Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers
for North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 05:02 PM EST on Wednesday 24 April 2024
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts
The Warning to Sheep Graziers for the North Central, North East, Central and West and South Gippsland forecast districts has been cancelled.
No further warnings will be issued for this event.
Forecast
Ferny Creek (37.8813°S, 145.3423°E, 501m AMSL) set as my default location ›
-
My MLA
-
Current condition
TOMORROW8° 12° possible shower Chance of rain: 50% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:28am EST 6:55am EST 5:37pm EST 6:04pm EST NOW8.8° Feels Like: 7.5° Relative Humidity: 100% Dew: 8.8° Wind: W 6km/h Gust: 11km/h Rainfall since 9am: 2.6mm Pressure: 1025.4hPa -
Today Weather
Ferny CreekNow12.7°cFeels Like:11.4°Wind:SW 6km/hGusts:11km/hHumidity:78%8°Min12°MaxToday in Ferny CreekCloudy. High chance of showers about the Dandenongs, medium chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending S/SW in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening.Tomorrow8°Min12°MaxPartly cloudy. The chance of fog in the morning, mainly about the nearby hills. Light winds. -
Radar
-
Popup Radar
-
Warnings
-
7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers about the Dandenongs, medium chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending S/SW in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening.
Forecast for Ferny Creek (37.8813°S, 145.3423°E, 501m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 8° 5° 5° 10° 6° 5° 5° Maximum 12° 15° 17° 12° 11° 12° 13° Chance of rain 50% 5% 10% 90% 80% 60% 90% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Slight Slight Nil Nil Slight Slight 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 4
(km/h)4
(km/h)1
(km/h)1
(km/h)5
(km/h)9
(km/h)8
(km/h)5
(km/h)9
(km/h)10
(km/h)9
(km/h)8
(km/h)5
(km/h)9
(km/h)Wind direction WSW SW NNE WNW N N NNW WSW SW SSW S S SSW SSW Relative humidity 97% 82% 92% 68% 82% 58% 67% 89% 85% 76% 86% 78% 90% 78% Dew point 9°C 8°C 8°C 8°C 7°C 8°C 5°C 8°C 6°C 6°C 6°C 7°C 7°C 8°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
-
12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Ferny Creek Rain Forecast
Ferny Creek 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420259465465106775105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
-
Popup - Daily historical
-
Long range rainfall forecast
-
Past 5 Days
Ferny Creek Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Sunday
Apr 216.8 °C 14.8 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 227.3 °C 20.0 °C 0.2 mmTuesday
Apr 2314.3 °C 20.9 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Apr 246.9 °C 12.0 °C 16.4 mmThursday
Apr 256.9 °C 10.4 °C 7.6 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Ferny Creek minimum temp history (37.8813°S, 145.3423°E, 501m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 25.1° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 6.5° 09/04/2024 Hottest on record Coldest on record Hottest this year 33.6° 10/03/2024 Coldest this year 6.5° 09/04/2024 Long term average 16.9° Long term average 10.0° Average this month 15.3° Average this month 9.2° Hottest - On Record Avg. max. temp. - - Coldest - on record Avg. min. temp. - - Ferny Creek rainfall history (37.8813°S, 145.3423°E, 501m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 83.2mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 237.4mm
17.0 daysLong Term Average 119.7mm 15.1 days Wettest - on record - - Driest on record 39.4mm 2018 -
Year to Date
Ferny Creek Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 357.1mm 51.6 day(s) Total For 2024 483.8mm 52.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 412.2mm 66.0 day(s) Wettest Day 83.2mm Apr 2 Lowest Temperature 6.5°C Apr 9 Highest Temperature 33.6°C Mar10 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
- Adelaide
- Adelaide Airport
- Adelaide Sellicks
- Albany
- Alice Springs
- Bairnsdale
- Bowen
- Brewarrina
- Brisbane
- Brisbane Airport
- Brisbane Marburg
- Broadmeadows
- Broome
- Cairns
- Cairns Airport
- Canberra
- Carnarvon
- Ceduna
- Coffs Harbour
- Dampier
- Darwin
- Darwin Airport
- Emerald
- Esperance
- Eucla
- Geraldton
- Giles
- Gladstone
-
Popup - Monthly historical
-
Climatology
Climate History
Ferny Creek Climatology
Ferny Creek Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 24.2 23.6 21.3 16.9 12.8 10.4 9.8 10.9 14.0 16.7 19.0 21.8 16.6 Mean Min (°C) 13.2 13.0 12.2 10.0 7.7 5.9 5.3 5.3 6.8 8.1 9.6 11.2 8.9 Mean Rain (mm) 92.3 62.3 82.8 119.7 129.4 131.1 110.5 125.7 96.6 137.6 124.6 99.8 1298.4 Mean Rain Days 12.7 10.0 13.8 15.1 19.2 20.1 20.5 21.2 17.0 18.2 16.2 14.4 196.2