Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Tasmania
Issued at 10:06 PM EST on Thursday 18 April 2024
for the period until midnight EST Friday 19 April 2024
Wind Warnings for Thursday 18 April
Cancellation for the following areas:
Storm Bay, Far North West Coast, Central North Coast, Banks Strait and Franklin Sound, East of Flinders Island, Lower East Coast, South East Coast, South West Coast and Central West Coast
Wind Warnings for Friday 19 April
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Banks Strait and Franklin Sound, East of Flinders Island, Upper East Coast and Lower East Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 5:00 am EST Friday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Ilfraville (41.1522°S, 146.8018°E, 16m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY8° 20° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:19am EST 6:47am EST 5:36pm EST 6:04pm EST NOW11.9° Feels Like: 2.8° Relative Humidity: 70% Dew: 6.6° Wind: S 43km/h Gust: 52km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1015.2hPa -
Today Weather
IlfravilleNow9.3°cFeels Like:2.3°Wind:S 30km/hGusts:35km/hHumidity:72%8°Min20°MaxToday in IlfravilleMostly sunny. Winds S/SE 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 16 and 20.Tomorrow7°Min19°MaxSunny. The chance of morning frost. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 2 and 6 with daytime temperatures reaching around 19. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Mostly sunny. Winds S/SE 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 16 and 20.
Forecast for Ilfraville (41.1522°S, 146.8018°E, 16m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 8° 7° 6° 7° 11° 6° 7° Maximum 20° 19° 21° 19° 21° 17° 17° Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 20% 70% 30% 60% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 35
(km/h)24
(km/h)18
(km/h)22
(km/h)23
(km/h)24
(km/h)24
(km/h)32
(km/h)32
(km/h)35
(km/h)27
(km/h)34
(km/h)32
(km/h)32
(km/h)Wind direction S S SSW NW WSW WNW WNW NW NW WNW WSW W W WSW Relative humidity 68% 53% 81% 65% 78% 64% 86% 81% 80% 75% 71% 60% 75% 60% Dew point 7°C 10°C 9°C 12°C 7°C 13°C 9°C 15°C 12°C 14°C 5°C 9°C 6°C 9°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Ilfraville Rain Forecast
Ilfraville 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025756555666747105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 16
ENSO status: Inactive. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming positive. SAM status: Positive, favouring positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has returned to an inactive phase for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling is occurring in the eastern Pacific, with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop in 2024. Warmer than normal waters are situated in the Coral Sea, providing moisture and humidity to the east coast. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, and the IOD index is spiking in response. Persistent southeasterly winds have set in over the eastern Indian Ocean, signalling that the atmosphere is starting to respond to the ocean patterns. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into apositive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly in May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is positive and will favour a positive phase during autumn and into winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia, particularly for southwest WA. Rainfall outlooks are showing below average rainfall over winter for WA, and the southwest coasts of SA, Vic and Tas. Conversely, above average rainfall is expected for eastern parts of Qld and NSW, and potentially eastern Tas.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Ilfraville Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Sunday
Apr 1415.7 °C 19.2 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 1515.7 °C 19.2 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 1611.2 °C 17.8 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Apr 1710.2 °C 16.8 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Apr 1811.1 °C 16.6 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Ilfraville minimum temp history (41.1522°S, 146.8018°E, 16m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 20.0° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 7.9° 09/04/2024 Hottest on record 23.1 02/04/2005 Coldest on record 3.7 29/04/2009 Hottest this year 26.7° 03/01/2024 Coldest this year 7.9° 09/04/2024 Long term average 17.8° Long term average 11.3° Average this month 18.6° Average this month 12.0° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 18.9° 2007 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 9.5° 2006 Ilfraville rainfall history (41.1522°S, 146.8018°E, 16m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 39.4mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 69.2mm
5.0 daysLong Term Average 54.6mm 10.2 days Wettest April on record 88.6mm 2009 Driest on record 12.6mm 2007 -
Year to Date
Ilfraville Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 183.8mm 32.1 day(s) Total For 2024 148.2mm 22.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 141.0mm 31.0 day(s) Wettest Day 39.4mm Apr 2 Lowest Temperature 7.9°C Apr 9 Highest Temperature 26.7°C Jan 3 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Ilfraville Climatology
Ilfraville Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 20.7 21.1 20.1 17.8 15.4 13.5 12.8 13.1 14.1 15.5 17.5 19.0 16.7 Mean Min (°C) 14.5 14.6 13.4 11.3 9.4 7.5 7.0 7.3 8.5 9.6 11.4 12.9 10.6 Mean Rain (mm) 49.1 27.9 52.2 54.6 62.7 75.9 72.9 76.1 55.6 53.7 50.7 42.5 670.6 Mean Rain Days 7.0 6.7 8.2 10.2 13.4 15.0 17.0 16.3 14.8 12.0 9.6 8.7 138.3