Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for King Island, Furneaux Islands, North West Coast, North East, Midlands, East Coast, Upper Derwent Valley and South East forecast districts
Issued at 04:43 PM EST on Tuesday 23 April 2024
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
King Island, Furneaux Islands, North West Coast, North East, Midlands, East Coast, Upper Derwent Valley and South East forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and westerly winds are expected during Wednesday. Areas likely to be affected include the Midlands, East Coast and South East forecast districts and parts of the King Island, Furneaux Islands, North West Coast, North East and Upper Derwent Valley forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
Central North forecast district
The Warning to Sheep Graziers for the Central North forecast district has been cancelled.
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 pm EST Tuesday.
Forecast
Stony Head (41.0311°S, 146.9781°E, 14m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW8° 16° windy with showers Chance of rain: 20% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:24am EST 6:53am EST 5:28pm EST 5:57pm EST NOW17.2° Feels Like: 15.2° Relative Humidity: 86% Dew: 14.8° Wind: NE 19km/h Gust: 22km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1009.6hPa -
Today Weather
Stony HeadNow14.9°cFeels Like:13.9°Wind:NW 7km/hGusts:11km/hHumidity:79%8°Min16°MaxToday in Stony HeadPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the early morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning. Winds W/NW 20 to 30 km/h tending W/SW 25 to 40 km/h before dawn then tending W/NW in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 16.Tomorrow8°Min16°MaxPartly cloudy. Winds W/NW 15 to 25 km/h tending W/SW in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 17. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the early morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning. Winds W/NW 20 to 30 km/h tending W/SW 25 to 40 km/h before dawn then tending W/NW in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 16.
Forecast for Stony Head (41.0311°S, 146.9781°E, 14m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 8° 8° 5° 6° 9° 10° 6° Maximum 16° 17° 19° 18° 18° 18° 16° Chance of rain 20% 5% 5% 20% 80% 40% 20% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Low Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Slight Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 34
(km/h)36
(km/h)30
(km/h)31
(km/h)19
(km/h)24
(km/h)18
(km/h)28
(km/h)19
(km/h)32
(km/h)31
(km/h)30
(km/h)26
(km/h)22
(km/h)Wind direction WSW W W WSW SW WNW SSW WNW WSW NW W W SSW SW Relative humidity 68% 59% 67% 57% 77% 64% 81% 73% 82% 75% 79% 61% 70% 64% Dew point 4°C 7°C 4°C 8°C 6°C 11°C 7°C 12°C 9°C 13°C 8°C 9°C 5°C 9°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Stony Head Rain Forecast
Stony Head 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025756555666747105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Stony Head Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Apr 1911.5 °C 18.2 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Apr 208.8 °C 18.6 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Apr 218.6 °C 19.5 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 2211.5 °C 17.4 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 239.5 °C 20.0 °C 0.2 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Stony Head minimum temp history (41.0311°S, 146.9781°E, 14m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 20.0° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 7.9° 09/04/2024 Hottest on record 23.1 02/04/2005 Coldest on record 3.7 29/04/2009 Hottest this year 26.7° 03/01/2024 Coldest this year 7.9° 09/04/2024 Long term average 17.8° Long term average 11.3° Average this month 18.6° Average this month 11.6° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 18.9° 2007 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 9.5° 2006 Stony Head rainfall history (41.0311°S, 146.9781°E, 14m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 39.4mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 69.4mm
6.0 daysLong Term Average 54.6mm 10.2 days Wettest April on record 88.6mm 2009 Driest on record 12.6mm 2007 -
Year to Date
Stony Head Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 183.8mm 32.1 day(s) Total For 2024 148.4mm 23.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 141.0mm 31.0 day(s) Wettest Day 39.4mm Apr 2 Lowest Temperature 7.9°C Apr 9 Highest Temperature 26.7°C Jan 3 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Stony Head Climatology
Stony Head Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 20.7 21.1 20.1 17.8 15.4 13.5 12.8 13.1 14.1 15.5 17.5 19.0 16.7 Mean Min (°C) 14.5 14.6 13.4 11.3 9.4 7.5 7.0 7.3 8.5 9.6 11.4 12.9 10.6 Mean Rain (mm) 49.1 27.9 52.2 54.6 62.7 75.9 72.9 76.1 55.6 53.7 50.7 42.5 670.6 Mean Rain Days 7.0 6.7 8.2 10.2 13.4 15.0 17.0 16.3 14.8 12.0 9.6 8.7 138.3