Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers
for North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 05:02 PM EST on Wednesday 24 April 2024
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
The Warning to Sheep Graziers for the North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts has been cancelled.
No further warnings will be issued for this event.
Forecast
Great Northern (36.0533°S, 146.5113°E, 159m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW1° 19° fog then sunny Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:21am EST 6:47am EST 5:36pm EST 6:02pm EST NOW10.2° Feels Like: 5.8° Relative Humidity: 68% Dew: 4.6° Wind: SW 17km/h Gust: 20km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Great NorthernNow9.7°cFeels Like:5.9°Wind:W 13km/hGusts:13km/hHumidity:68%1°Min19°MaxToday in Great NorthernPartly cloudy. Patches of frost and the chance of fog in the N in the morning. Medium chance of showers in the S, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Snow possible above 1700 metres. Light winds becoming SW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 1 and 4 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 19.Tomorrow1°Min19°MaxMostly sunny. The chance of fog in the E in the early morning. Patches of morning frost. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 1 and 4 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 20. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Patches of frost and the chance of fog in the N in the morning. Medium chance of showers in the S, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Snow possible above 1700 metres. Light winds becoming SW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 1 and 4 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 19.
Forecast for Great Northern (36.0533°S, 146.5113°E, 159m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary Minimum 1° -1° 0° 4° 4° 1° 0° Maximum 19° 21° 22° 24° 23° 21° 20° Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk High High High Slight Slight High High 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 12
(km/h)22
(km/h)5
(km/h)9
(km/h)8
(km/h)8
(km/h)10
(km/h)12
(km/h)4
(km/h)14
(km/h)9
(km/h)15
(km/h)7
(km/h)14
(km/h)Wind direction WSW SW SSW WSW ENE N ENE N E WSW S SSW SSE SSW Relative humidity 74% 41% 71% 36% 70% 34% 66% 34% 70% 30% 70% 31% 64% 32% Dew point 6°C 5°C 6°C 4°C 7°C 5°C 8°C 7°C 9°C 4°C 7°C 3°C 5°C 2°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Great Northern Rain Forecast
Great Northern 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420255675556105787105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Great Northern Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Saturday
Apr 201.8 °C 22.4 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Apr 211.9 °C 22.9 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 221.6 °C 25.5 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 233.0 °C 26.6 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Apr 249.2 °C 19.4 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Great Northern minimum temp history (36.0533°S, 146.5113°E, 159m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 34.3° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 1.6° 22/04/2024 Hottest on record 35.5 04/04/1986 Coldest on record -3.2 26/04/1981 Hottest this year 39.2° 04/02/2024 Coldest this year 1.6° 22/04/2024 Long term average 22.0° Long term average 7.0° Average this month 23.2° Average this month 5.8° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.3° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 3.3° 1977 Great Northern rainfall history (36.0533°S, 146.5113°E, 159m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 15.6mm 06/04/2024 Total This Month 24.4mm
3.0 daysLong Term Average 40.5mm 6.9 days Wettest April on record 162.3mm 1939 Driest on record 0.8mm 2019 -
Year to Date
Great Northern Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 156.9mm 22.4 day(s) Total For 2024 160.0mm 19.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 284.4mm 32.0 day(s) Wettest Day 29.4mm Feb 6 Lowest Temperature 1.6°C Apr22 Highest Temperature 39.2°C Feb 4 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Great Northern Climatology
Great Northern Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 31.4 30.8 27.4 22.0 17.0 13.4 12.5 14.1 17.3 21.0 25.4 29.3 21.8 Mean Min (°C) 13.7 13.9 10.9 7.0 4.3 2.5 2.0 2.7 4.1 6.2 8.7 11.4 7.3 Mean Rain (mm) 39.7 37.3 39.4 40.5 51.4 56.9 60.3 60.2 53.7 58.0 46.3 45.0 587.6 Mean Rain Days 5.3 4.9 5.3 6.9 9.9 12.7 14.6 14.1 10.9 9.8 7.6 6.3 108.4