(km/h)18
(km/h)5
(km/h)12
(km/h)1
(km/h)5
(km/h)2
(km/h)12
(km/h)7
(km/h)17
(km/h)10
(km/h)19
(km/h)Wind direction WSW SW WSW SW W SSW WNW WNW NW NW W SSW SSW S Relative humidity 78% 49% 80% 61% 79% 66% 83% 58% 79% 46% 81% 68% 71% 61% Dew point 9°C 5°C 10°C 8°C 9°C 10°C 10°C 8°C 9°C 7°C 10°C 10°C 7°C 8°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Herne Hill Rain Forecast
Herne Hill 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420259565465106874105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Herne Hill Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Saturday
Apr 209.2 °C 16.9 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Apr 219.2 °C 17.7 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 224.7 °C 22.0 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 236.6 °C 26.5 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Apr 249.2 °C 17.1 °C 3.4 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Herne Hill minimum temp history (38.1336°S, 144.3312°E, 48m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 26.5° 23/04/2024 Coldest this month 4.7° 22/04/2024 Hottest on record Coldest on record Hottest this year 40.1° 13/02/2024 Coldest this year 4.7° 22/04/2024 Long term average 20.8° Long term average 10.8° Average this month 19.5° Average this month 10.7° Hottest - On Record Avg. max. temp. - - Coldest - on record Avg. min. temp. - - Herne Hill rainfall history (38.1336°S, 144.3312°E, 48m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 40.8mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 59.2mm
11.0 daysLong Term Average 94.8mm 11.8 days Wettest - on record - - Driest on record 4.0mm 2019 -
Year to Date
Herne Hill Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 190.6mm 33.0 day(s) Total For 2024 115.8mm 30.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 111.2mm 30.0 day(s) Wettest Day 40.8mm Apr 2 Lowest Temperature 4.7°C Apr22 Highest Temperature 40.1°C Feb13 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Herne Hill Climatology
Herne Hill Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 26.0 25.5 24.2 20.8 17.4 14.7 14.4 15.3 17.8 20.1 21.9 24.0 20.1 Mean Min (°C) 14.8 14.6 13.5 10.8 8.5 6.7 6.4 6.6 7.8 9.3 11.1 12.7 10.2 Mean Rain (mm) 44.0 27.5 24.3 94.8 46.8 53.0 40.5 43.3 48.2 52.5 54.8 33.1 564.5 Mean Rain Days 6.6 5.9 8.7 11.8 15.1 15.8 17.4 17.0 15.1 13.5 10.8 9.6 147.5