Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for King Island, Furneaux Islands, North West Coast, North East, Midlands, East Coast, Upper Derwent Valley and South East forecast districts
Issued at 01:50 AM EST on Wednesday 24 April 2024
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
King Island, Furneaux Islands, North West Coast, North East, Midlands, East Coast, Upper Derwent Valley and South East forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and westerly winds are expected during Wednesday. Areas likely to be affected include the Midlands, East Coast and South East forecast districts and parts of the King Island, Furneaux Islands, North West Coast, North East and Upper Derwent Valley forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
The next warning will be issued by 5:00 am EST Wednesday.
Forecast
Penguin (41.1102°S, 146.0691°E, 2m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY6° 15° clearing shower Chance of rain: 20% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:28am EST 6:56am EST 5:32pm EST 6:00pm EST NOW10.5° Feels Like: 6.1° Relative Humidity: 76% Dew: 6.5° Wind: S 19km/h Gust: 22km/h Rainfall since 9am: 6.6mm Pressure: 1008.5hPa -
Today Weather
PenguinNow10.2°cFeels Like:1.4°Wind:SW 39km/hGusts:44km/hHumidity:66%6°Min15°MaxToday in PenguinCloudy. Very high chance of showers in the W, high chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 15.Tomorrow8°Min16°MaxCloudy. Medium chance of showers in the W, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds SW 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 16. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers in the W, high chance elsewhere. Winds W/SW 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 15.
Forecast for Penguin (41.1102°S, 146.0691°E, 2m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 6° 8° 8° 7° 8° 8° 5° Maximum 15° 16° 17° 17° 17° 16° 15° Chance of rain 20% 5% 5% 30% 80% 30% 5% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Low Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Slight 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 24
(km/h)27
(km/h)23
(km/h)26
(km/h)14
(km/h)18
(km/h)10
(km/h)17
(km/h)8
(km/h)18
(km/h)21
(km/h)23
(km/h)19
(km/h)22
(km/h)Wind direction WSW WSW WSW SW WSW WSW WSW WNW W NW WSW WSW SW SW Relative humidity 64% 61% 68% 60% 72% 61% 74% 66% 79% 71% 72% 57% 66% 60% Dew point 2°C 8°C 7°C 7°C 8°C 9°C 7°C 10°C 10°C 12°C 6°C 7°C 5°C 7°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Penguin Rain Forecast
Penguin 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025756555666747105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Penguin Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Apr 196.1 °C 18.8 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Apr 205.9 °C 16.5 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Apr 215.5 °C 19.4 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 228.8 °C 17.8 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 237.4 °C 18.8 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Penguin minimum temp history (41.1102°S, 146.0691°E, 2m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 21.6° 15/04/2024 Coldest this month 5.2° 09/04/2024 Hottest on record 24.9 10/04/2005 Coldest on record -0.8 06/04/1991 Hottest this year 29.5° 18/02/2024 Coldest this year 3.8° 04/03/2024 Long term average 17.8° Long term average 8.8° Average this month 19.0° Average this month 8.5° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.4° 2002 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 7.0° 2006 Penguin rainfall history (41.1102°S, 146.0691°E, 2m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 49.0mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 57.8mm
5.0 daysLong Term Average 60.4mm 9.7 days Wettest April on record 191.4mm 1992 Driest on record 4.9mm 1963 -
Year to Date
Penguin Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 189.4mm 30.9 day(s) Total For 2024 153.3mm 25.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 143.5mm 33.0 day(s) Wettest Day 49.0mm Apr 2 Lowest Temperature 3.8°C Mar 4 Highest Temperature 29.5°C Feb18 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Penguin Climatology
Penguin Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 21.7 21.8 20.5 17.8 15.4 13.5 12.9 13.2 14.4 16.0 18.0 19.9 17.1 Mean Min (°C) 12.6 12.6 11.0 8.8 6.8 5.2 4.8 5.1 6.1 7.4 9.3 10.8 8.3 Mean Rain (mm) 43.3 36.2 49.5 60.4 72.9 78.7 94.4 88.4 72.2 63.9 55.8 50.9 764.5 Mean Rain Days 7.0 6.2 8.0 9.7 12.6 13.3 15.8 16.0 13.6 11.7 9.8 8.5 132.1