Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, Queensland
Minor Flood Warning For The Balonne River
Issued at 10:46 AM EST on Monday 29 April 2024
Flood Warning Number: 2
MINOR FLOODING PEAKED AT SURAT SUNDAY NIGHT, EASING INTO TUESDAY
A minor flood peak along the Balonne River has passed through Surat on Sunday night, following rainfall in the lower reaches of the Condamine River early last week. This flood peak will continue to move downstream over the next week or two but at this stage is not expected to reach minor flood levels at any forecast locations downstream of Surat.
No significant rainfall has been observed for nearly a week and no significant rainfall is forecast for the next few days.
Balonne River to Surat:
Minor flooding is expected to be occurring along the Balonne River at Surat.
There are no recent observations for the Balonne River at Surat (manual gauge). However, based on the nearby automatic gauge, the river is expected to have peaked around 5.30 metres late Sunday night and is expected to be above the minor flood level (5.00 metres) and easing.
The Balonne River at Surat may fall below the minor flood level (5.00 m) during Tuesday.
Balonne River downstream of Surat to Beardmore Dam:
Elevated river levels are expected along the Balonne River downstream of Surat to Beardmore Dam. Minor flooding is rising slowly at Weribone and approaching a peak over the next day or so.
The Balonne River at Warroo is currently at 6.11 metres and rising very slowly, well below the minor flood level.
A peak well below the minor flood level (9.00 m) is expected in the Balonne River at Warroo around Wednesday.
Balonne River at Warkon:
Cancellation
Flood Safety Advice:
Remember: If it's flooded, forget it. For flood emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500. For life threatening emergencies, call Triple Zero (000) immediately.}
Current emergency information is available at www.qld.gov.au/alerts
Next issue:
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 am EST on Tuesday 30 April 2024.
Latest River Heights:
Balonne R at Weribone TM,6.20,Rising,10:00 AM MON 29/04/24
Balonne R at Warroo TM,6.11,Rising,09:00 AM MON 29/04/24
Maranoa R at Forest Vale TM,0.17,Falling,10:20 AM MON 29/04/24
Maranoa R at Old Cashmere TM,1.50,Steady,10:00 AM MON 29/04/24
Balonne R at Beardmore Dam TM,0.02,Steady,10:00 AM MON 29/04/24
Balonne R at Jack Taylor Weir TM,-0.03,Steady,10:00 AM MON 29/04/24
Culgoa R at Whyenbah TM,2.48,Steady,10:00 AM MON 29/04/24
Culgoa R at Woolerbilla TM,2.40,Steady,10:00 AM MON 29/04/24
Narran R at Dirranbandi-Hebel Rd TM,2.17,Steady,10:00 AM MON 29/04/24
Bokhara R at Hebel TM,0.86,Steady,10:00 AM MON 29/04/24
This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 210. Warning, rainfall and river information are available at www.bom.gov.au/qld/flood. The latest weather forecast is available at www.bom.gov.au/qld/forecasts.
Forecast
Orchid Beach (24.9561°S, 153.3099°E, 13m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY23° 24° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 10% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:45am EST 6:09am EST 5:20pm EST 5:43pm EST NOW19.6° Feels Like: 21.1° Relative Humidity: 92% Dew: 18.3° Wind: SE 7km/h Gust: 7km/h Rainfall since 9am: 1.0mm Pressure: 1020.3hPa -
Today Weather
Orchid BeachNow17.9°cFeels Like:19.5°Wind:SE 6km/hGusts:7km/hHumidity:99%23°Min24°MaxToday in Orchid BeachMostly sunny. The chance of morning fog in the S. Slight chance of a shower in the S, near zero chance elsewhere. Light winds becoming E/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.Tomorrow23°Min23°MaxPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers along the coastal fringe from the late morning. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 25 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s. -
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Mostly sunny. The chance of morning fog in the S. Slight chance of a shower in the S, near zero chance elsewhere. Light winds becoming E/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.
Forecast for Orchid Beach (24.9561°S, 153.3099°E, 13m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary Minimum 23° 23° 22° 22° 22° 22° 21° Maximum 24° 23° 23° 23° 23° 23° 23° Chance of rain 10% 60% 70% 70% 80% 80% 70% Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index High High High High High High High Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 25
(km/h)27
(km/h)25
(km/h)31
(km/h)31
(km/h)33
(km/h)33
(km/h)31
(km/h)24
(km/h)23
(km/h)21
(km/h)23
(km/h)21
(km/h)21
(km/h)Wind direction ESE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SE SE SE SE SSE SSE SSE SSE Relative humidity 66% 65% 71% 73% 74% 73% 73% 72% 73% 73% 73% 73% 76% 72% Dew point 17°C 17°C 18°C 18°C 18°C 18°C 18°C 18°C 18°C 18°C 18°C 17°C 18°C 17°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Orchid Beach Rain Forecast
Orchid Beach 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025987766556768105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Past 5 Days
Orchid Beach Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Wednesday
Apr 24- - -Thursday
Apr 25- - -Friday
Apr 26- - -Saturday
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Apr 28- - -Legend -
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Almanac
Orchid Beach minimum temp history (24.9561°S, 153.3099°E, 13m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 31.4° 10/01/2024 Coldest this month 21.0° 02/01/2024 Hottest on record 31.4 04/04/2006 Coldest on record 13.3 27/04/1983 Hottest this year 31.4° 10/01/2024 Coldest this year 21.0° 02/01/2024 Long term average 26.8° Long term average 20.1° Average this month 30.1° Average this month 23.1° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 28.5° 1957 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 18.6° 2008 Orchid Beach rainfall history (24.9561°S, 153.3099°E, 13m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 25.8mm 19/01/2024 Total This Month 0.0mm
0.0 daysLong Term Average 119.0mm 15.5 days Wettest April on record 523.3mm 1923 Driest on record 6.2mm 1897 -
Year to Date
Orchid Beach Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 605.0mm 59.8 day(s) Total For 2024 62.8mm 9.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 320.0mm 20.0 day(s) Wettest Day 25.8mm Jan19 Lowest Temperature 21.0°C Jan 2 Highest Temperature 31.4°C Jan10 -
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Orchid Beach Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 29.4 29.3 28.5 26.8 24.2 21.9 21.3 22.4 24.3 26.0 27.4 28.6 25.8 Mean Min (°C) 22.5 22.5 21.8 20.1 17.8 15.4 14.5 15.3 17.1 18.8 20.3 21.7 19.0 Mean Rain (mm) 157.7 170.8 157.5 119.0 118.1 107.0 89.2 63.4 49.1 66.0 76.1 97.4 1255.8 Mean Rain Days 13.5 14.4 16.4 15.5 15.3 12.9 11.9 10.1 8.3 8.4 8.9 10.7 145.2