Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Tasmania
Issued at 05:00 AM EST on Thursday 18 April 2024
for the period until midnight EST Friday 19 April 2024
Wind Warnings for Thursday 18 April
Gale Warning for the following areas:
South East Coast and South West Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Storm Bay, Channel, Far North West Coast, Central North Coast, Banks Strait and Franklin Sound, East of Flinders Island, Lower East Coast and Central West Coast
Wind Warnings for Friday 19 April
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Banks Strait and Franklin Sound, East of Flinders Island and Upper East Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:05 pm EST Thursday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Surveyors Bay (43.2785°S, 147.0851°E, 63m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY10° 14° late shower Chance of rain: 80% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:19am EST 6:49am EST 5:33pm EST 6:02pm EST NOW13.1° Feels Like: 6.0° Relative Humidity: 69% Dew: 7.5° Wind: W 33km/h Gust: 39km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1012.9hPa -
Today Weather
Surveyors BayNow13.1°cFeels Like:9.3°Wind:NW 15km/hGusts:20km/hHumidity:62%10°Min14°MaxToday in Surveyors BayCloudy. High chance of showers, most likely from the late morning. Winds W/NW 30 to 45 km/h turning SW 25 to 40 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 12 and 19.Tomorrow10°Min13°MaxCloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the early morning. Winds S/SW 25 to 35 km/h decreasing to 15 to 25 km/h early in the morning then turning W/NW 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 12 and 17. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely from the late morning. Winds W/NW 30 to 45 km/h turning SW 25 to 40 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 12 and 19.
Forecast for Surveyors Bay (43.2785°S, 147.0851°E, 63m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary Minimum 10° 10° 7° 10° 10° 11° 10° Maximum 14° 13° 15° 16° 17° 14° 12° Chance of rain 80% 5% 5% 10% 10% 90% 90% Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 20
(km/h)20
(km/h)13
(km/h)12
(km/h)11
(km/h)12
(km/h)14
(km/h)13
(km/h)10
(km/h)13
(km/h)15
(km/h)12
(km/h)14
(km/h)20
(km/h)Wind direction NW WSW SW SW NW W WNW WNW NNW NW WNW W WNW W Relative humidity 73% 72% 69% 60% 69% 59% 76% 65% 77% 60% 74% 71% 75% 70% Dew point 8°C 8°C 6°C 6°C 5°C 7°C 9°C 10°C 9°C 9°C 8°C 9°C 7°C 6°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Surveyors Bay Rain Forecast
Surveyors Bay 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025966567665767105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 16
ENSO status: Inactive. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming positive. SAM status: Positive, favouring positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has returned to an inactive phase for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling is occurring in the eastern Pacific, with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop in 2024. Warmer than normal waters are situated in the Coral Sea, providing moisture and humidity to the east coast. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, and the IOD index is spiking in response. Persistent southeasterly winds have set in over the eastern Indian Ocean, signalling that the atmosphere is starting to respond to the ocean patterns. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into apositive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly in May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is positive and will favour a positive phase during autumn and into winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia, particularly for southwest WA. Rainfall outlooks are showing below average rainfall over winter for WA, and the southwest coasts of SA, Vic and Tas. Conversely, above average rainfall is expected for eastern parts of Qld and NSW, and potentially eastern Tas.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Surveyors Bay Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Saturday
Apr 1312.2 °C 20.5 °C 2.0 mmSunday
Apr 1411.2 °C 22.3 °C 0.2 mmMonday
Apr 1513.5 °C 17.5 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 169.1 °C 14.8 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Apr 173.4 °C - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Surveyors Bay minimum temp history (43.2785°S, 147.0851°E, 63m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 22.3° 14/04/2024 Coldest this month 3.4° 17/04/2024 Hottest on record 28.6 02/04/2005 Coldest on record -2.0 30/04/2009 Hottest this year 37.3° 22/02/2024 Coldest this year 3.4° 17/04/2024 Long term average 17.0° Long term average 7.2° Average this month 18.0° Average this month 8.1° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.4° 2016 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 5.6° 2006 Surveyors Bay rainfall history (43.2785°S, 147.0851°E, 63m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 6.0mm 03/04/2024 Total This Month 15.4mm
5.0 daysLong Term Average 63.0mm 14.8 days Wettest April on record 262.0mm 1960 Driest on record 16.1mm 1927 -
Year to Date
Surveyors Bay Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 224.9mm 50.6 day(s) Total For 2024 106.0mm 39.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 163.8mm 55.0 day(s) Wettest Day 16.4mm Jan18 Lowest Temperature 3.4°C Apr17 Highest Temperature 37.3°C Feb22 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Surveyors Bay Climatology
Surveyors Bay Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 21.2 20.9 19.5 17.0 14.6 12.6 12.3 13.1 14.8 16.4 17.9 19.5 16.6 Mean Min (°C) 10.5 10.2 9.0 7.2 5.7 3.9 3.5 3.9 5.0 6.4 7.9 9.1 6.9 Mean Rain (mm) 52.7 49.4 59.8 63.0 71.7 77.6 89.7 96.6 80.5 83.9 72.4 70.8 864.9 Mean Rain Days 11.9 10.8 13.1 14.8 16.9 17.4 20.0 19.2 17.6 17.5 15.5 14.5 189.9