Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, Queensland
Minor Flood Warning For The Balonne River
Issued at 10:46 AM EST on Monday 29 April 2024
Flood Warning Number: 2
MINOR FLOODING PEAKED AT SURAT SUNDAY NIGHT, EASING INTO TUESDAY
A minor flood peak along the Balonne River has passed through Surat on Sunday night, following rainfall in the lower reaches of the Condamine River early last week. This flood peak will continue to move downstream over the next week or two but at this stage is not expected to reach minor flood levels at any forecast locations downstream of Surat.
No significant rainfall has been observed for nearly a week and no significant rainfall is forecast for the next few days.
Balonne River to Surat:
Minor flooding is expected to be occurring along the Balonne River at Surat.
There are no recent observations for the Balonne River at Surat (manual gauge). However, based on the nearby automatic gauge, the river is expected to have peaked around 5.30 metres late Sunday night and is expected to be above the minor flood level (5.00 metres) and easing.
The Balonne River at Surat may fall below the minor flood level (5.00 m) during Tuesday.
Balonne River downstream of Surat to Beardmore Dam:
Elevated river levels are expected along the Balonne River downstream of Surat to Beardmore Dam. Minor flooding is rising slowly at Weribone and approaching a peak over the next day or so.
The Balonne River at Warroo is currently at 6.11 metres and rising very slowly, well below the minor flood level.
A peak well below the minor flood level (9.00 m) is expected in the Balonne River at Warroo around Wednesday.
Balonne River at Warkon:
Cancellation
Flood Safety Advice:
Remember: If it's flooded, forget it. For flood emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500. For life threatening emergencies, call Triple Zero (000) immediately.}
Current emergency information is available at www.qld.gov.au/alerts
Next issue:
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 am EST on Tuesday 30 April 2024.
Latest River Heights:
Balonne R at Weribone TM,6.20,Rising,10:00 AM MON 29/04/24
Balonne R at Warroo TM,6.11,Rising,09:00 AM MON 29/04/24
Maranoa R at Forest Vale TM,0.17,Falling,10:20 AM MON 29/04/24
Maranoa R at Old Cashmere TM,1.50,Steady,10:00 AM MON 29/04/24
Balonne R at Beardmore Dam TM,0.02,Steady,10:00 AM MON 29/04/24
Balonne R at Jack Taylor Weir TM,-0.03,Steady,10:00 AM MON 29/04/24
Culgoa R at Whyenbah TM,2.48,Steady,10:00 AM MON 29/04/24
Culgoa R at Woolerbilla TM,2.40,Steady,10:00 AM MON 29/04/24
Narran R at Dirranbandi-Hebel Rd TM,2.17,Steady,10:00 AM MON 29/04/24
Bokhara R at Hebel TM,0.86,Steady,10:00 AM MON 29/04/24
This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 210. Warning, rainfall and river information are available at www.bom.gov.au/qld/flood. The latest weather forecast is available at www.bom.gov.au/qld/forecasts.
Forecast
Picnic Point (27.5793°S, 151.9854°E, 697m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY13° 22° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 10% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:53am EST 6:17am EST 5:22pm EST 5:46pm EST NOW20.2° Feels Like: 15.5° Relative Humidity: 60% Dew: 12.2° Wind: E 28km/h Gust: 32km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1025.0hPa -
Today Weather
Picnic PointNow22.6°cFeels Like:19.8°Wind:NE 19km/hGusts:24km/hHumidity:53%13°Min22°MaxToday in Picnic PointMostly sunny. The chance of fog in the far E early this morning. Slight chance of a shower in the SW, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds E/NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s.Tomorrow12°Min22°MaxMostly sunny. The chance of fog in the SE in the early morning. Slight chance of a shower in the SW. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Mostly sunny. The chance of fog in the far E early this morning. Slight chance of a shower in the SW, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds E/NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s.
Forecast for Picnic Point (27.5793°S, 151.9854°E, 697m AMSL) Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Summary Minimum 13° 12° 12° 11° 12° 13° 11° Maximum 22° 22° 21° 20° 18° 19° 18° Chance of rain 10% 20% 30% 20% 50% 60% 80% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index High High High High High High High Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 30
(km/h)22
(km/h)15
(km/h)16
(km/h)19
(km/h)22
(km/h)26
(km/h)27
(km/h)29
(km/h)25
(km/h)21
(km/h)19
(km/h)18
(km/h)16
(km/h)Wind direction E E E ESE SE SE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE SE SW Relative humidity 79% 58% 80% 55% 76% 59% 73% 63% 77% 69% 82% 70% 84% 67% Dew point 14°C 13°C 13°C 12°C 12°C 11°C 11°C 12°C 12°C 11°C 13°C 12°C 12°C 11°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Picnic Point Rain Forecast
Picnic Point 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420251076655576748105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Picnic Point Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Thursday
Apr 2515.1 °C 23.1 °C 0.2 mmFriday
Apr 2611.3 °C 20.1 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Apr 279.9 °C 21.3 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Apr 2812.8 °C 21.5 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 2913.6 °C 20.7 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Picnic Point minimum temp history (27.5793°S, 151.9854°E, 697m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 28.4° 03/04/2024 Coldest this month 7.7° 10/04/2024 Hottest on record 30.3 07/04/2016 Coldest on record 3.1 22/04/1999 Hottest this year 36.0° 22/01/2024 Coldest this year 7.7° 10/04/2024 Long term average 23.2° Long term average 13.4° Average this month 23.0° Average this month 14.0° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 25.6° 2016 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 10.7° 2008 Picnic Point rainfall history (27.5793°S, 151.9854°E, 697m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 24.0mm 04/04/2024 Total This Month 83.6mm
10.0 daysLong Term Average 28.1mm 8.1 days Wettest April on record 69.4mm 1998 Driest on record 1.0mm 1997 -
Year to Date
Picnic Point Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 313.5mm 40.5 day(s) Total For 2024 321.4mm 50.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 241.2mm 31.0 day(s) Wettest Day 44.8mm Jan28 Lowest Temperature 7.7°C Apr10 Highest Temperature 36.0°C Jan22 -
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Climatology
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Picnic Point Climatology
Picnic Point Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 28.4 27.7 26.1 23.2 19.8 17.0 16.7 18.8 22.3 24.6 26.3 27.7 23.2 Mean Min (°C) 17.7 17.6 16.5 13.4 9.9 7.6 6.7 7.6 10.5 12.9 14.8 16.7 12.6 Mean Rain (mm) 91.2 106.3 87.9 28.1 45.9 36.2 29.4 28.8 32.9 67.0 74.9 105.8 735.6 Mean Rain Days 10.9 10.5 11.0 8.1 8.7 10.0 7.5 6.2 6.8 9.2 9.5 10.6 108.9