Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for South East forecast district
Issued at 05:03 AM EST on Monday 29 April 2024
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
South East forecast district
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and strong westerly winds are expected during Monday. Areas likely to be affected include parts of the South East forecast district. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 am EST Monday.
Forecast
Upper Woodstock (43.0757°S, 147.0702°E, 29m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY8° 15° clearing shower Chance of rain: 30% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:31am EST 7:00am EST 5:17pm EST 5:47pm EST NOW11.2° Feels Like: 7.7° Relative Humidity: 61% Dew: 4.0° Wind: W 11km/h Gust: 13km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.6mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Upper WoodstockNow12.8°cFeels Like:8.9°Wind:NW 13km/hGusts:13km/hHumidity:53%8°Min15°MaxToday in Upper WoodstockCloudy. High chance of showers in the S, medium chance elsewhere, becoming less likely this afternoon. Snow falling above 800 metres. Possible hail in the far S in the late morning. Winds W 35 to 50 km/h decreasing to 25 to 40 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures between 9 and 16.Tomorrow6°Min15°MaxCloudy. High chance of showers in the S, slight chance elsewhere. Snow falling above 1000 metres. Winds W/SW 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 3 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 15. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers in the S, medium chance elsewhere, becoming less likely this afternoon. Snow falling above 800 metres. Possible hail in the far S in the late morning. Winds W 35 to 50 km/h decreasing to 25 to 40 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures between 9 and 16.
Forecast for Upper Woodstock (43.0757°S, 147.0702°E, 29m AMSL) Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Summary Minimum 8° 6° 5° 5° 5° 4° 3° Maximum 15° 15° 17° 15° 16° 16° 16° Chance of rain 30% 50% 10% 40% 40% 40% 30% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Low Low Low Low Low Low Low Fire Danger Rating High Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Slight Slight Slight Slight Moderate 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 18
(km/h)21
(km/h)11
(km/h)12
(km/h)7
(km/h)12
(km/h)6
(km/h)8
(km/h)4
(km/h)6
(km/h)3
(km/h)6
(km/h)3
(km/h)6
(km/h)Wind direction W WSW W WSW WNW WSW WNW SW WNW S WNW SSE WNW SSE Relative humidity 74% 56% 77% 69% 81% 64% 78% 68% 83% 70% 85% 69% 82% 68% Dew point 7°C 5°C 8°C 9°C 8°C 9°C 7°C 9°C 8°C 10°C 7°C 10°C 7°C 10°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Upper Woodstock Rain Forecast
Upper Woodstock 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025966567665767105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Upper Woodstock Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Wednesday
Apr 246.7 °C 14.4 °C 13.6 mmThursday
Apr 258.2 °C 13.4 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Apr 265.2 °C 17.8 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Apr 270.9 °C 16.8 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Apr 283.5 °C 19.4 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Upper Woodstock minimum temp history (43.0757°S, 147.0702°E, 29m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 23.9° 06/04/2024 Coldest this month 0.3° 17/04/2024 Hottest on record 30.4 02/04/2005 Coldest on record -2.9 20/04/2015 Hottest this year 35.8° 22/02/2024 Coldest this year 0.3° 17/04/2024 Long term average 18.0° Long term average 5.9° Average this month 18.2° Average this month 5.5° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.9° 2016 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 3.9° 2008 Upper Woodstock rainfall history (43.0757°S, 147.0702°E, 29m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 20.2mm 03/04/2024 Total This Month 44.0mm
9.0 daysLong Term Average 45.4mm 14.5 days Wettest April on record 84.0mm 2006 Driest on record 19.0mm 2015 -
Year to Date
Upper Woodstock Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 171.0mm 48.1 day(s) Total For 2024 109.4mm 34.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 131.4mm 43.0 day(s) Wettest Day 20.2mm Apr 3 Lowest Temperature 0.3°C Apr17 Highest Temperature 35.8°C Feb22 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Upper Woodstock Climatology
Upper Woodstock Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 23.6 22.7 21.2 18.0 15.0 12.7 12.3 13.5 15.5 17.3 19.2 21.3 17.6 Mean Min (°C) 10.0 9.2 8.0 5.9 4.3 2.1 2.1 2.7 4.3 5.5 7.3 8.5 5.8 Mean Rain (mm) 38.8 43.7 43.1 45.4 69.2 66.4 66.9 86.9 75.1 70.1 55.8 61.4 729.2 Mean Rain Days 10.4 10.8 12.4 14.5 16.9 17.4 19.4 19.4 16.8 17.0 14.4 13.8 182.5