Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Tasmania
Issued at 06:16 AM EST on Sunday 28 April 2024
for the period until midnight EST Monday 29 April 2024
Wind Warnings for Sunday 28 April
Gale Warning for the following areas:
South West Coast and Central West Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
South West Lakes, Far North West Coast, Upper East Coast, Lower East Coast and South East Coast
Wind Warnings for Monday 29 April
Gale Warning for the following areas:
South East Coast, South West Coast and Central West Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Storm Bay, Channel, South West Lakes, Far North West Coast, Central North Coast, Banks Strait and Franklin Sound, East of Flinders Island, Upper East Coast and Lower East Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:05 pm EST Sunday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Nicholls Rivulet (43.1619°S, 147.1418°E, 63m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY7° 19° mostly cloudy Chance of rain: 80% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:31am EST 7:00am EST 5:19pm EST 5:48pm EST NOW4.4° Feels Like: 0.9° Relative Humidity: 98% Dew: 4.1° Wind: NE 11km/h Gust: 11km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Nicholls RivuletNow8.5°cFeels Like:6.7°Wind:SW 6km/hGusts:6km/hHumidity:90%7°Min19°MaxToday in Nicholls RivuletPartly cloudy. Winds N/NW 25 to 40 km/h increasing to 30 to 45 km/h in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 14 and 20.Tomorrow8°Min14°MaxPartly cloudy. High chance of showers in the S, medium chance elsewhere. Snow falling above 800 metres. Possible small hail in the far S from the late morning. Winds NW 35 to 50 km/h turning W/SW during the morning and early afternoon then becoming W 25 to 40 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 16. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Winds N/NW 25 to 40 km/h increasing to 30 to 45 km/h in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures between 14 and 20.
Forecast for Nicholls Rivulet (43.1619°S, 147.1418°E, 63m AMSL) Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Summary Minimum 7° 8° 6° 6° 5° 5° 4° Maximum 19° 14° 15° 16° 15° 15° 15° Chance of rain 80% 80% 60% 10% 50% 30% 40% Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm UV index Low Low Low Low Low Low Low Fire Danger Rating Moderate High Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Slight Slight Slight 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 8
(km/h)13
(km/h)21
(km/h)23
(km/h)12
(km/h)13
(km/h)8
(km/h)10
(km/h)5
(km/h)7
(km/h)4
(km/h)7
(km/h)4
(km/h)6
(km/h)Wind direction N NNW W WSW W WSW W SW W SSW W SSE WSW WSW Relative humidity 78% 58% 74% 58% 79% 68% 81% 67% 82% 70% 82% 73% 82% 69% Dew point 9°C 11°C 5°C 5°C 8°C 9°C 8°C 9°C 7°C 9°C 8°C 9°C 7°C 10°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Nicholls Rivulet Rain Forecast
Nicholls Rivulet 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025966567665767105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Nicholls Rivulet Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Tuesday
Apr 231.5 °C 22.6 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Apr 246.7 °C 14.4 °C 13.6 mmThursday
Apr 258.2 °C 13.4 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Apr 265.2 °C 17.8 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Apr 270.9 °C 16.8 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Nicholls Rivulet minimum temp history (43.1619°S, 147.1418°E, 63m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 23.9° 06/04/2024 Coldest this month 0.3° 17/04/2024 Hottest on record 30.4 02/04/2005 Coldest on record -2.9 20/04/2015 Hottest this year 35.8° 22/02/2024 Coldest this year 0.3° 17/04/2024 Long term average 18.0° Long term average 5.9° Average this month 18.2° Average this month 5.6° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.9° 2016 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 3.9° 2008 Nicholls Rivulet rainfall history (43.1619°S, 147.1418°E, 63m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 20.2mm 03/04/2024 Total This Month 44.0mm
9.0 daysLong Term Average 45.4mm 14.5 days Wettest April on record 84.0mm 2006 Driest on record 19.0mm 2015 -
Year to Date
Nicholls Rivulet Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 171.0mm 48.1 day(s) Total For 2024 109.4mm 34.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 131.4mm 43.0 day(s) Wettest Day 20.2mm Apr 3 Lowest Temperature 0.3°C Apr17 Highest Temperature 35.8°C Feb22 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Nicholls Rivulet Climatology
Nicholls Rivulet Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 23.6 22.7 21.2 18.0 15.0 12.7 12.3 13.5 15.5 17.3 19.2 21.3 17.6 Mean Min (°C) 10.0 9.2 8.0 5.9 4.3 2.1 2.1 2.7 4.3 5.5 7.3 8.5 5.8 Mean Rain (mm) 38.8 43.7 43.1 45.4 69.2 66.4 66.9 86.9 75.1 70.1 55.8 61.4 729.2 Mean Rain Days 10.4 10.8 12.4 14.5 16.9 17.4 19.4 19.4 16.8 17.0 14.4 13.8 182.5