Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for King Island, Furneaux Islands, North West Coast, North East, Midlands, East Coast, Upper Derwent Valley and South East forecast districts
Issued at 04:43 PM EST on Tuesday 23 April 2024
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
King Island, Furneaux Islands, North West Coast, North East, Midlands, East Coast, Upper Derwent Valley and South East forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and westerly winds are expected during Wednesday. Areas likely to be affected include the Midlands, East Coast and South East forecast districts and parts of the King Island, Furneaux Islands, North West Coast, North East and Upper Derwent Valley forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
Central North forecast district
The Warning to Sheep Graziers for the Central North forecast district has been cancelled.
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 pm EST Tuesday.
Forecast
Nugara (39.9408°S, 143.8989°E, 111m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW9° 16° windy with showers Chance of rain: 80% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:35am 7:02am 5:42pm 6:10pm NOW15.4° Feels Like: 13.2° Relative Humidity: 87% Dew: 13.2° Wind: NW 17km/h Gust: 22km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.8mm Pressure: 1011.4hPa -
Today Weather
NugaraNow15.9°cFeels Like:12.0°Wind:W 24km/hGusts:41km/hHumidity:80%9°Min16°MaxToday in NugaraCloudy. High chance of showers. Winds W/SW 30 to 45 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 9 with daytime temperatures reaching around 16.Tomorrow9°Min16°MaxCloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Winds SW 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 10 with daytime temperatures reaching around 16. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers. Winds W/SW 30 to 45 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 9 with daytime temperatures reaching around 16.
Forecast for Nugara (39.9408°S, 143.8989°E, 111m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 9° 10° 10° 10° 10° 11° 9° Maximum 16° 16° 16° 17° 18° 16° 15° Chance of rain 80% 70% 50% 30% 70% 60% 40% Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate No Rating - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 34
(km/h)34
(km/h)30
(km/h)31
(km/h)18
(km/h)22
(km/h)11
(km/h)18
(km/h)18
(km/h)25
(km/h)25
(km/h)29
(km/h)24
(km/h)28
(km/h)Wind direction WSW WSW SW WSW SW WSW WNW WNW NNW NW WSW SW S S Relative humidity 61% 57% 65% 63% 71% 65% 74% 61% 69% 60% 69% 57% 64% 61% Dew point 5°C 7°C 7°C 8°C 8°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 10°C 9°C 6°C 6°C 7°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Nugara Rain Forecast
Nugara 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025756455587855105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Nugara Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Apr 1910.9 °C 17.8 °C 5.4 mmSaturday
Apr 2010.9 °C 16.6 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Apr 2112.3 °C 15.8 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 2213.0 °C 18.2 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 237.1 °C 21.0 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Nugara minimum temp history (39.9408°S, 143.8989°E, 111m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 22.7° 06/04/2024 Coldest this month 7.1° 23/04/2024 Hottest on record 31.1 01/04/2014 Coldest on record 0.0 25/04/1997 Hottest this year 35.6° 11/03/2024 Coldest this year 4.4° 30/01/2024 Long term average 17.8° Long term average 10.6° Average this month 18.2° Average this month 11.5° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.5° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 9.3° 2015 Nugara rainfall history (39.9408°S, 143.8989°E, 111m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 5.4mm 19/04/2024 Total This Month 30.6mm
12.0 daysLong Term Average 51.1mm 16.6 days Wettest April on record 102.2mm 2006 Driest on record 16.8mm 1988 -
Year to Date
Nugara Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 171.5mm 44.4 day(s) Total For 2024 66.6mm 32.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 138.6mm 45.0 day(s) Wettest Day 10.8mm Mar20 Lowest Temperature 4.4°C Jan30 Highest Temperature 35.6°C Mar11 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Nugara Climatology
Nugara Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 21.1 21.3 20.2 17.8 15.6 14.0 13.3 13.7 14.7 16.0 17.6 19.1 17.0 Mean Min (°C) 12.6 13.1 12.3 10.6 9.4 8.2 7.7 7.8 8.4 8.9 10.2 11.1 10.0 Mean Rain (mm) 39.0 30.7 50.7 51.1 89.6 98.9 117.4 113.6 83.2 72.7 52.7 45.9 851.0 Mean Rain Days 8.5 7.2 12.1 16.6 19.1 19.9 22.1 22.9 18.9 16.1 12.3 11.2 182.1