Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for Furneaux Islands, North West Coast, Central North, North East, Midlands, East Coast, Upper Derwent Valley and South East forecast districts
Issued at 05:04 AM EST on Wednesday 24 April 2024
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
Furneaux Islands, North West Coast, Central North, North East, Midlands, East Coast, Upper Derwent Valley and South East forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and westerly winds are expected during Wednesday and Thursday. Areas likely to be affected include the Midlands, East Coast and South East forecast districts and parts of the Furneaux Islands, North West Coast, Central North, North East and Upper Derwent Valley forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
King Island forecast district
The Warning to Sheep Graziers for the King Island forecast district has been cancelled.
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 am EST Wednesday.
Forecast
Wilmot (41.3851°S, 146.1726°E, 261m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY5° 13° clearing shower Chance of rain: 40% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:27am EST 6:55am EST 5:30pm EST 5:58pm EST NOW10.1° Feels Like: 4.9° Relative Humidity: 58% Dew: 2.2° Wind: SW 19km/h Gust: 28km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1050.4hPa -
Today Weather
WilmotNow1.2°cFeels Like:-10.2°Wind:SW 48km/hGusts:54km/hHumidity:91%5°Min13°MaxToday in WilmotCloudy. High chance of showers, most likely late this afternoon and evening. Winds SW 25 to 40 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 11 and 15.Tomorrow7°Min14°MaxCloudy. Medium chance of showers in the W, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds SW 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 16. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely late this afternoon and evening. Winds SW 25 to 40 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 11 and 15.
Forecast for Wilmot (41.3851°S, 146.1726°E, 261m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 5° 7° 5° 4° 5° 7° 3° Maximum 13° 14° 17° 17° 16° 15° 14° Chance of rain 40% 5% 5% 20% 70% 5% 5% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Slight Nil Slight Slight Slight Nil Slight 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 17
(km/h)19
(km/h)15
(km/h)15
(km/h)6
(km/h)10
(km/h)3
(km/h)10
(km/h)5
(km/h)14
(km/h)11
(km/h)16
(km/h)11
(km/h)13
(km/h)Wind direction SW WSW SW SW SW WSW SW WNW WNW NNW WSW WSW SW WSW Relative humidity 58% 57% 68% 58% 76% 58% 78% 60% 83% 68% 73% 52% 68% 54% Dew point 2°C 4°C 5°C 5°C 6°C 8°C 6°C 8°C 8°C 9°C 6°C 4°C 3°C 4°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Wilmot Rain Forecast
Wilmot 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025756555666747105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Wilmot Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Saturday
Apr 203.5 °C 18.7 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Apr 216.3 °C 20.7 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 227.2 °C 17.0 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 235.3 °C 17.7 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Apr 247.5 °C - 2.6 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Wilmot minimum temp history (41.3851°S, 146.1726°E, 261m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 20.7° 21/04/2024 Coldest this month 3.4° 04/04/2024 Hottest on record 27.3 01/04/2005 Coldest on record -1.5 29/04/2009 Hottest this year 27.7° 10/03/2024 Coldest this year 2.2° 04/03/2024 Long term average 16.5° Long term average 7.1° Average this month 18.0° Average this month 6.8° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 18.5° 2002 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 5.3° 2006 Wilmot rainfall history (41.3851°S, 146.1726°E, 261m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 65.4mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 71.2mm
4.0 daysLong Term Average 64.1mm 11.3 days Wettest April on record 110.0mm 2014 Driest on record 4.8mm 2003 -
Year to Date
Wilmot Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 237.6mm 38.1 day(s) Total For 2024 207.2mm 28.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 242.2mm 39.0 day(s) Wettest Day 65.4mm Apr 2 Lowest Temperature 2.2°C Mar 4 Highest Temperature 27.7°C Mar10 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Wilmot Climatology
Wilmot Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 22.2 21.8 19.8 16.5 13.5 11.6 11.0 11.6 13.3 15.3 18.0 19.8 16.2 Mean Min (°C) 10.9 10.8 9.4 7.1 5.3 3.9 3.4 3.7 4.6 5.8 7.6 9.0 6.8 Mean Rain (mm) 63.6 45.0 64.9 64.1 88.7 117.0 135.8 124.8 111.5 102.4 75.4 61.4 1062.1 Mean Rain Days 8.7 8.4 9.7 11.3 16.0 16.1 18.5 18.1 16.8 14.0 11.2 9.9 157.1