Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers
for North East forecast district
Issued at 10:56 AM EST on Saturday 27 April 2024
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
North East forecast district
The Warning to Sheep Graziers for the North East forecast district has been cancelled.
No further warnings will be issued for this event.
Forecast
Granite Flat (36.5811°S, 147.4269°E, 345m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW10° 17° mostly cloudy Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:21am EST 6:47am EST 5:27pm EST 5:54pm EST NOW12.1° Feels Like: 10.3° Relative Humidity: 71% Dew: 7.0° Wind: NE 6km/h Gust: 7km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Granite FlatNow9.8°cFeels Like:8.4°Wind:N 4km/hGusts:6km/hHumidity:83%10°Min17°MaxToday in Granite FlatCloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the S, most likely in the late afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the morning then becoming SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 23.Tomorrow10°Min17°MaxMostly sunny. Winds S/SE 15 to 20 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 3 and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 21. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the S, most likely in the late afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the morning then becoming SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 23.
Forecast for Granite Flat (36.5811°S, 147.4269°E, 345m AMSL) Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Summary Minimum 10° 7° 4° 5° 5° 5° 7° Maximum 17° 13° 15° 15° 14° 14° 14° Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 10% 20% 20% 20% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Slight Nil Slight Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 3
(km/h)7
(km/h)14
(km/h)15
(km/h)9
(km/h)12
(km/h)9
(km/h)7
(km/h)7
(km/h)7
(km/h)8
(km/h)9
(km/h)10
(km/h)11
(km/h)Wind direction NE NW SSE S SSE SSE SSE S SSE SSE SSE S SSE SSE Relative humidity 73% 46% 69% 51% 69% 44% 75% 45% 73% 47% 73% 56% 74% 56% Dew point 9°C 5°C 4°C 3°C 3°C 3°C 5°C 3°C 5°C 3°C 5°C 5°C 6°C 5°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Granite Flat Rain Forecast
Granite Flat 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420255675556105787105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Granite Flat Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Tuesday
Apr 233.0 °C 22.5 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Apr 2411.0 °C 18.5 °C 1.0 mmThursday
Apr 251.0 °C 18.0 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Apr 268.0 °C - 0.0 mmSaturday
Apr 27- - -Legend -
Almanac
Almanac
Granite Flat minimum temp history (36.5811°S, 147.4269°E, 345m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 29.0° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 1.0° 25/04/2024 Hottest on record 33.4 04/04/1986 Coldest on record -1.6 22/04/2006 Hottest this year 35.0° 13/02/2024 Coldest this year 1.0° 25/04/2024 Long term average 20.9° Long term average 7.5° Average this month 21.0° Average this month 7.3° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 23.6° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 4.0° 1995 Granite Flat rainfall history (36.5811°S, 147.4269°E, 345m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 11.8mm 06/04/2024 Total This Month 33.5mm
6.0 daysLong Term Average 57.7mm 7.7 days Wettest April on record 183.2mm 1935 Driest on record 0.0mm 1925 -
Year to Date
Granite Flat Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 240.6mm 26.7 day(s) Total For 2024 178.1mm 20.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 196.8mm 29.0 day(s) Wettest Day 23.0mm Jan 8 Lowest Temperature 1.0°C Apr25 Highest Temperature 35.0°C Feb13 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Granite Flat Climatology
Granite Flat Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 29.4 29.0 25.8 20.9 16.0 12.6 11.7 13.4 16.6 20.3 23.9 26.7 20.5 Mean Min (°C) 13.9 13.6 11.1 7.5 4.9 3.2 2.4 2.8 4.6 6.9 9.9 12.0 7.6 Mean Rain (mm) 66.6 55.7 60.6 57.7 86.6 101.5 113.0 121.7 102.9 95.6 73.3 74.9 998.5 Mean Rain Days 6.4 5.9 6.7 7.7 10.7 12.8 15.0 14.7 13.0 11.0 8.9 7.7 119.8